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November 21st - Ahead of the UK governments budget announcement next week, all indicators of a closely watched UK consumer confidence index have fallen. The Labour government is expected to raise taxes in line with the budget. Research firm GfK reported that the overall confidence index fell 2 points to -19 in November. GfKs five sub-indices, which record public opinion on personal finances, spending habits, and the overall state of the UK economy, all declined compared to October. Neil Bellamy, GfKs head of consumer insights, said: "This is a bleak set of figures as we approach the budget announcement next week. The public is bracing for tough news, and in the current environment, theres little to boost expectations."Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama: Our planned stimulus package is not necessarily expansionary; we recognize the need for sensible spending.Futures News, November 21st: Crude oil prices continued their downward correction, while fuel oil news remained bearish, with no positive support from the supply and demand perspective in the short term. Market participants lacked confidence in future trading, opting for cautious small-order purchases, putting pressure on refinery shipments. It is expected that todays negotiations will maintain a stable to slightly lower trend.November 21 – Japanese authorities have issued their strongest warning to date to the foreign exchange market regarding the sharp fluctuations in the yen, with the Finance Minister specifically mentioning intervention as an option in an attempt to curb the yens continued depreciation. Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama stated on Friday, "The government will take appropriate measures to address disorderly fluctuations in the foreign exchange market, including those driven by speculation, based on the approach outlined in the September Japan-U.S. joint statement. Since the September document from the Japan and U.S. finance ministers explicitly included foreign exchange intervention, this is naturally something we can consider." Katayama expressed deep concern about recent exchange rate movements, noting their extremely one-sided and rapid nature. Following Katayamas remarks, the yen briefly strengthened but subsequently gave back all gains, continuing to hover near its lowest level since January.Japans preliminary manufacturing PMI for November was 48.8, down from 48.2 in the previous month.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD surges above $2,010 as Fed policymakers anticipate a rapid decline in US Inflation

Daniel Rogers

Apr 12, 2023 13:41

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In the Asian session, the price of gold (XAU / USD) made a swift advance above the critical resistance of $2,010.00. The price of gold has risen above $2,013, as the US Dollar Index continues to weaken. (DXY). The USD Index has fallen to approximately 102.05 and is anticipated to accelerate its decline. Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers anticipate a rapid deceleration in U.S. inflation, which has a negative influence on the USD Index.

 

Patrick Harker, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, stated, "I am monitoring the data to determine if additional action on inflation is necessary." In addition, the president of the Minneapolis Fed Bank, Neel Kashkari, anticipates that inflation will be in the middle 3 percent by the end of this year and will be closer to 2 percent the following year.

 

Austan Goolsbee, president of the Chicago Fed, advocated a cautious approach in light of the fact that the confluence of constrained credit conditions and further restrictive monetary policy can impact sectors and regions differently than if monetary policy acted alone.

 

As the last inflation data before the Federal Reserve's scheduled interest rate decision in the first week of May, the US inflation data released on Wednesday will be closely monitored.

 

In addition, the Fed minutes will be scrutinized as they will provide a detailed explanation of the 25 basis point (bps) rate hike in March.

 

The demand for US government bonds appears to be subdued prior to the release of US inflation data. The yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds fluctuates around 3.43 percent.