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Market news: US Special Envoy Jared Kushner and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu discussed the second phase of the Gaza peace agreement.November 11 (Xinhua) -- Russias Federal Security Service (FSB) announced on Tuesday that it had thwarted a plot orchestrated by Ukrainian and British spies to lure a Russian pilot with a $3 million offer to steal a MiG-31 aircraft equipped with Kinzhal hypersonic missiles. RIA Novosti, citing the FSB, reported that the aircraft was en route to a NATO airbase in Constanta, Romania, where it was likely to be shot down by air defenses. The FSB stated that Ukraine and Britain had planned to use the hijacked aircraft for a large-scale "provocation," and that Ukrainian military intelligence had attempted to bribe a Russian pilot with $3 million to steal the fighter jet. RIA Novosti quoted the FSB as saying, "The measures taken thwarted a large-scale provocation plan by Ukrainian and British intelligence agencies."November 11 - Local time on the 11th, the general election for the Iraqi National Assembly officially began, with voting lasting from 7:00 am to 6:00 pm.On November 11th, ING stated that among Asian high-yield currencies, the Indian rupee has the greatest appreciation potential next year. The bank pointed out that a trade agreement between India and the United States could drive a rebound in the rupee, which has significantly underperformed its peers this year. In a report dated November 10th, ING economists, including Deepali Bhargava, predicted that the Indian rupee would appreciate to 87 rupees to the US dollar by the end of 2026, an increase of approximately 2% from current levels. The bank believes that based on real effective exchange rate calculations, the rupee is currently trading below its fair value and is one of the Asian currencies with the greatest potential for appreciation. The economists stated, "If trade negotiations turn in a favorable direction, the Indian rupee could achieve a substantial reversal. India remains a top performer among high-yield economies: solid fundamentals, manageable fiscal risks, and continued investment attraction through supply chain diversification."November 11th - According to the Financial Times, two prominent think tanks and the German central bank recently issued warnings about the use of new German borrowing. Economists have accused Chancellor Merz of diverting billions of euros in new debt originally intended for defense and infrastructure investment to increase welfare spending and other recurring expenditures. The German central bank and two economic think tanks pointed out that a significant portion of the governments planned new borrowing may be used in areas that should be covered by the regular budget—including tax cuts and subsidies. After winning the federal election in February, Merz reached a landmark agreement with the Social Democratic Party and the Green Party, loosening constitutional borrowing restrictions on infrastructure and defense spending. The new rules open the door to up to €1 trillion in new investment in these two sectors over the next decade, which is expected to boost GDP growth that has stagnated for four years. Tobias Henze, an economist at the German Institute for Economic Research, said, "This budget trick could damage Germanys future competitiveness."

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD struggles around $1,800 ahead of ISM Services PMI data

Daniel Rogers

Dec 05, 2022 12:04

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In the early Tokyo session, the gold price (XAU/USD) is under intense pressure to overcome the round-level barrier of $1,800.00. The precious metal is highly projected to display additional gains ahead and may extend towards a fresh three-month high at $1,824.63 as the bullish US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) failed to fade the risk appetite theme.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is seeking to re-test the previous week's low around 104.40 as market investors believe that good employment growth in November is inadequate to offset forecasts of a slowdown in the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike pace (Fed). In addition, rates on 10-year US Treasuries have fallen further below 3.50 percent and are receiving no intermediate buffer.

 

Monday's publication of United States ISM Services data is the economic indicator that investors are anticipating for additional guidance. The expected economic data is 55.6, up from 54.4 in the previous release. Apart from that, the catalyst which will effect Gold prices is the ISM Services New Orders Index data. The economic statistics is anticipated to rise to 58.5, which shows healthy demand from households and may provide a cushion against future inflation.

 

After a drop to roughly its November 15 high of $1,777.32, the hourly demand for gold has increased significantly. The yellow metal is aiming for a three-month high of approximately $1,805.00. The Gold price has surpassed the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,795.90 after sensing support from the 50-period EMA near $1,790.00, indicating a shift in the short-term trend toward the upside.