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According to TASS, Russia is considering a short-term ban on diesel exports lasting several months.The yield on German two-year government bonds fell to a seven-week low of 2.508% after the release of the European Central Banks consumer expectations survey, down 3 basis points on the day.On June 26th, Fitch Ratings BMI Commodities Research division remained bullish on gold, maintaining its 2026 average gold price forecast of $4,600 per ounce. The firm also believes the Federal Reserve will not make any moves on interest rates this year. As noted last week, the Feds hawkish tone has fueled expectations of rate hikes, posing a significant downside risk to gold. However, as long as inflationary pressures related to the Middle East conflict materialize as expected, and with the recent US-Iran agreement beginning to subside, the most likely outcome is that interest rates will remain unchanged for an extended period. Short-term gold price movements may be driven by Fed policy signals, and precious metals are susceptible to market expectation repricing and a renewed strengthening of the US dollar in the short term.June 26th - A survey released by the European Central Bank (ECB) on Friday showed that eurozone consumers lowered their inflation expectations for the next year in May, while long-term expectations remained stable. This indicates that the ECB is not facing pressure to raise interest rates again quickly. Some ECB policymakers said that further tightening of monetary policy is still needed to curb inflation expectations, but there is still considerable disagreement within the ECB regarding the timing of the next move. The ECB consumer expectations survey showed that consumers expectations for inflation over the next year fell from 4.0% in April to 3.5% in May; their expectations for inflation over the next three and five years remained unchanged at 2.9% and 2.4%, respectively. Based on a survey of approximately 19,000 adults in 11 eurozone countries, the ECB stated: "Uncertainty about inflation expectations over the next 12 months has decreased, but remains higher than before the outbreak of the Middle East wars." As in the past, lower-income groups reported higher current inflation perceptions and expectations than other groups, while younger people reported relatively lower inflation perceptions and expectations. Financial markets currently expect the ECB to raise interest rates one or two more times, with the next rate hike not being fully priced in by the market until the fall.On June 26th, Wang Shuo, Director of the Wuhan Municipal Bureau of Data, revealed the above information at a press conference on the theme of "Activating the Value of Data Elements." He also stated that Wuhan will plan 100 data circulation and utilization scenarios around the "965" industrial system. "The upcoming new version of the computing power voucher policy will have a scale of 100 million yuan, and universities, research institutes, enterprises, and individual entrepreneurs residing in the OPC community can all apply," Wang Shuo said. He added that the simultaneously upgraded Wuhan computing power public service platform will enable tokenized services, striving to allow more individuals and enterprises to use computing power as easily as water and electricity.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD surges above $2,010 as Fed policymakers anticipate a rapid decline in US Inflation

Daniel Rogers

Apr 12, 2023 13:41

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In the Asian session, the price of gold (XAU / USD) made a swift advance above the critical resistance of $2,010.00. The price of gold has risen above $2,013, as the US Dollar Index continues to weaken. (DXY). The USD Index has fallen to approximately 102.05 and is anticipated to accelerate its decline. Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers anticipate a rapid deceleration in U.S. inflation, which has a negative influence on the USD Index.

 

Patrick Harker, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, stated, "I am monitoring the data to determine if additional action on inflation is necessary." In addition, the president of the Minneapolis Fed Bank, Neel Kashkari, anticipates that inflation will be in the middle 3 percent by the end of this year and will be closer to 2 percent the following year.

 

Austan Goolsbee, president of the Chicago Fed, advocated a cautious approach in light of the fact that the confluence of constrained credit conditions and further restrictive monetary policy can impact sectors and regions differently than if monetary policy acted alone.

 

As the last inflation data before the Federal Reserve's scheduled interest rate decision in the first week of May, the US inflation data released on Wednesday will be closely monitored.

 

In addition, the Fed minutes will be scrutinized as they will provide a detailed explanation of the 25 basis point (bps) rate hike in March.

 

The demand for US government bonds appears to be subdued prior to the release of US inflation data. The yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds fluctuates around 3.43 percent.