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January 21st - Market concerns about a significant increase in Japanese government spending and a resurgence of inflation are causing a break in the traditional correlation between the yen and the dollar and government bond yields, prompting HSBC strategists to change their forecasts for the yens performance in the coming months. HSBC analysts believe there are two catalysts for the current "sudden revaluation" of the yen: first, a substantial rise in Japanese inflation starting in 2022; and second, Sanae Takashis inauguration as president in October. HSBC now predicts the yen will fall to 160 yen to the dollar by mid-year, rather than strengthening to 150 yen as previously expected. Strategists point out that complicating matters is the real possibility that Japanese authorities might intervene in the foreign exchange market to support the yen if it falls below 160. Analysts believe several potential factors could halt the yens recent decline—the most plausible of which (such as a slowdown in the US economy) is beyond the control of Japanese policymakers.Pan American Silver (PAAS.O): Equity silver production is projected to be between 25 million and 27 million ounces in 2026, and equity gold production is projected to be between 700,000 and 750,000 ounces in 2026.Netflix (NFLX.O) CFO: The company is seeing a range of very attractive investment opportunities and plans to "slightly" increase spending this year. This years spending growth will be higher than in 2025.According to US media MS NOW, US Vice President Vance will hold a roundtable meeting with leaders from various sectors in Minneapolis.Rio Tinto (RIO.N): The average realized price of copper in 2025 is $4.57/lb, and the average realized price of aluminum is $3,318/ton.

Gold price prediction: XAU/USD expects to reach $1,770 before the combined US ISM data

Alina Haynes

Aug 01, 2022 11:45

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The optimism shown last week in the Asian session for Gold Price (XAU/USD) is anticipated to continue as escalating recession worries in the US economy have fueled demand for the precious metal. The yellow metal moved sideways after setting a new three-week high at $1,768, but despite intense pricing pressures in the US economy, further gains are still justified.

 

The US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) for Friday came in at 6.8%, above estimates and the previous release of 6.7% and 6.3%, respectively. Well, a 50 basis point increase in the Federal Reserve's (Fed) favored inflation gauge shows no symptoms of a price pressures weariness. However, anxiety over the recession has suddenly increased.

 

Investors will be watching the US Institute of Supply Management (ISM) data release in today's session. The ISM Manufacturing PMI is probably going to drop from its previous reading of 53 to 52. A decline in the Manufacturing PMI suggests that the Fed's aggressive increase in interest rates has begun to show its effects, but inflation has not yet been fully contained, which is a major cause for concern. Although the economic data is now higher at 52 compared to the previous release of 49.2, the New Orders Index still warrants a respectable improvement. This demonstrates that despite skyrocketing prices, consumer spending is rising quickly.