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Hang Seng Index futures closed up 1.25% at 19,841 points in the night session, 257 points higher than the previous session.Congressional Budget Office (CBO): The cost of clean energy subsidies in the inflation-proof bill is now expected to be $825 billion between 2025 and 2035, compared with an estimated cost of $270 billion between 2022 and 2031.The Federal Reserve accepted a total of $118.327 billion from 32 counterparties in fixed-rate reverse repurchase operations.The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) said it was working with SpaceX and relevant authorities to confirm reports of damage to public property in the Turks and Caicos Islands.Futures traders are adjusting their bets in the Treasury market after mild inflation data and dovish comments from a Federal Reserve official. Over the past two days, the volume of open interest has changed, consistent with traders exiting short positions in two-year Treasury bonds and establishing new long positions in longer-term Treasury contracts, especially in the five-year Treasury. The shift came after consumer price inflation data released on Wednesday and comments made by Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller the next day. Data released on Wednesday showed that core price increases in December were lower than economists expected; Waller said that if the trend continues, officials may cut interest rates again in the middle of the year. Morgan Stanleys interest rate strategists suggested late Thursday that long positions could be established in Treasury bonds of this term given expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in March, but this is still a minority view. The swap market expects only a 6 basis point rate cut in March, which means there is about a 25% chance of a 25 basis point cut. “We haven’t ruled out a rate cut in March, but we do see it as more of a tail risk,” said Stephanie LaRosiliere, head of fixed income strategy at Invesco. “It doesn’t feel like the Fed needs to react so hastily.”

Gold Price Prediction: The XAU/USD pair approaches $1,880 following a robust comeback amid weaker US yields

Alina Haynes

Feb 09, 2023 15:03

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During the Asian session, the gold price (XAU/USD) has renewed its daily high above $1,880.00. As market participants' risk appetite has increased, the gold price has climbed sharply higher after recovering from $1,872.00. The precious metal is anticipated to extend its uptrend over $1,880.00 with confidence, as lower US Treasury yields have mitigated the risk-averse inclination.

 

The yields on 10-year US Treasury bonds have decreased to approximately 3.61 percent. S&P500 futures have rebounded in the Asian session following a decline on Wednesday. The expectation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will not be aggressive in the future in hiking interest rates supports the 500-US stock index.

 

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is battling to maintain above 103.00, despite the fact that the market has begun anticipating a Fed interest rate rise above 5%.

 

Jamie Dimon, chief executive officer of JPMorgan Chase & Co., advised against prematurely declaring victory against inflation, saying that the Federal Reserve could hike interest rates above 5% if higher prices become "sticky," as reported by Reuters. He stated that Fed Chair Jerome Powell must exceed 5% if inflation does not fall to between 3.5% and 4%.