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South Koreas Trade Minister: There will be no further market opening in the agricultural sector.Futures News, September 15th: London spot gold prices fluctuated higher on September 15th, reaching a new all-time high, up 1.59% on a weekly basis to $3,643.06 per ounce. Gold prices fluctuated at high levels during the week. While inflation data prompted a rate cut, the cut was already largely priced in. Meanwhile, US inflation remained contained, with no reflationary expectations. With the Federal Reserves interest rate cut expected next week, the market may react with caution, with increased short-term volatility and a degree of uncertainty surrounding the market. However, the macroeconomic logic for golds upward trend remains intact, and with renewed geopolitical uncertainty, buying on dips may remain the primary strategy. US Treasury Secretary Bensont stated that the US economy inherited by Trump is in worse shape than reported, and that the Federal Reserve should recalibrate interest rates. Fed Chairman Powell has again become a target of criticism from the Trump administration, with Trump again calling for a swift rate cut. The US August CPI was in line with expectations, while the PPI unexpectedly fell sharply. Combined with the dismal employment data, market expectations of a renewed US recession are swirling, making a 25 basis point interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve almost certain. Market focus is on whether the combination of low inflationary pressures and poor employment conditions will lead to more rate cuts, and the market is awaiting comments from Fed officials. Geopolitically, Israel attacked Hamas targets in Qatar this week. Russian government spokesman Dmitry Peskov stated on the 12th that peace talks between Russia and Ukraine have been suspended, but negotiators from both sides remain open to communication through existing channels.A Yomiuri Shimbun poll in Japan showed that in the Liberal Democratic Party election, Sanae Takaichi led with 29% support, while Shinjiro Koizumi had 25% support.1. The three major U.S. stock indices closed mixed, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.59%, the S&P 500 down 0.05%, and the Nasdaq up 0.44%, reaching new all-time highs. Merck and Sherwin-Williams fell over 2%, leading the Dow lower. The Wind US Tech 7 Index rose 1.14%, with Tesla up over 7% and Apple up over 1%. Chinese concept stocks were mixed, with JinkoSolar up over 6% and Douyu down over 4%. 2. U.S. Treasury yields rose across the board, with the 2-year Treasury yield up 0.99 basis points to 3.549%, the 3-year Treasury yield up 1.94 basis points to 3.527%, the 5-year Treasury yield up 3.81 basis points to 3.633%, the 10-year Treasury yield up 4.57 basis points to 4.070%, and the 30-year Treasury yield up 2.69 basis points to 4.681%. 3. International precious metal futures generally closed higher. COMEX gold futures rose 0.19% to $3,680.70 per ounce, a weekly gain of 0.75%. COMEX silver futures rose 1.26% to $42.68 per ounce, a weekly gain of 2.71%. 4. International oil prices rose slightly. The main contract for US crude oil closed up 0.37% at $62.60 per barrel, a weekly gain of 1.18%. The main contract for Brent crude oil rose 0.77% to $66.88 per barrel, a weekly gain of 2.11%. 5. London base metals rose across the board, with LME zinc futures up 1.93% at $2,956.00/ton, up 3.32% for the week; LME nickel futures up 1.52% at $15,380.00/ton, up 0.95% for the week; LME lead futures up 1.13% at $2,019.00/ton, up 1.71% for the week; LME aluminum futures up 1.03% at $2,701.00/ton, up 3.86% for the week; LME tin futures up 0.74% at $34,955.00/ton, up 1.87% for the week; and LME copper futures up 0.13% at $10,064.50/ton, up 1.69% for the week.Market News: South Koreas trade minister will visit the United States on Monday for tariff negotiations.

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD struggles around $1,800 ahead of ISM Services PMI data

Daniel Rogers

Dec 05, 2022 12:04

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In the early Tokyo session, the gold price (XAU/USD) is under intense pressure to overcome the round-level barrier of $1,800.00. The precious metal is highly projected to display additional gains ahead and may extend towards a fresh three-month high at $1,824.63 as the bullish US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) failed to fade the risk appetite theme.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is seeking to re-test the previous week's low around 104.40 as market investors believe that good employment growth in November is inadequate to offset forecasts of a slowdown in the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike pace (Fed). In addition, rates on 10-year US Treasuries have fallen further below 3.50 percent and are receiving no intermediate buffer.

 

Monday's publication of United States ISM Services data is the economic indicator that investors are anticipating for additional guidance. The expected economic data is 55.6, up from 54.4 in the previous release. Apart from that, the catalyst which will effect Gold prices is the ISM Services New Orders Index data. The economic statistics is anticipated to rise to 58.5, which shows healthy demand from households and may provide a cushion against future inflation.

 

After a drop to roughly its November 15 high of $1,777.32, the hourly demand for gold has increased significantly. The yellow metal is aiming for a three-month high of approximately $1,805.00. The Gold price has surpassed the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,795.90 after sensing support from the 50-period EMA near $1,790.00, indicating a shift in the short-term trend toward the upside.