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Federal Reserves Kashkari: Despite artificial intelligence, I remain optimistic about the labor market outlook.Federal Reserves Kashkari: In the short term, the development of artificial intelligence is clearly driving inflation.Federal Reserves Kashkari: Artificial intelligence has likely driven up market interest rates.Both WTI and Brent crude oil prices rose by $0.60 in the short term, reaching $69.20 and $72.65 per barrel, respectively.On June 26th, Federal Reserve official Neel Kashkari stated that widespread signs of inflation led him to anticipate one interest rate hike this year in the Feds economic projections released earlier this month. Interest rates are expected to remain unchanged until 2027. In a media interview on Friday, Kashkari said, "Im concerned about inflation, and its not just about the situation in the Middle East, but rather a manifestation of broader inflationary pressures in the economy." The war in Iran has pushed up oil prices, and prices across many categories have also risen. This has exacerbated concerns among some Fed officials that inflation is becoming more widespread and persistent, potentially requiring stronger central bank action. A report released earlier this week showed that the PCE annual rate in May reached 4.1%, the largest increase since April 2023. Prices have exceeded the Feds 2% target for over five years. In the Feds dot plot projections released last week, half of the officials who provided dot plot projections expected at least one interest rate hike this year.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD maintains rises near $1,650 in advance of a crucial Fed decision

Alina Haynes

Nov 02, 2022 17:50

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Gold pricing is benefiting from the US dollar's continuing weakening, as Treasury yields feel the heat of normal market concern preceding a US Federal Reserve (Fed) event.

 

Asian markets were a mixed bag, as the Chinese tech stocks-led surge sputtered and growth fears reemerged in the wake of the extension of covid lockdowns in numerous cities. In the meantime, benchmark US 10-year interest rates are returning to the 4% critical level, allowing gold prices to remain buoyant.

 

Investors eagerly await any hints of a lesser rate increase in December as all eyes remain on the anticipated 75 bps Fed rate hike decision, with Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference grabbing the spotlight. The US ADP Employment Change data will also be monitored prior to the Fed event, as it may present transitory trade opportunities. Until Friday's release of Nonfarm Payrolls, traders may take signals from ADP jobs while awaiting the Nonfarm Payrolls report.

 

Even though the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is below the 50 level, a dovish Fed rate hike might turn the tables on bears, allowing XAU/USD bulls to retake the bearish 21-Daily Moving Average (DMA) around $1,660 with conviction. Gold bulls could stretch their muscles in the direction of the high at the end of October of $1,675 while gaining vigor to target the $1,700 level.

 

On the other hand, a hawkish surprise might cause the gold market to resume its broader downward trend, with initial support likely at the current range lows near $1,680. The $1,620 round number represents the next downside limit, below which the $1,617 October low could be endangered.