EUR/USD 1.18739
0.030%
Gold 5032.54
2.252%
Oil 62.595
-0.242%
USD/JPY 152.752
0.012%
GBP/USD 1.36557
0.249%
GBP/JPY 208.597
0.270%
Browse More
  • English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
February 15th - The World Health Organization (WHO) issued a statement on the 14th saying that it has received reports of recombinant monkeypox virus strains in recent months, with two patients infected with a new strain resulting from the recombination of branch Ib and branch IIb strains. However, the risk of monkeypox infection in the general population without specific risk factors remains "low".February 15th - According to reports on the 13th local time, US chocolate prices continue to rise due to factors such as supply shortages in major global cocoa-producing regions, with a year-on-year increase exceeding 14%. Data from the US market research company DataCollection shows that from January 1st to early February this year, US chocolate retail prices rose 14.4% year-on-year. Specifically, chocolate prices in cities like Denver and Los Angeles rose by approximately 17% year-on-year, while the Dallas-Fort Worth area saw a surge of 19%. The rise in US chocolate prices is mainly due to the global shortage of cocoa beans, the core ingredient. West Africa accounts for about 70% of global cocoa bean production, and extreme weather led to poor harvests, pushing cocoa futures prices to historical highs. Although international cocoa prices have recently fallen significantly, the US chocolate market is still digesting previously purchased high-priced raw material inventory, and the upward trend in chocolate prices may continue in the short term.February 15th - According to foreign media reports, the Vietnamese government approved SpaceXs Starlink satellite internet service launch in Vietnam on February 14th. The Vietnamese Ministry of Science and Technology has issued a license to Starlinks local subsidiary, allowing it to provide fixed and mobile satellite internet services. The company has also been granted permission to use radio frequencies and wireless equipment.February 15th – Hong Kong Financial Secretary Paul Chan Mo-po delivered a Lunar New Year message: "In the past year, with the strong support of the nation and the joint efforts of the SAR government and citizens, we have overcome many challenges. Exports performed well, visitor numbers increased, local consumption stabilized, and the international financial center developed steadily, resulting in overall economic stability and progress. Looking ahead to the new year, the external environment is challenging, but it will also present many new opportunities. We will actively strive for economic development, consolidate and enhance traditional advantageous industries, while exploring new markets and developing emerging industries. We will vigorously attract businesses and gather talent, ensuring that the fruits of diversified development better benefit the citizens. This year marks the beginning of the 15th Five-Year Plan, and we will more actively integrate into and serve the overall development of the nation, leveraging our strengths to serve the countrys needs."SpaceX announced that a Falcon 9 rocket launched 24 Starlink satellites from California.

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD bears anticipate a Fed rate hike near $1,660

Alina Haynes

Sep 21, 2022 14:35

截屏2022-07-29 上午11.06.12.png

 

Wednesday's Asian session gold price (XAU/USD) reflects pre-Fed nervousness as bears flirt with $1,665 inside an immediate trading range. In addition to geopolitical concerns, the hawkish Fed bets create downward pressure on the metal. However, the market's consolidation prior to significant central bank announcements and the already-priced 0.75 basis point Fed rate hike appear to be testing the bears.

 

Reuters reported that the Federal Reserve began a two-day meeting on Tuesday, with rate futures traders pricing in an 83% chance of a 75 basis point raise and a 17% possibility of a 100 basis point tightening. The news adds to rising expectations that a positive surprise will weigh on the XAU/USD exchange rate. The previous day, global economist Nouriel Roubini endorsed metal bears and joined the band of supporters for the Fed's 1% rate hike.

 

In addition, the news of a sudden shutdown in the steel center of Tangshan due to China's zero covid policy recently rocked market confidence and boosted demand for the US dollar. In a similar vein might be the revelation that US Senators are seeking secondary sanctions on Russian oil.

 

In addition, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) lowered its growth predictions for emerging Asia in 2022 and 2023 on Wednesday, citing growing risks from increased central bank monetary tightening, the consequences from the conflict in Ukraine, and COVID-19 lockdowns in China. The news exerts a downward impact on mood and the XAU/USD exchange rate.

 

Regarding US statistics, the yields appeared to support DXY bulls on the back of generally positive US housing data. The nine-month decline in the US NAHB Housing Market Index preceded the August decrease in Building Permits to 1.517M from 1.61M expected and 1.68M previously. However, Housing Starts increased to 1.575 million compared to the market consensus of 1.445 million and previous readings of 1.404 million.

 

During the pre-Fed period of apprehension, the 2-year US Treasury yield reached its highest level in 15 years, while the 10-year yield reached its highest level in 11 years. Consequently, Wall Street's benchmarks closed in the negative, while the S&P 500 Futures remain undecided.

 

While the market's hesitation is mostly attributable to pre-Fed jitters, other central banks are also scheduled to influence the markets and gold prices. However, the focus will be on their ability to prevent recession while attempting to control inflation. If the Fed can persuade optimists of their capacity, a XAU/USD comeback cannot be counted out.


Suggestion