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The governor of the Central Bank of the Philippines said: "But if oil prices reach $100 a barrel, we may start to exceed the so-called tolerance range. If we exceed the 4% inflation rate, we will have to take measures to regulate monetary policy."On March 6th, the Zhengzhou Municipal Bureau of Urban and Rural Construction issued a notice soliciting public opinions on the "Implementation Opinions of the Zhengzhou Municipal Peoples Government on Vigorously Promoting the Development of Prefabricated Buildings (Draft)". The consultation period is from March 6th to April 6th, 2026. The draft proposes, in accordance with relevant notices, to cooperate with relevant provincial departments to support financial institutions in establishing a "green" channel for eligible enterprises engaged in the construction of prefabricated building industrial bases (parks), projects, and technological research and development. This includes increasing credit support, expanding the types and scope of collateral, and providing preferential treatment in loan amounts, terms, and interest rates. For those using housing provident fund loans to purchase prefabricated commercial housing, support will be provided according to differentiated housing credit policies, with loan amounts potentially increasing by up to 20%.March 6th - The policy outlook for central banks in developing Asian countries is shifting as traders increase bets that a war in Iran will trigger an oil price shock. Overnight index swaps show significant changes in interest rate pricing across Asia. The most notable changes are in India and the Philippines, where the market now expects rate hikes rather than cuts; while in Thailand and Indonesia, although rate cuts are still expected, the probability is rapidly declining. Selena Ling, Head of Research at OCBC Bank, said on Friday, "Given the potential for continued conflict in Iran, Asian central banks will remain highly sensitive to oil price movements and will likely closely monitor whether the room for monetary easing has disappeared in the short term." Indonesia and the Philippines saw accelerated CPI growth in February and are expected to rise further. Both countries are heavily reliant on fuel imports, and a weaker currency further increases import costs. Investors are also preparing for higher interest rates in Malaysia, whose economy is among the fastest growing in the region. Even in Thailand, where inflation has been in negative territory for nearly a year, the Ministry of Commerce has warned that the index could begin to rise this month as the Middle East conflict pushes up food and fuel prices.Malaysian Deputy Minister of Trade: Malaysia and ASEAN have an opportunity to demonstrate to the world their status as a stable, neutral and peaceful region.On March 6th, State Street Investment Management stated in a report that geopolitical tensions and the global macroeconomic backdrop continue to support gold. Strategists noted that "geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have once again come into focus," triggering safe-haven buying in macro markets, including gold and the US dollar. "Gold allocations in portfolios remain underweight, with significant room for expansion through 2026, both tactical and strategic," they added. They further stated that if the conflict with Iran escalates, gold prices could retest the $5,500 to $5,600 per ounce range in March.

Gold is in a holding pattern, whilst Copper declines due to China Jitters

Skylar Williams

Aug 19, 2022 11:20

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Gold prices held inside a limited range on Thursday despite inconsistent signals regarding U.S. monetary policy, but Copper prices fell after a profit warning from a big Chinese property developer heightened demand concerns.


Spot gold advanced 0.2% to $1,765.65 per ounce at 22:51 ET (02:51 GMT), while gold futures rose 0.15 percent to $1,778.75 per ounce. In contrast, both assets traded predominantly between $1,750 and $1,810 throughout the previous two weeks.


Gold prices dipped on Wednesday after the minutes of the Federal Reserve's July meeting revealed that the majority of members supported additional rate hikes to battle inflation. Although the central bank expects to reevaluate its rate of tightening in the future, it has indicated that it is likely to continue raising interest rates at a quick pace until inflation is well inside its 2 percent target range.


The dollar index and Treasury rates rose after the minutes were released. Last month, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 0.75 percent, and markets are currently divided about whether rates will rise by 0.5% or 0.75 percent in September.


Even if last week's data suggested that U.S. inflation had likely peaked, Fed members stated that it was still much too high to consider relaxing monetary policy.


The pricing of the majority of metals was adversely affected by the dollar's strength. Platinum prices fell 0.4% while silver futures fell 0.6%.


Copper prices fell 0.2% after one of China's leading property developers, Country Garden Holdings Company Ltd (HK:2007), warned of a significant earnings reduction due to a weakening real estate market.


A prolonged slowdown in China's real estate market is likely to have a negative impact on the country's overall economic activity, which could impact commodity demand. The nation is the largest copper importer in the world.


On Thursday, nickel prices decreased by 1.2%, while zinc futures decreased by nearly 4%. Similarly, the trend for iron ore prices is downward.