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July 7th - The Hong Kong Gold Central Clearing and Settlement System officially commenced trial operations. It is understood that the Hong Kong Financial Services and the Shanghai Gold Exchange launched the first phase of "physical connectivity" today, based on the cooperation agreement signed in January this year. HKG Clearing has applied to become an international member of the Shanghai Gold Exchange and opened a physical gold account. Market participants can choose to deposit their physical gold holdings into designated warehouses in Hong Kong on the Shanghai Gold Exchanges international board through this account. Through two-way transfers, market participants can participate in both the Shanghai Gold Exchanges on-exchange market and the Hong Kong over-the-counter market, facilitating the flow of physical gold between the HKG Clearing system and the Shanghai Gold Exchange system, effectively connecting the gold markets of Hong Kong and Shanghai.On July 7th, AMP Chief Economist Shane Oliver listed a list of risks facing the market over the next year, with one key risk focusing on the White House. He stated that after the upcoming midterm elections, US President Trump will be less constrained and may use this window of opportunity before the 2028 election to escalate overseas military operations, including renewed actions against Iran, and potentially involving Greenland and Cuba. Oliver added that this risk is particularly concerning if Trump loses control of both houses of Congress in November.Pan Gongsheng, Governor of the Peoples Bank of China: We will support more high-quality companies to list and issue bonds in Hong Kong, and the annual net investment quota for the Bond Connect "Southbound" program will be increased to 800 billion yuan.July 7th - The 2026 World Artificial Intelligence Conference and High-Level Meeting on Global Governance of Artificial Intelligence will be held in Shanghai from July 17th to 20th. Wang Ruomeng, Deputy Director of the Innovation and High-Tech Development Department of the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), stated at a press conference in Shanghai on July 7th that the NDRC will release two outcomes at this years conference. First, the "Chinas Smart World: Case Studies" collection. Since 2024, the NDRC has released case studies for three consecutive years, sharing my countrys accumulated products, technologies, and practical experience in "AI+" initiatives with the world. This years cases cover more than 20 countries, involving agriculture, industry, energy, and scientific research. Second, the "Action Plan for Cooperation and Development in Artificial Intelligence," which includes eight aspects such as inclusive intelligent computing power, open-source ecosystem sharing, AI empowerment, and security governance cooperation. It aims to strengthen communication and exchange with other countries in areas such as technological innovation, industrial application, and security governance.Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (ADNOC) of the United Arab Emirates stated that this agreement brings the long-term order book for the Ruwais LNG project to over 90% of its total capacity, with nearly 23% of the capacity already committed to supplying Japanese customers.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD maintains rises near $1,650 in advance of a crucial Fed decision

Alina Haynes

Nov 02, 2022 17:50

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Gold pricing is benefiting from the US dollar's continuing weakening, as Treasury yields feel the heat of normal market concern preceding a US Federal Reserve (Fed) event.

 

Asian markets were a mixed bag, as the Chinese tech stocks-led surge sputtered and growth fears reemerged in the wake of the extension of covid lockdowns in numerous cities. In the meantime, benchmark US 10-year interest rates are returning to the 4% critical level, allowing gold prices to remain buoyant.

 

Investors eagerly await any hints of a lesser rate increase in December as all eyes remain on the anticipated 75 bps Fed rate hike decision, with Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference grabbing the spotlight. The US ADP Employment Change data will also be monitored prior to the Fed event, as it may present transitory trade opportunities. Until Friday's release of Nonfarm Payrolls, traders may take signals from ADP jobs while awaiting the Nonfarm Payrolls report.

 

Even though the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is below the 50 level, a dovish Fed rate hike might turn the tables on bears, allowing XAU/USD bulls to retake the bearish 21-Daily Moving Average (DMA) around $1,660 with conviction. Gold bulls could stretch their muscles in the direction of the high at the end of October of $1,675 while gaining vigor to target the $1,700 level.

 

On the other hand, a hawkish surprise might cause the gold market to resume its broader downward trend, with initial support likely at the current range lows near $1,680. The $1,620 round number represents the next downside limit, below which the $1,617 October low could be endangered.