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On April 3, White House aide Peter Navarro said that US President Trump’s tariffs could increase revenue by three times the size of the World War II tax increase in 1942, and could become the largest tax increase in US history.On April 3, a research report by CLSA indicated that ChinaSoft International (00354.HK)s revenue fell 1% year-on-year to RMB 16.951 billion last year, and the first disclosed AI-related revenue was RMB 957 million, accounting for 5.6% of revenue. The companys price reduction strategy has led to a decline in gross profit margin, and the main reason for the lower-than-expected net profit is a one-time impact. The bank expects the companys fundamentals to improve this year, mainly because the number of employees increased in the second half of last year. The bank expects the companys net profit to reach RMB 748 million this year, up 45.8% year-on-year, and lowered the target price from HK$7 to HK$6.5, maintaining the rating of outperforming the market.On April 3, the Australian bond market has experienced a dovish turn since the White House announced its new tariff agenda. IG market analyst Tony Sycamore said that the market has priced in an 85% chance that the Reserve Bank of Australia will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in May. Subsequent rate cuts are expected in August and November, with a cumulative rate cut of 75 basis points by November. He added that US tariffs have far exceeded expectations, increasing the likelihood of a trade war and recession in the United States. He also said that since goods from countries such as Vietnam are now effectively shut out of the United States, cheap goods are expected to flood other Asian markets.Japan’s Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi declined to comment when asked about the possibility of retaliation against U.S. tariffs.Japanese Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshimasa Hayashi: We believe that the recent US tariff measures may have a significant impact on the multilateral trading system, and we strongly call on the United States to exclude Japan from these measures.

International gold prices hit a one-month high, US inflation is high, FED has not yet eliminated internal strife

Oct 26, 2021 11:03

On Thursday (October 14), the international gold price hit a new high of US$1,797.59 per ounce since September 15. The US consumer price index rose further in September. The Fed’s decision-makers still have differences in judging the threat of high inflation. The US dollar index and US bond yields The rate continues to fall.

At GMT+8 16:42, spot gold rose 0.14% to 1,795.51 US dollars per ounce; the main COMEX gold contract rose 0.10% to 1,796.5 US dollars per ounce; the U.S. dollar index fell 0.20% to 93.834.


The US consumer price index rose by 5.4% year-on-year in September, and may strengthen further amid soaring energy prices. This may force the Fed to act as quickly as possible to normalize monetary policy.

The minutes of the Fed’s September meeting show that the Fed may begin to reduce stimulus measures in mid-November. Although more and more policymakers worry that high inflation may last longer than expected, they still have differences on how quickly they need to raise interest rates to deal with high inflation.

U.S. President Biden urged the private sector on Wednesday to help alleviate congestion in the supply chain that could disrupt the holiday season in the United States, and said that the White House plans to inspect the blocked system nationwide.

White House officials said that Americans may face price increases due to supply chain issues, and there may be vacancies in store shelves this Christmas shopping season. White House spokesperson Psaki told reporters that Biden cannot guarantee that there will be no shortages during the holiday shopping season.

Goldman Sachs Chief Operating Officer John Waldron said in an online dialogue held by the International Finance Association (IIF) on Wednesday that he believes that inflation is the number one risk that may damage the global economy and stock markets. The short-term risks to economic recovery are still from the possible long-term risks to emerging markets."

Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst for OANDA Asia Pacific, said: "I expect the U.S. dollar and long-term interest rates will resume their climb sooner or later, while the gold rally will begin to fade as soon as possible. The 100-day and 200-day moving averages are between $1795.00 and $1800.00. I believe that this area will become a huge obstacle to further increases in (gold prices)."

According to people familiar with the matter, in the face of rising energy costs worldwide, the White House has been discussing with US oil and gas producers in recent days how to help reduce rising fuel costs.

But industry insiders said that any call from the White House to increase production may fall on deaf ears. The industry is also dissatisfied with some of President Biden’s earlier actions, including a suspension of drilling on federal land.

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