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August 23 (Xinhua) -- Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said during a meeting with media representatives on the 23rd that Ukraine is not yet in a position to hold elections during wartime, and that holding elections under the current circumstances would pose a significant danger of national disintegration. According to media reports, former Defense Minister Andriy Fedorov, who was dismissed by Zelenskyy, recently released a video calling for wartime elections in Ukraine, stating that the country is facing a governance crisis. Zelenskyy responded that day, saying that during the ongoing conflict, various parties have been pressuring Ukraine to hold wartime elections, but the prerequisite for such elections is that partner countries can provide Ukraine with specific conditions to ensure their safe and legal conduct. This would allow frontline Ukrainian soldiers and millions of Ukrainian citizens fleeing the war to participate in the elections safely, without the threat of attack.August 23 - The bond market has recently sent a clear signal to Treasury Secretary Bessant: dont try to sweep $40 trillion in U.S. Treasury bonds under the rug and pretend everything is fine. Bessant announced plans to increase long-term Treasury repurchases this fall, pledged to use the Treasurys vast "toolbox" to support the market, and discussed upcoming measures to curb the ever-expanding U.S. debt burden. John Arnold, a former Enron energy trader, billionaire, and founder of the philanthropic venture capital firm Arnold, said the summers bond market turmoil may ultimately be just "another quickly subsided episode," but the bigger concern is that the lack of change in the U.S. fiscal situation will persist until it finally triggers a crisis. Tracy Chan, a global portfolio manager at Brandiwin, said she is very nervous because Bessant has failed to curb long-term Treasury yields. The bond markets performance suggests that bond vigilantes still dont trust him. Bessant needs to do more to convince investors that the Trump administration is serious about U.S. fiscal issues, but talking about increasing revenue through tax increases or austerity measures before the November midterm elections will be unpopular.On August 23, according to the Wall Street Journal, Russian military officers flew from St. Petersburg to the Kaliningrad exclave last month. Western intelligence officials said these officers oversaw mobilization preparations and procedures for the regions residents, including specific details on how to house, supply, and arm mobilization personnel. Intelligence officials stated that the planning exercises in Kaliningrad were just one of many nationwide drills designed to prepare for a "call to arms." Officials said the Kremlin has not yet decided whether to actually carry out such an operation, and a decision is likely to be made after the parliamentary elections at the end of September. However, despite the slow and costly progress, Putins determination to seize the entire Donbas region of eastern Ukraine may force him to take action. Kaliningrad, the location of last months mobilization test exercises, has recently received increasing attention. Western intelligence officials have warned that the exclave could play a role in Moscows military plans.August 23 – According to the Jerusalem Post and Al Mayadeen TV, a senior Iranian official stated that Iran has been invited to join the Mecca Mutual Defense Agreement established earlier this month by Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan. The invitation has not yet been officially confirmed by the Iranian Foreign Ministry or any of the three parties to the agreement. Mehdi Rahimi, head of the Islamic Consultative Conference News Agency, stated that Iran has received an invitation to join the Mecca Agreement, and the matter is under review. Rahimi added that countries in the region are "moving in the direction of seeking a regional security umbrella," and called this a victory for Iran, as it has long been advocating for this.On August 23, Syrian Transitional Government Foreign Minister Shibani stated in an interview with Reuters on the 22nd that Syria expects to resume negotiations with Israel soon on a security agreement, hoping the agreement will facilitate Israels withdrawal from Syrian territory. Shibani said that negotiations between Syria and Israel on a security agreement have been stalled since the outbreak of the US-Israel-Iraq conflict this year, but he anticipates they will resume. The United States is pressuring Israel to return to dialogue. Shibani also stated that the Syrian Transitional Government "currently does not trust Israel," but the current priority is to stop Israeli attacks, therefore "confidence-building measures" are needed. Communication between Syria and Israel was severed after the attack on Syrias Abu Zukur airbase on August 18.

Hedge funds in the United Kingdom and Putin are cashing in while the world shoots itself in the foot over oil

Haiden Holmes

Mar 31, 2022 10:27

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Those who remember the 1970s can attest that unrelated foreign governments poking their paddles into political matters they do not understand and that are taking place thousands of miles away from their comfortable offices frequently end up destroying the lives of their own citizens rather than resolving any turmoils that are none of their business.


The United States chose a side in the early 1970s Yom Kippur War in the Middle East, and as a result, the Arab League countries, who provided the bulk of oil to the United States at the time, opted to react with a trade embargo.


As a consequence, fuel restrictions, very high energy costs, and a 55mph speed limit were imposed.


Today, things are likely to become a lot worse for a much less serious time of political turmoil.


It seems that the present situation is poised to destabilize the inhabitants of Europe and America, while boosting Russia and its allies.


The huge exodus of multinational corporations from important global markets has resulted in supply shortages and logistical problems.


It is critical to examine the basic bones and structure of any local economy. The majority of Western economies are focused on tertiary services and are net consumers rather than producers, while Russia has a non-diversified, raw materials-based economy and is a significant supplier of oil and gas to the rest of the world.


Yesterday, the more astute observers in the banking and electronic trading sectors calculated very clearly that if Russia now sells only 30% of its annual production of natural gas and oil, its energy producing industry, which is the largest in the world, would generate 100% of the revenues that it would have generated if it had sold 100% of its annual production before all of these sanctions were imposed.


In layman's terms, this implies that Russia may now sell one-third of its gas and oil for the price it would have received for the whole amount.


Who is the true victor in this situation? Not the customer. Many UK people will soon be lining up to fill up their vehicle with petrol for £250 per tank, or figure out how to heat their house without spending £1000 per month. As a result, the market has become inflationary.


Looking at it another way, it is the Western countries who have turned on their own people over the last two years.


Gas costs in the United Kingdom alone have risen from an average of 55p per therm to 700p per therm for many private customers.


Crispin Odey, a well-known investor who has previously mastered tumultuous markets, has increased his returns by 30% in the last two weeks as a consequence of the market upheaval.


Mr. Odey correctly said that the UK is just in the early stages of an "energy crisis," and that prices would rise higher, plunging the Western world into a devastating recession.


Following the lockdowns of 2020 and 2021, this is the next step in the program.


We all saw the G7 leaders gathering in Glasgow last year in the name of the 'climate,' and the ESG roll-out began among many corporations.


Oil and gas are clearly commodities that are in more demand than ever before, and in India and China, they are being imported and consumed at such a pace that the black stuff cannot be refined fast enough to reach its buyers. It's business as usual in India and China.


Russian oil companies will just sell their now exorbitantly priced oil to China and India, both of which will continue to produce, expand, and run their massive economies with zeal.


As a result, oil and gas are the commodities to keep an eye on. Things called 'naughty pleasures' are often highly valued.


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