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August 28th - A Reuters poll shows that the vast majority of economists expect the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) to raise interest rates for the second consecutive time next Wednesday, followed by another rate hike next quarter. The RBNZ implemented its first rate hike in over three years last month and hinted at further tightening of monetary policy to push inflation back to its target range of 1%-3%. Official data released subsequently showed that inflation rose to 4.1% last quarter, a two-and-a-half-year high. Economists expect inflation to remain within the target range this year, partly due to upward pressure on energy prices. The survey shows that about 90% of the 31 economists surveyed expect the RBNZ to raise the official cash rate by 25 basis points to 2.75% next Wednesday. HSBCs chief economist for Australia and New Zealand, Paul Bloxham, said, "The main reason is that inflation is above target." Two-thirds of economists expect the RBNZ to raise rates by at least 25 basis points again next quarter, with a median forecast of 3.00% for the official cash rate at year-end.A Reuters poll shows that more than two-thirds of forecasters expect the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to raise interest rates at least once more after September, with the cash rate expected to reach 3.00% or higher by the end of the year.A Reuters poll showed that 27 out of 31 economists expect the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to raise the cash rate by 25 basis points to 2.75% on September 2.On August 28, Vice Minister of Commerce Yan Dong stated at a press conference held by the State Council Information Office that China will adhere to innovation-driven development, enhance the international competitiveness of productive services, promote the export of services leveraging manufacturing advantages such as R&D, design, testing, maintenance, and supply chain logistics, and promote the integrated development of service trade and high-end manufacturing. The Ministry will also stimulate the export potential of consumer services, expand inbound consumption, promote the improvement of cultural trade quality and efficiency, and better leverage digital technologies such as artificial intelligence and cloud computing to empower the development of service trade. Furthermore, China will accelerate the construction of national service trade innovation and development demonstration zones, steadily and orderly promote the expansion of market access and opening-up areas with a focus on the service industry, improve the negative list management system for cross-border service trade, and remove barriers to cross-border service trade.According to Nikkei Asia: South Koreas Ministry of National Defense announced that Japan, South Korea, and the United States will hold the annual "Freedom Blade" trilateral defense exercise from September 7 to 11 in waters near Jeju Island in southern South Korea.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD maintains rises near $1,650 in advance of a crucial Fed decision

Alina Haynes

Nov 02, 2022 17:50

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Gold pricing is benefiting from the US dollar's continuing weakening, as Treasury yields feel the heat of normal market concern preceding a US Federal Reserve (Fed) event.

 

Asian markets were a mixed bag, as the Chinese tech stocks-led surge sputtered and growth fears reemerged in the wake of the extension of covid lockdowns in numerous cities. In the meantime, benchmark US 10-year interest rates are returning to the 4% critical level, allowing gold prices to remain buoyant.

 

Investors eagerly await any hints of a lesser rate increase in December as all eyes remain on the anticipated 75 bps Fed rate hike decision, with Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference grabbing the spotlight. The US ADP Employment Change data will also be monitored prior to the Fed event, as it may present transitory trade opportunities. Until Friday's release of Nonfarm Payrolls, traders may take signals from ADP jobs while awaiting the Nonfarm Payrolls report.

 

Even though the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is below the 50 level, a dovish Fed rate hike might turn the tables on bears, allowing XAU/USD bulls to retake the bearish 21-Daily Moving Average (DMA) around $1,660 with conviction. Gold bulls could stretch their muscles in the direction of the high at the end of October of $1,675 while gaining vigor to target the $1,700 level.

 

On the other hand, a hawkish surprise might cause the gold market to resume its broader downward trend, with initial support likely at the current range lows near $1,680. The $1,620 round number represents the next downside limit, below which the $1,617 October low could be endangered.