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Hang Seng Index futures closed up 1.25% at 19,841 points in the night session, 257 points higher than the previous session.Congressional Budget Office (CBO): The cost of clean energy subsidies in the inflation-proof bill is now expected to be $825 billion between 2025 and 2035, compared with an estimated cost of $270 billion between 2022 and 2031.The Federal Reserve accepted a total of $118.327 billion from 32 counterparties in fixed-rate reverse repurchase operations.The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) said it was working with SpaceX and relevant authorities to confirm reports of damage to public property in the Turks and Caicos Islands.Futures traders are adjusting their bets in the Treasury market after mild inflation data and dovish comments from a Federal Reserve official. Over the past two days, the volume of open interest has changed, consistent with traders exiting short positions in two-year Treasury bonds and establishing new long positions in longer-term Treasury contracts, especially in the five-year Treasury. The shift came after consumer price inflation data released on Wednesday and comments made by Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller the next day. Data released on Wednesday showed that core price increases in December were lower than economists expected; Waller said that if the trend continues, officials may cut interest rates again in the middle of the year. Morgan Stanleys interest rate strategists suggested late Thursday that long positions could be established in Treasury bonds of this term given expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in March, but this is still a minority view. The swap market expects only a 6 basis point rate cut in March, which means there is about a 25% chance of a 25 basis point cut. “We haven’t ruled out a rate cut in March, but we do see it as more of a tail risk,” said Stephanie LaRosiliere, head of fixed income strategy at Invesco. “It doesn’t feel like the Fed needs to react so hastily.”

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD soars above $1,780 amidst a turbulent US Dollar; US CPI in the focus

Daniel Rogers

Dec 13, 2022 12:07

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Gold price (XAU/USD) rebounded after falling below the critical level of $1,780.00 during the Asian session. The precious metal had a significant decline on Monday as investors anticipate the Federal Reserve (Fed) to signal a higher interest rate peak for CY2023.

 

A resurgence in the price of gold is contingent on an improvement in risk appetite. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has fallen below 105.00 in early trading, and further losses are anticipated in the days ahead. On Monday, S&P500 futures rebounded well as investors shrugged aside the uncertainty caused by inflation predictions. Yields on 10-year US Treasuries have under pressure and fallen below 3.60 percent as the Fed is very likely to signal a pause in future interest rate hikes.

 

A fall in one-year consumer inflation forecasts in the United States has also diminished consensus on casual inflation statistics. In November, the economic data decreased to 5.2% from 5.9% in October, marking the largest one-month loss on record. The headline inflation rate is anticipated to decline to 7.3% from 7.7%.

 

Analysts at JP Morgan Chase & Co. believe that a weak reading of the United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) might unleash a significant surge in U.S. stocks. Bloomberg reports that the 500-stock index of the United States might gain up to 10% if headline inflation falls to 6.9% or less.

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