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July 1st - The World Gold Council released its "2026 Global Gold Market Mid-Year Outlook" today. Looking ahead to the second half of the year, the gold valuation framework indicates that gold will continue to serve as a barometer of the global macroeconomy, with three main possible scenarios. At current price levels, gold prices are largely in line with market consensus: the market expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates at least once in 2026, most likely in October; the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan, and the European Central Bank will all tighten policy; and US inflation is expected to peak in the second quarter, approaching 3.9%. If these conditions remain largely unchanged, gold prices may trade around $4,100/ounce this year, with a fluctuation range of approximately ±5%. If geopolitical or economic conditions deteriorate, or interest rate expectations shift, gold is expected to resume its upward trend; however, only sufficiently strong signals of a global economic slowdown could drive gold prices to break upwards. On the downside, a stronger dollar, larger-than-expected interest rate hikes, and a recovery in market risk appetite are the main obstacles to gold prices; if gold prices remain below $4,000/ounce, it could trigger further selling. However, based on historical performance, if gold prices fall by more than 10% from current levels, it could trigger "buy the dip" demand from long-term investors in multiple regions.White House National Economic Council Director Hassett: Raising interest rates would be a mistake.UK Maritime Trade Organization: A tanker reported that a small vessel approached it from its port aft side at a distance of 2 nautical miles. The crew is safe and the vessel is continuing its voyage.Ukrainian President Zelensky: I hope that during Irelands EU presidency, I can open up all areas of discussion in the negotiations for Ukraines accession to the EU.British Prime Minister Starmer: The £1 billion annual funding gap in defense spending has been covered by budget "spare space".

Gold Prices Increase in Response to Inflation Fears And Ukraine Concerns

Charlie Brooks

Apr 08, 2022 09:26

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By 2:13 p.m. ET, spot gold XAU= was up 0.5 percent to $1,934.69 per ounce (1812 GMT). Gold futures in the United States increased by 0.8 percent to $1,937.80.


"Once inflation resumes, which I believe it will, it will work in favor of gold, even in the face of the Fed's aggressive monetary policy," Jim Wycoff, senior analyst at Kitco Metals, said.


The Fed's March meeting minutes revealed growing anxiety among officials that inflation had spread across the economy, with "many" members preparing to hike interest rates in large 50-basis-point increments in the coming sessions. 


Rising interest rates in the United States raise the potential cost of bullion holdings while strengthening the currency.


The dollar index =USD eased off a near two-year high reached earlier in the day, while benchmark US 10-year Treasury rates likewise remained around a multi-year high reached on Wednesday. 


Ukraine has increased its requests for crushing financial penalties to compel Moscow to terminate the conflict, while NATO nations have decided to bolster their support for Kyiv. 


Wall Street's major indexes sank for the third consecutive day, as growth stocks extended losses on worries about a more hawkish Federal Reserve and the Ukraine crisis.


Palladium XPD= increased by up to 3.7 percent to about $2,278 per ounce.


"Palladium has historically been quite volatile. Today's focus is on recouping some of yesterday's losses, "Miguel Perez-Santalla, Heraeus Metals Management's head of trading, sales, and marketing in New York, concurred. (Entire Story)


Russia produces between 25% and 30% of the world's palladium, a metal used by manufacturers to decrease pollution from engine exhausts.


Silver XAG= increased 0.6 percent to $24.58 per ounce, while platinum XPT= increased 0.9 percent to $961.53.