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On September 21st, Galaxy Securities released a research report stating that, in the long term, the Feds interest rate hikes will not change the fundamental logic of the AI technology revolution boosting productivity. While AI infrastructure construction may drive up demand for resources such as chips and electricity in the short term, in the long run, AI will create a structural deflationary effect by improving total factor productivity and expanding supply capacity, thus offsetting inflationary pressures. The long-term growth trend of global AI capital expenditure has not reversed, and the demand for computing power will continue to expand. Several Fed officials believe that AI will push up the neutral interest rate level, meaning that even if nominal interest rates remain high, the real policy rate may be relatively low. The growth resilience of the AI industry is sufficient to support its continued development in a high-interest-rate environment. Therefore, in the medium to long term, the fundamental logic of the AI industry remains solid, and the valuation adjustments brought about by interest rate hikes actually provide a more reasonable valuation starting point for companies with real performance support.ANZ Bank: The Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points in both September and November.Futures News, September 21st: Crude oil prices continued to fall, and while there was positive news and cost support for domestic fuel oil, market participants lacked confidence, risk aversion intensified, and the market returned to being driven by supply and demand. Downstream buyers mostly maintained a cautious approach, restocking only for immediate needs. Market trading slowed down, and it is expected that fuel oil negotiations will remain stable in some areas today, while others may see price reductions to encourage volume.September 21st - ZCode, the AI programming tool from the domestic large-scale model company Zhipu (2513.HK), is about to be officially open-sourced. According to Zhipu, this open-sourcing is the first step in addressing external concerns about ZCodes data processing; in the future, they will further promote ZCode towards a more community-driven approach, welcoming the public to download, review the code, and participate in its improvement.Goldman Sachs: If Persian Gulf LNG exports do not improve significantly this winter, TTF and JKM prices are expected to reach €105/MWh and $35/MMBtu by the end of the year.

In Colombia, natural gas consumption has outpaced production

Charlie Brooks

Jun 28, 2022 11:31


According to our most recent Colombia Country Analysis Brief, Colombia imported 14,2 billion cubic feet (Bcf) of natural gas to help meet its natural gas demand for electricity in 2020, when a drop in hydroelectric power was caused by drought.


In 2020, hydroelectricity will contribute to around 65% of Colombia's electrical generation, down from nearly 80% in earlier years. Since hydropower is Colombia's principal energy source, droughts may have a significant effect on the country's electrical producing mix.


The bulk of natural gas used in Colombia is produced domestically and employed to create electricity. In recent years, imports have progressively bridged the gap between domestic natural gas production and domestic demand. In 2020, Colombia produced 399 Bcf of dry natural gas, while domestic consumption was 413 Bcf.


Concerns over the reliability of the nation's electricity supply prompted the Colombian government to approve the Sociedad Portuaria El Cayao (SPEC) LNG import plant in November 2014. The facility started operations in November 2016. The administration has since proposed the Pacific Regasification LNG terminal as the nation's second LNG import plant.


EPM is currently developing the new hydroelectric dam project Ituango. The first of eight 300-megawatt generating units will commence operating in the second part of 2022. The whole project will have a capacity of 2.4 gigawatts when it is finished in 2025. If completed, the Ituango project would be the largest hydroelectric power plant in Colombia in terms of generating capacity. In 2020, the installed electrical production capacity of Colombia was 17 gigawatts.