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1. Wells Fargo: The Fed is increasingly unlikely to cut rates in March. 2. Citigroup: The Fed is expected to make its next rate cut in May, compared with January. 3. JPMorgan Chase: Given the latest (strong) non-farm payrolls data, the Fed is expected to make its next rate cut in June, compared with March. 4. Bank of America: The rate cut cycle may be over; the basic assumption is that the Fed will keep rates unchanged for a long time, but the risk of the next move is inclined to a rate hike. 5. Goldman Sachs: Reduced the Feds rate cut this year from 75 basis points to 50 basis points; the Fed is expected to cut by 25 basis points in June and December respectively. 6. Morgan Stanley: The non-farm report should reduce the likelihood of a near-term Fed rate cut; due to a more favorable inflation outlook, a rate cut in March is still likely.According to AFP: Brazil gave Meta Platforms (META.O) 72 hours to explain its new fact-checking policy.Natural Gas of Spain: In December, liquefied natural gas accounted for 53.5% of Spains natural gas imports, and natural gas imported through pipelines accounted for 46.7%.On January 11, Donald Rissmiller, chief economist at New York research firm Strategas Research, said that the stronger-than-expected non-farm payrolls in December put a solid end to 2024, but this did not significantly change the trajectory of the US economy. Rissmiller said that growth in all industries except manufacturing should give the Federal Reserve time to cut interest rates because the cooling of the economy seems to be quite gradual. But the report also shows that one month of strong performance does not change the overall situation. The length of time workers are unemployed continues to increase, suggesting that the job market is not as tight as before.January 11th, following the shocking non-farm payrolls data in December last year, investors are now turning their attention to the December CPI data scheduled for release next Wednesday. Bank of America analysts Sarah House and Aubrey Woessner expect overall inflation to reach a five-month high of 2.9% in December, higher than 2.7% in November. They said in a report that the core CPI growth rate is expected to remain at 3.3% for the fourth consecutive month. They believe that inflation "will stagnate this year as anti-inflationary benefits from improved supply chains and falling commodity prices have faded, while new headwinds may emerge from trade policy."

Gold Price Prediction - Gold Prices Will Experience Declining Pressure as the Dollar Strengthens

Daniel Rogers

May 13, 2022 10:17

Gold prices are under pressure to decline as investors flock to the dollar as a safe-haven asset. The market became more risk-averse as a result of rising inflation statistics. The dollar rises as investors flock to the currency for its safe-haven attraction.

 

In response to strong inflation data, investors shifted into bonds and sold equities, lowering benchmark yields. Today, the yield on ten-year bonds fell 7 basis points.

 

This week, initial unemployment claims increased by 1,000 to 203,000 from the revised total of 202,000 previous week. The result conforms to the tight labor market. As workers are pushed to seek out better options, job postings and resignation rates have reached all-time highs.

 

The most recent CPI data indicates that the Fed is concerned about rising inflation. The CPI came in at 8.3%, which was stronger than anticipated. Nonetheless, the reading was lower than March's reading of 8.5%. The data supports the Fed's strategy to aggressively tighten interest rates in response to rising inflationary pressures.

Technical Evaluation

Gold prices fall below the 200-day moving average of $1,836 and are subject to bearish pressure that might drive gold prices to $1,800. Near the 200-day moving average at 1,836 is viewed as support. Near the 10-day moving average of 1,874, there is expected to be resistance.

 

As a result of the Fast Stochastic's crossover sell signal, short-term momentum is negative. As the fast stochastic displays a value of 9.79 below the oversold threshold of 20, prices are oversold.

 

As the MACD produces a crossover sell signal, medium-term momentum has gone negative. This occurs when the 12-day moving average minus the 26-day moving average crosses below the MACD line's 9-day moving average.

 

The trajectory of the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram is negative, indicating falling prices.

 

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