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January 16th - With Trump restarting oil business with Venezuela, global attention is turning to the type of crude oil Venezuela possesses. Venezuela boasts the worlds largest proven oil reserves, largely comprised of heavy, high-sulfur crude from the Orinoco Oil Belt in the countrys central region. While the United States has become the worlds highest producer due to a surge in light shale oil drilling, most of its refineries were designed for heavy crude. According to the American Association of Petroleum Refiners (AFPM), nearly 70% of U.S. refining capacity is geared towards heavy crude, a legacy of investments made before the shale oil boom. Shon Hiatt, director of the Energy Business Initiative at the University of Southern California, stated that U.S. refineries will greatly benefit from increased Venezuelan crude exports: "Many refineries along the U.S. coast, particularly in Texas and Louisiana, were designed to process Venezuelan crude. Historically, U.S. companies were among the first to explore, extract, process, and export oil in Venezuela, so coastal refineries were built from the outset for this type of crude." Hiatt also pointed out that due to years of sanctions, Canadian heavy crude has replaced Venezuelan crude in imports. However, if Trump pushes for increased Venezuelan heavy oil exports, Canadian heavy oil could be replaced by cheaper Venezuelan crude.Russian President Vladimir Putin told Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu that Russia is willing to assist in mediating the Iranian issue.Russian President Vladimir Putin and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu discussed the Iranian issue.RIA Novosti: Russian troops have taken control of Zakotne in eastern Ukraine.Gold prices fell in early European trading on January 16th after the latest US data showed a decline in jobless claims last week, reducing the likelihood of an imminent Federal Reserve rate cut. Weaker demand for safe-haven assets also pressured gold prices as market concerns about impending US military action against Iran subsided. However, gold is still on track for a weekly gain of over 2%, having earlier hit a record high. Meanwhile, silver rose nearly 15% this week despite the Trump administrations temporary suspension of tariffs on key minerals.

Gold price prediction: XAU/USD expects to reach $1,770 before the combined US ISM data

Alina Haynes

Aug 01, 2022 11:45

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The optimism shown last week in the Asian session for Gold Price (XAU/USD) is anticipated to continue as escalating recession worries in the US economy have fueled demand for the precious metal. The yellow metal moved sideways after setting a new three-week high at $1,768, but despite intense pricing pressures in the US economy, further gains are still justified.

 

The US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) for Friday came in at 6.8%, above estimates and the previous release of 6.7% and 6.3%, respectively. Well, a 50 basis point increase in the Federal Reserve's (Fed) favored inflation gauge shows no symptoms of a price pressures weariness. However, anxiety over the recession has suddenly increased.

 

Investors will be watching the US Institute of Supply Management (ISM) data release in today's session. The ISM Manufacturing PMI is probably going to drop from its previous reading of 53 to 52. A decline in the Manufacturing PMI suggests that the Fed's aggressive increase in interest rates has begun to show its effects, but inflation has not yet been fully contained, which is a major cause for concern. Although the economic data is now higher at 52 compared to the previous release of 49.2, the New Orders Index still warrants a respectable improvement. This demonstrates that despite skyrocketing prices, consumer spending is rising quickly.