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On April 2, DBS published a research report indicating that the recent share price of GCL Technology (03800.HK) is expected to largely follow the cyclical changes in polysilicon prices. In addition, the government may introduce policies to control production or even eliminate backward production capacity, which will become a catalyst for the share price. It is currently expected that GCL Technologys production will drop by 30% this year, and the average selling price of products is expected to increase by more than 10%, offsetting the impact of the decline in production. DBS maintains a buy rating on GCL Technology. Considering that the profit recovery is slower than expected, it lowered its profit forecast for this year from RMB 1 billion to RMB 61 million. It believes that the average selling price will rise and costs will fall, and the profit will rebound to RMB 1.7 billion next year. The target price is lowered from HK$1.35 to HK$1.3.On April 2, market research firm Omdia reported that the annual revenue of the semiconductor market surged by about 25% to $683 billion in 2024. This sharp growth was attributed to strong demand for AI-related chips, especially high-bandwidth memory (HBM) used in AI GPUs, which led to an annual growth rate of 74% in the memory field. After a challenging 2023, the rebound in memory helped boost the overall market. However, this record year masked an uneven performance across the industry. The data processing sector grew strongly, while other key sectors such as automotive, consumer and industrial semiconductors saw revenue declines in 2024. These struggles highlight the weak links in the originally booming market.On April 2, DBS published a research report indicating that the restructuring of Agile (03383.HK) is ongoing, and as a valuable overseas asset in which it holds 45% of the shares, A-Life (03319.HK) may be included in the overseas restructuring plan, and part of the outstanding overseas debts may be offset through credit enhancement or debt-to-equity swaps. Therefore, the restructuring of Agile will put pressure on the share price of A-Life in the near future. In addition, there is still uncertainty as to whether the uncollected receivables from third parties and related parties can be recovered. Considering the limited profit prospects, based on the downward revision of revenue and profit margin forecasts, DBS further lowered the profit forecast of A-Life for this year and next year by 21% to 25%, maintaining the hold rating, and the target price was raised from HK$2.6 to HK$3.Goldman Sachs Group Inc. expects the yen to climb to the bottom of the 140 range against the dollar this year as unease about U.S. economic growth and trade tariffs boost demand for the safest assets. Kamakshya Trivedi, head of global foreign exchange, interest rates and emerging market strategy at Goldman Sachs, said the yen would provide investors with the best currency hedging tool if the likelihood of a U.S. recession increases. Reaching the 140 level would mean a 7% increase from current levels, and the banks forecast is more optimistic than the median of 145 in the agencys survey of analysts. "The yen tends to perform best when U.S. real interest rates and U.S. stocks fall at the same time," Trivedi said.Hong Kong-listed auto stocks fluctuated upward, with Leapmotor (09863.HK) rising more than 9%, Geely Auto (00175.HK) rising nearly 5%, NIO (09866.HK) and Li Auto (02015.HK) both rising more than 1%.

Gold Prices Increase in Response to Inflation Fears And Ukraine Concerns

Charlie Brooks

Apr 08, 2022 09:26

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By 2:13 p.m. ET, spot gold XAU= was up 0.5 percent to $1,934.69 per ounce (1812 GMT). Gold futures in the United States increased by 0.8 percent to $1,937.80.


"Once inflation resumes, which I believe it will, it will work in favor of gold, even in the face of the Fed's aggressive monetary policy," Jim Wycoff, senior analyst at Kitco Metals, said.


The Fed's March meeting minutes revealed growing anxiety among officials that inflation had spread across the economy, with "many" members preparing to hike interest rates in large 50-basis-point increments in the coming sessions. 


Rising interest rates in the United States raise the potential cost of bullion holdings while strengthening the currency.


The dollar index =USD eased off a near two-year high reached earlier in the day, while benchmark US 10-year Treasury rates likewise remained around a multi-year high reached on Wednesday. 


Ukraine has increased its requests for crushing financial penalties to compel Moscow to terminate the conflict, while NATO nations have decided to bolster their support for Kyiv. 


Wall Street's major indexes sank for the third consecutive day, as growth stocks extended losses on worries about a more hawkish Federal Reserve and the Ukraine crisis.


Palladium XPD= increased by up to 3.7 percent to about $2,278 per ounce.


"Palladium has historically been quite volatile. Today's focus is on recouping some of yesterday's losses, "Miguel Perez-Santalla, Heraeus Metals Management's head of trading, sales, and marketing in New York, concurred. (Entire Story)


Russia produces between 25% and 30% of the world's palladium, a metal used by manufacturers to decrease pollution from engine exhausts.


Silver XAG= increased 0.6 percent to $24.58 per ounce, while platinum XPT= increased 0.9 percent to $961.53.