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On September 18th, many consumers reported on social media that they couldnt buy lemonade at various Mixue Ice City stores. A source close to Mixue Ice City reported that some stores in certain regions have recently experienced fluctuations in raw material supply due to weather delays in the arrival of a batch of imported lemons. Furthermore, Sichuan and Chongqing lemons have entered their harvest season and require storage for optimal taste, leading to supply shortages in some areas. However, overall lemon reserves are sufficient. A large volume of imported lemons is about to arrive, and the stored lemons have been evaluated and tested to meet usage standards. They are being distributed to stores, and the lemon shortages will soon be resolved.According to futures data from September 18th, Japans commercial crude oil inventories increased by 196,072 kiloliters to 10,698,257 kiloliters in the week ending September 13th. Gasoline inventories increased by 46,361 kiloliters to 1,691,790 kiloliters. Kerosene inventories decreased by 5,766 kiloliters to 2,692,860 kiloliters. The average refinery operating rate in Japan was 84.0%, compared to 87.6% the previous week.Samsung Electronics: Hiring 60,000 employees over the next five years; positions will focus on chips, biotechnology and artificial intelligence.According to futures data on September 18, overnight shibor was 1.5140%, up 3.10 basis points; 7-day shibor was 1.5280%, up 0.90 basis points; 14-day shibor was 1.5810%, down 2.60 basis points; January shibor was 1.5440%, up 0.30 basis points; March shibor was 1.5560%, up 0.20 basis points.On September 18th, Nick Timiraos, the "Federal Reserve mouthpiece," stated: "When the Federal Reserve cut interest rates on Wednesday, it superficially looked like a routine monetary policy operation. The market reaction was relatively muted, and Chairman Jerome Powell largely avoided the heated disagreements sparked by the decision, despite it occurring against the backdrop of unprecedented political confrontation." The policy shift initiated by Powells rate cut on Wednesday may represent his last effort to demonstrate that an independent US central bank remains capable of guiding the economy in a complex environment, rather than surrendering its independence before officials more aligned with President Trumps priorities gain greater control. Powells term as chairman will end next spring. For the third time in his tenure, Powell attempted an extremely delicate maneuver: cutting interest rates not because a recession is imminent, but to prevent one.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD maintains rises near $1,650 in advance of a crucial Fed decision

Alina Haynes

Nov 02, 2022 17:50

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Gold pricing is benefiting from the US dollar's continuing weakening, as Treasury yields feel the heat of normal market concern preceding a US Federal Reserve (Fed) event.

 

Asian markets were a mixed bag, as the Chinese tech stocks-led surge sputtered and growth fears reemerged in the wake of the extension of covid lockdowns in numerous cities. In the meantime, benchmark US 10-year interest rates are returning to the 4% critical level, allowing gold prices to remain buoyant.

 

Investors eagerly await any hints of a lesser rate increase in December as all eyes remain on the anticipated 75 bps Fed rate hike decision, with Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference grabbing the spotlight. The US ADP Employment Change data will also be monitored prior to the Fed event, as it may present transitory trade opportunities. Until Friday's release of Nonfarm Payrolls, traders may take signals from ADP jobs while awaiting the Nonfarm Payrolls report.

 

Even though the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is below the 50 level, a dovish Fed rate hike might turn the tables on bears, allowing XAU/USD bulls to retake the bearish 21-Daily Moving Average (DMA) around $1,660 with conviction. Gold bulls could stretch their muscles in the direction of the high at the end of October of $1,675 while gaining vigor to target the $1,700 level.

 

On the other hand, a hawkish surprise might cause the gold market to resume its broader downward trend, with initial support likely at the current range lows near $1,680. The $1,620 round number represents the next downside limit, below which the $1,617 October low could be endangered.


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