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On September 5th, stronger-than-expected US August jobs data triggered renewed bets on a possible Federal Reserve rate hike, but Wall Street risk assets did not show significant panic. Data showed increased resilience in the job market, leading traders to raise their expectations for a rate hike at the Feds September 16th meeting. US Treasuries experienced a sell-off, the dollar strengthened, and the S&P 500 fell on Friday but still recorded a weekly gain. Unlike previous rate hikes that often triggered capital outflows, this round of bond market adjustments has not yet spread to other risk assets. Credit spreads remain low, limiting pressure on corporate bonds and stock index markets. JPMorgan Chase stated that US Treasury liquidity has deteriorated significantly, but corporate bond ETFs and stock index futures markets have not yet experienced similar tension. Market resilience mainly stems from economic growth and corporate profits, especially as AI investment continues to drive large-scale capital expenditures by technology companies. Analysts point out that the market is currently more focused on whether yields will rise rapidly than on the jobs data itself. The market focus will shift to inflation data and whether the Fed will reconsider its rate hike path due to inflationary pressures. If yields rise further rapidly, it could force investors to reduce their risk exposure.US officials: The White House has no plans to hold an artificial intelligence meeting in mid-September.OpenAI CEO Altman: GPT-6 Astra is now available to all Pro, Enterprise, and Business Premium users and is available via API. Our next step is to begin rolling it out to Plus and Business users. Thank you for your patience.The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) are continuing operations in the security zone to eliminate threats to Israeli civilians and soldiers. The IDF will continue to take measures against Hezbollahs repeated attempts to harm Israeli soldiers.The Israel Defense Forces stated that the operation constituted a "blatant violation" of Hezbollahs rules and that retaliatory strikes had been carried out against targets in southern Lebanon.

Gold Price Prediction: XAUUSD will acquire bullish momentum if the Fed rejects a September rate rise

Alina Haynes

Jun 13, 2022 15:37

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On Monday, gold reached a fresh five-week high of $1,879 before retreating. On Wednesday of this week, the Federal Reserve is expected to make a decision. According to the research, the yellow metal might acquire positive momentum if Chairman Jerome Powell opposes a rate rise in September.

Fed is in the spotlight this week

"It is largely anticipated that the Fed would increase its policy rate by 50 basis points to the range of 1.25 percent to 1.5 percent." It shouldn't come as a surprise if the Fed opts for another 50-basis-point rate hike in July.

 

"The primary issue is whether the Federal Reserve will halt rate rises in September. If the Fed or FOMC Chairman Jerome Powell opposes a rate rise in September, this might be interpreted as dovish signaling and lead to a decrease in US Treasury bond rates. In such a case, gold will certainly gain upward momentum. Alternatively, if the Fed keeps the door open for another rate hike in September, the dollar should continue to outperform its competitors and weigh on XAUUSD.