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The main fuel oil contract fell 4.00% intraday, currently trading at 3807.00 yuan/ton.On September 3rd, Larry Holzenthal, Senior Portfolio Manager at Catalyst Funds, stated in a report that the driving factors behind recent bond market movements differ slightly across countries. One difference lies in the overall economic conditions and corporate earnings performance of various countries. US corporate earnings remain quite strong compared to the rest of the world, while performance in other regions has been somewhat mixed. Globally, government debt burdens are generally high, which is clearly causing market concerns about long-term bonds, and oil prices are also a contributing factor. The impact of energy prices varies across countries, but both oil and energy prices are playing a role. Inflation is undoubtedly also an issue.On September 3rd, Natalia Lojewski, Managing Director of CIFC Asset Management, stated in a report that the bond market has, to some extent, been playing a policy role for the Federal Reserve. She noted that the yield on the two-year U.S. Treasury note has been significantly higher than the federal funds rate for some time, "which in itself reflects the Feds monetary policy." She added that its not just the changes in the bond market that are noteworthy, but also the convergence in monetary policy expectations. "What are the Fed and the market currently pricing in? Roughly a 60% probability of a rate hike in September."On September 3rd, Bei Chen Lin, Senior Investment Strategist at Russell Investments, stated in a report that under the firms baseline scenario, the Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged this year. He said before Fridays US jobs report release, "However, if job growth significantly exceeds market expectations, for example, more than double the expected amount, while inflation remains unimproved, this could prompt the Fed to consider further rate hikes. Considering the various labor market data to be released this week, we expect the job market to be in a normal state, rather than overheated or oversold. This would be good news for the Fed." Russell Investments believes that all maturities of the US Treasury yield curve offer good investment value.On September 3, the National Medical Products Administration (NMPA) approved the marketing of rizabutinib tablets (trade name: Cerazetazone), a Class 1 innovative drug submitted by Genzyme Corporation. This drug is indicated for adult patients with persistent or chronic primary immune thrombocytopenic purpura (ITP) who have previously responded poorly to or are intolerant of treatments such as glucocorticoids and immunoglobulins. The approval of this drug provides patients with a new treatment option.

Gold trading strategy on October 12: Gold prices continue to trade sideways, waiting for CPI data to be released on Wednesday

Oct 26, 2021 11:02

On Tuesday (October 12), spot gold rose slightly, and the short-term gold price is expected to remain sideways. It is recommended that conservatives wait and see, and radicals can still short rallies.


Daily level: The price of gold continues to fluctuate. The market mainly waits for Wednesday's US CPI data to guide the gold price. Before that, it may be difficult for the price of gold to make a difference. It is recommended that conservatives wait and see. Activists continue to short rallies as the market continues to bet that the Fed will cut its debt purchases in November.

The important resistance above is at 1764, the 38.2% retracement level of the 1834-1721 range. The bulls also encountered resistance here on September 30. If this resistance can be broken, the bulls are expected to usher in a respite and move towards the 50% retracement level. 1778 opened the door.

Breaking through the 50% retracement level and the resistance near the 50-day moving average at 1778, the bulls will enter the comfort zone and further point towards the 61.8% retracement level at 1791.

The important support below is the 23.6% retracement level of 1748, after the gold price has repeatedly found support near this level. A break below this level may further slide to the low of 1721 on September 29. Prior to this, the low of 1738 on September 23 is worthy of attention.

(Spot gold daily chart)

Resistance levels: 1764.93; 1778.22; 1791.52
Support levels: 1748.49; 1738.12; 1721.76

Short-term operating recommendations: conservatives wait and see, radicals short rallies.

GMT+8 14:05, spot gold was quoted at US$1,761.47 per ounce.