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Key Events and Data Preview for This Week – Fed Meeting Minutes; Chinas June CPI and June Foreign Exchange Reserves; SK Hynix ADR Makes its US Stock Market Debut 1. Monday: ① Data: Switzerlands June seasonally adjusted unemployment rate; Eurozones July Sentix Investor Confidence Index, Eurozones May PPI (MoM), Eurozones May Retail Sales (MoM); US June S&P Global Services PMI (Final), US June ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, US June Global Supply Chain Stress Index. ② Events: Speeches by Fed Governor Waller, ECB Executive Board Member Schnabel, ECB Governing Council Member Winsch, and Swedish Central Bank Deputy Governor Seim. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: Germanys May seasonally adjusted industrial production (MoM); UKs June Halifax seasonally adjusted house price index (MoM); Frances May trade balance; US ADP employment change for the week ending June 20, US May trade balance; Chinas June foreign exchange reserves. ② Events: Turkey hosts the NATO summit until July 8; the Office of the United States Trade Representative holds a public hearing to consider a proposal to impose additional tariffs on 60 economies worldwide. 3. Wednesday: ① Data: US API crude oil inventories for the week ending July 3; Japans May trade balance; New Zealands Reserve Bank of New Zealand interest rate decision for July 8; US May wholesale sales month-on-month rate; US EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending July 3; US EIA Cushing, Oklahoma crude oil inventories for the week ending July 3; US EIA Strategic Petroleum Reserve inventories for the week ending July 3. ② Events: EIA releases its monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook report; Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Brehman holds a monetary policy press conference. 4. Thursday: ① Data: US 10-year Treasury auction (ending July 8) - winning yield, US 10-year Treasury auction (ending July 8) - bid-to-cover ratio; Chinas June CPI year-on-year rate; Germanys May seasonally adjusted trade balance; US initial jobless claims for the week ending July 4; US June existing home sales (annualized); US EIA natural gas storage for the week ending July 3. ② Events: Federal Reserve releases monetary policy meeting minutes; European Central Bank releases June monetary policy meeting minutes; FOMC permanent voting member and New York Fed President Williams speaks. 5. Friday: ① Data: Germanys final June CPI month-on-month rate; Frances final June CPI month-on-month rate; Switzerlands June consumer confidence index; Canadas June employment change; Chinas June M2 money supply year-on-year rate. ② Events: SK Hynixs American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) are tentatively scheduled to list on Nasdaq on July 10; 2026 FOMC voting member and Dallas Fed President Logan speaks; IEA releases monthly oil market report. ③ Holiday: The New Zealand Stock Exchange is closed for one day. 6. Saturday: ① Data: Total number of oil rigs in the United States for the week ending July 10.An advisor to the Ukrainian Interior Minister stated that approximately 15 explosions occurred in Kyiv within 10 minutes. Air raid sirens are still in effect. There is a possibility of cruise missile and further ballistic missile attacks.On July 6, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated on July 5 that he will continue to oppose Irans nuclear program regardless of whether the United States and Iran reach an agreement. He said that in order to defend Israels fundamental interests, the Israeli government will never allow Iran to acquire nuclear weapons.An advisor to the Ukrainian Interior Minister stated that Kyiv, the capital of Ukraine, has been hit by multiple rounds of ballistic missile strikes from Russia, with explosions reported throughout the city.U.S. Republican Representative Nancy Mays: We will introduce a bill to ban immigration from Somalia, South Sudan, and Sudan.

Gold Price Prediction: The XAU/USD pair remains stable near $1,750 as central bankers travel to Jackson Hole

Alina Haynes

Aug 24, 2022 15:11

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Gold price (XAU/USD) ranges between $1,745 and $1,746 as traders prepare for Wednesday's European session.

 

In doing so, the shiny metal reflects the cautious disposition of the markets ahead of the US Durable Goods Orders report for July. The fact that global officials have recently left for Friday's important address at the Kansas City Fed's symposium in Jackson Hole further restrains the bullion's quick movement.

 

According to Reuters, "many of the central bankers travelling to the Grand Teton mountains this week are hopeful that the current inflationary pressures will abate swiftly enough to allow them to fight the projected economic downturns around the world."

 

Notably, the decline in US 10-year Treasury yields, near 3.03% and down 2.5 basis points (bps), also benefits the gold price. In contrast, economic concerns surrounding China, the world's largest consumer of commodities, impact on the XAU/USD exchange rate. Bloomberg reported that "authorities have been attempting to put a floor under a downturn caused by China's widening real estate crisis as well as a lingering impact to consumer and business mood caused by a stop-and-go Covid control plan."

 

Stock futures remain moderately offered as the US Dollar Index (DXY) oscillates near the intraday high after reversing from the yearly peak the day before.

 

US Durable Goods Orders for July, anticipated to be 0.6% versus 2.0% previously, will be crucial for intraday direction. However, Friday's statement by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell at the Kansas City Fed's conference in Jackson Hole deserves significant consideration. If authorities see recession as a greater risk than inflation and demonstrate a willingness to reverse the previously hawkish tilt, the XAU/USD could see additional gains.