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As of 09:30 Beijing time, WTI crude oil futures rose 3.23%, while US natural gas futures fell 2.78%.The Peoples Bank of China (PBOC) announced today that it conducted 269.5 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase operations, with both the bid and winning bids amounting to 269.5 billion yuan. The operating rate was 1.40%, unchanged from the previous rate.The main contract for the container shipping index (Europe route) rose 253.3 points during the day, currently trading at 2635.0 points, an increase of 10.64%.The yield on 30-year Japanese government bonds rose 4.0 basis points to 3.740%.On March 30, Atsushi Mimura, Japans top foreign exchange official, issued his strongest warning to speculators to date, stating that if current market conditions persist, authorities may need to take decisive intervention measures in the foreign exchange market. "We are increasingly aware that speculative activity is not only heating up in the crude oil futures market, but is also rapidly spreading in the foreign exchange market," Mimura said at a press conference on Monday. He emphasized, "If this trend continues, we believe that swift and decisive action may be imminent." Mimuras remarks came after the yen fell below the 160-dollar mark last week—the critical level at which the Japanese government plans to implement foreign exchange intervention in 2024. He added, "We are fully prepared to respond, with a broad and comprehensive monitoring scope," implying that the Japanese government is not only closely monitoring foreign exchange market movements but also simultaneously paying attention to related markets such as crude oil futures.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD maintains rises near $1,650 in advance of a crucial Fed decision

Alina Haynes

Nov 02, 2022 17:50

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Gold pricing is benefiting from the US dollar's continuing weakening, as Treasury yields feel the heat of normal market concern preceding a US Federal Reserve (Fed) event.

 

Asian markets were a mixed bag, as the Chinese tech stocks-led surge sputtered and growth fears reemerged in the wake of the extension of covid lockdowns in numerous cities. In the meantime, benchmark US 10-year interest rates are returning to the 4% critical level, allowing gold prices to remain buoyant.

 

Investors eagerly await any hints of a lesser rate increase in December as all eyes remain on the anticipated 75 bps Fed rate hike decision, with Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference grabbing the spotlight. The US ADP Employment Change data will also be monitored prior to the Fed event, as it may present transitory trade opportunities. Until Friday's release of Nonfarm Payrolls, traders may take signals from ADP jobs while awaiting the Nonfarm Payrolls report.

 

Even though the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is below the 50 level, a dovish Fed rate hike might turn the tables on bears, allowing XAU/USD bulls to retake the bearish 21-Daily Moving Average (DMA) around $1,660 with conviction. Gold bulls could stretch their muscles in the direction of the high at the end of October of $1,675 while gaining vigor to target the $1,700 level.

 

On the other hand, a hawkish surprise might cause the gold market to resume its broader downward trend, with initial support likely at the current range lows near $1,680. The $1,620 round number represents the next downside limit, below which the $1,617 October low could be endangered.


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