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November 9th - Trump: I am pleased to announce that the great attorney John Coale has been nominated as the U.S. Special Envoy to Belarus. He has successfully facilitated the release of 100 hostages and is working to secure the release of another 50. I would like to express my sincere gratitude in advance to the esteemed President Lukashenko of Belarus for considering the release of these additional hostages.U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessant: Substantial progress is being made on the inflation issue, and prices are expected to fall in the coming months.On November 9th, local time, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky signed a new sanctions decision, imposing sanctions on several Russian government officials and institutions. Ukraine called on the international community to increase pressure on Russia and sanction all individuals and organizations that fund war and spread disinformation. Ukraine stated that this round of sanctions includes "Russian government members involved in the plunder of occupied Ukrainian territories" and personnel from Russian military intelligence. Ukraine also plans to take further measures against publishing institutions within Russia engaged in war propaganda and defense of aggression. According to Ukrainian sources, the sanctions list includes individuals such as Russian Presidential Special Representative Kirill Dmitriev.Iraqs State Oil Marketing Organization (SOMO) announced that Iraq has set its official selling price for December Basra medium crude oil to Asia at a discount of $0.35 to the average price of Oman/Dubai crude oil.November 9th - According to Japans TBS News, a 5.6-magnitude earthquake struck off the eastern coast of Honshu, Japan, at 6:28 PM local time on the 9th, with a focal depth of 10 kilometers. The epicenter was located off the coast of Sanriku, and Morioka City in Iwate Prefecture experienced noticeable tremors with an intensity level of 3. A 6.7-magnitude earthquake had just struck the same area at approximately 5:03 PM local time on the 9th, triggering a tsunami. According to the latest observations, the tsunami has reached several locations in Iwate Prefecture, including Miyako, Kuji Port, and Ofunato. No casualties have been reported so far.

Gold Price Forecast: Bear Flag, Powell Teases XAU/USD Sellers, $1,750 in Focus

Daniel Rogers

Aug 26, 2022 15:08

截屏2022-07-29 上午11.06.12.png 

 

Early Friday morning in Europe, gold price (XAU/USD) recovers off intraday low as sellers retreat from $1,750 support. Gold posts its first daily loss in three around the week's high.

 

The bullion's latest downturn may be due to market pessimism ahead of the Fed's favored inflation announcement and Jackson Hole address. China, Iran, and Taiwan may add to the negative mood.

 

China's county near Beijing declared lockdown due to covid, joining the US suspension of 26 Chinese carrier flights in response to Beijing's action. An expanded defense budget, a rise in US diplomats visiting Taipei, and US President Joe Biden's stern stance on Iran's position in Syria appear to have weighed on market sentiment.

 

Mixed US data, Fedspeak, and a drop in US Treasury yields supported gold's recent run-up. The second estimate of US GDP Annualized improved to -0.6% in Q2 from -0.9% flash estimates and -0.8% market projections. US Initial Jobless Claims declined to 243K for the week ended August 19, compared to 253K predicted and 245K revised.

 

Kansas City Fed President Esther George stated Thursday, "For the near term, higher rates appear appropriate." The policymaker also said it's too early to determine what to expect in September due to upcoming critical data. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker said he wants to see the next inflation number before deciding on the September rate decision, but a 50 basis point boost would still be big. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic told the WSJ, "I'd toss a coin between 50 bps and 75 bps," adding, "If data remains solid and inflation doesn't fall, it may create a case for another 75 bps."

 

China's over $1 trillion stimulus and a holistic strategy by local institutions helped metal prices.

 

S&P 500 Futures deviate from Wall Street's advances and fall to 4,195. US 10-year Treasury rates rose two basis points (bps) to 3.045% at press time, illustrating the risk-off mood.

 

Before Fed Chair Powell's Jackson Hole speech, XAU/USD traders may see an idle session. The Fed's chosen inflation gauge, the US Core PCE Price Index, may interest speculators. Forecasts predict YoY growth of 4.7%, down from 4.8%, and monthly growth of 0.3%, down from 0.6%.


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