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Ceasefire Negotiations 1. Iran – ① Iranian Foreign Ministry: No final conclusion has been reached on the Iran-US agreement. All matters concerning the agreement are speculation. ② Iranian media: There is a high probability that Iran will approve the text. ③ Iranian Armed Forces: If the US attacks again, it will suffer a more violent response. 2. United States – ① Trump: The agreement is expected to be signed this weekend. The Supreme Leader has agreed to reach an agreement, and all parties in Iran have approved the US-Iran agreement; he refused to set a deadline for the agreement; once the agreement is signed, the US will lift the blockade. ② US media: The three major differences have been narrowed under Qatars mediation. 3. Israel – ① Israel: Trump promised that Iran would limit missile production and stop regional support. ② Israel was surprised by Trumps post. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu learned of this during a cabinet meeting. 4. Others – ① Sources say that dialogue on Lebanon and regional security will continue after the US-Iran agreement is reached. ② Pakistan, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Turkey gathered to assess mediation efforts regarding the US-Iran situation. Strait of Hormuz 1. Iran – ① Iranian Foreign Ministry: The strait remains closed. 2. The United States—① U.S. Central Command: Since imposing the blockade on April 13, it has crippled 9 ships and forced another 135 to change course. ② Trump: The strait may open on Saturday or next Monday. ③ U.S. military: The Strait of Hormuz remains open to traffic. 3. Others—① Indian Ministry of Shipping: 13 Indian-flagged ships ran aground in the Strait of Hormuz; Indian Ministry of External Affairs: All three ships attacked were carried out by the U.S. Navy. Other situations: 1. Kuwait Civil Aviation Authority announced that flights suspended due to the Iranian attack have resumed. 2. According to Axios: The Israeli government expects to allocate more than $350 million over several years to relocate 61 newly approved settlements. 3. Bessant: Any damage to Gulf allies will be paid for with Iranian funds, and Iran will lose its ongoing zero-sum game. If necessary, the U.S. will withdraw funds from Iranian accounts.On June 12, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Baghae stated on the 11th that all matters concerning the US-Iran agreement were speculation. To date, Iran has not reached a final conclusion on the agreement. Baghae also stated that the situation in the Strait of Hormuz has become more insecure due to US actions. Baghae further stated that Qatar and Pakistan are actively playing a mediating role, but US actions have affected the diplomatic process. He said that Iran was aware of the progress of the negotiations from the beginning, and most of the text of the agreement was completed, but the US has continuously changed its position. Iran has proven that it will never compromise on issues that it considers "red lines."June 12 - According to a report by Iranian state television on the 11th, a spokesperson for the Iranian Foreign Ministry stated that Iran has not yet reached a final conclusion on the Iran-US agreement, and all reports from the outside world regarding the agreement are speculation, with no details yet finalized.Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson: Once we reach a conclusion that the text of the memorandum of understanding can safeguard the interests of the Iranian people, we will release it.Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman: If Iran intended to abandon its principled position under pressure and threats, we would have done so a year ago.

Gold prices rise when the Fed tightens and the dollar falls

Skylar Williams

Oct 19, 2022 14:25

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Gold prices rose moderately on Wednesday, extending small gains into a third session as dollar pressure eased. However, hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve officials halted any price advances.


As of 19:20 EST, spot gold rose 0.1% to $1,653.49 per ounce, whereas gold futures rose 0.2% to $1,658.90 per ounce (23:20 GMT). Both instruments spent a second day above the important support level of $1,650, following the dollar's decline.


This week, the dollar index is trading roughly 1% lower as risk appetite has strengthened in reaction to a series of strong Wall Street earnings. Following a run of hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials, the dollar appeared to have stabilized on Tuesday.


Neel Kashkari, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, indicated that if underlying inflation does not reduce, the Fed could hike its target rate above 4.75 percent. Despite a series of significant rate hikes this year, inflation in the United States remained stubbornly close to its highest level in forty years.


Raphael Bostic, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, underlined the need to reign in inflation, noting the impact of rising interest rates and prices on the labor market.


Following Bostic and Kashkari's remarks, U.S. Treasury yields climbed as traders anticipated future hawkish Federal Reserve activities. In addition, the markets are pricing in a nearly 100 percent chance that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 75 basis points at its fourth consecutive meeting in November.


Earlier this year, the price of gold reached its highest level in the previous two years. Nonetheless, as interest rates rose, the opportunity cost of owning gold increased considerably. Given the Federal Reserve's lack of willingness to halt rate hikes, it is projected that this pressure will persist in the near future.


Following three consecutive sessions of decline due to expectations of a decline in demand, copper prices rose marginally on Wednesday. Rio Tinto (NYSE:RIO) and BHP Group (NYSE:BHP) projected a near-term fall in metal demand, clouding the outlook for industrial metals this week.


According to the world's two largest miners, sluggish economic growth and heightened geopolitical tensions would certainly disrupt supply chains and reduce metal demand.


Copper futures rose 0.1% to $3.3655 per pound, but are currently down 1.7% on the week.


As fears of a U.S. recession increased, China's statement that it will not adjust its zero-COVID policy was the strongest source of selling pressure on the precious metal.