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January 27th, Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: Spot gold prices have risen in recent intraday trading, having successfully corrected significant overbought pressure indicated by the Relative Strength Index (RSI). The indicator is currently in deeply oversold territory relative to price action, providing new upward momentum and pushing prices further towards new historical resistance levels. This strong performance is attributed to the continued action of dynamic support, with gold prices currently trading above the 50-period exponential moving average (EMA50). With the short-term bullish trend dominating, gold prices are moving along the support trendline of this trend, further increasing the likelihood of continued gains in subsequent trading sessions.On January 27th, Amundi, Europes largest asset manager, stated that the deepening international isolation of the United States is prompting many investors to reduce their holdings of dollar assets and shift towards gold. Vincent Motiejunas, Chief Investment Officer of Amundi, said that the weakening of the dollars status also stems from the massive US fiscal deficit and the uncertainty surrounding future Federal Reserve policies. He stated, "We have consistently allocated to gold for the past two and a half years and believe this trend will continue because, in the long term, gold effectively hedges against currency devaluation risks and is an ideal tool for maintaining purchasing power." Motiejunas pointed out that current gold demand mainly comes from institutional investors such as central banks and sovereign wealth funds. He analyzed that Trumps continued pressure on traditional allies will eventually come at a price. Allies cannot tolerate this bullying forever, and new alliances are forming. Europes shift in stance on the Greenland issue is significant, indicating that pressure may give rise to new forms of resistance. Global funds are forced to seek new wealth reserves. "The key question is, where to go after selling off the dollar?" Motiejunas admitted, "Gold has become a realistic option."January 27th, Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: WTI crude oil prices retreated in the recent trading day, attempting to find higher support levels as a technical bottom to help accumulate the upward momentum needed for a price recovery. This pullback has placed prices under pressure from the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA50); meanwhile, the main bullish trend driving the market in the short term remains intact, with prices currently moving along the secondary trendline supporting this trend. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has entered extremely oversold territory, with a bullish divergence pattern becoming increasingly apparent, coupled with a bullish crossover signal, which could pave the way for a subsequent rebound.January 27th, Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: Brent crude oil futures prices retreated during the previous trading day, attempting to find higher lows to provide the bullish momentum needed for a rebound. In the short term, the main bullish trend remains dominant, with prices moving along the secondary support trendline. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has entered oversold territory and shows a significant divergence from price action, indicating a potential positive divergence. Furthermore, prices are supported by the 50-day EMA, further enhancing the likelihood of a short-term price rebound.On January 27th, the Zhejiang Provincial Department of Culture and Tourism issued a document to support large-scale commercial performances such as concerts and music festivals held in Zhejiang Province, and to encourage performances to have their only national stop, premiere in Zhejiang, or begin their tour in Zhejiang. The document provides subsidies for eligible performance projects. On January 27th, a staff member from the Zhejiang Provincial Department of Culture and Tourism stated that, according to the document, eligible performance companies will receive subsidies ranging from 200,000 to 1 million yuan. Companies within the province, except for those in Ningbo, are eligible to apply.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD falls below the $1,670 barrier before the Fed's chosen inflation gauge

Alina Haynes

Oct 28, 2022 15:18

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Gold price (XAU/USD) consolidates its second consecutive weekly gain as bears test the $1,658 mark ahead of Friday's European session. In doing so, the yellow metal traces the recent decline in commodities and Antipodean currencies against the backdrop of the dollar's recovery.

 

In spite of this, the US Dollar Index (DXY) gains bids to extend yesterday's gains to 110.65 as 10-year US Treasury yields rise to 3.94 percent. In spite of this, benchmark bond coupon yields reverse a 10-week advance, which boosted equity and gold prices earlier in the week.

 

While seeking answers, the market's nervousness ahead of the US Core PCE Price Index for September, which is anticipated to jump to 5.2% from 4.9% previously, might be viewed as significant in light of the recent pullback in hawkish Fed wagers. As buzz surrounding the Fed's easy rate hike in December intensifies, the inflation number and market wagers on the Fed's next action become increasingly significant.

 

Other than the rebound in the DXY, economic concerns about China, one of the world's largest commodity consumers, and geopolitical concerns about Ukraine impose downward pressure on the XAU/USD exchange rate. "The International Monetary Fund (IMF) lowered its economic estimates for Asia on Friday due to global monetary tightening, increasing prices blamed on the war in Ukraine, and China's rapid slowdown," said Reuters.

 

In the midst of these plays, stock futures are red, mirroring Wall Street's poor performance, as bond markets pare recent gains.

 

In a probable lively session, the US inflation data and pre-Fed worries could provide XAU/USD bears some motivation.