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BOCOM International Securities believes that the adjustment of the new energy vehicle purchase tax reduction policy in 2026 is expected to stimulate consumers to purchase vehicles in a concentrated manner before the end of 2025. This, coupled with automakers year-end sales push and pre-Spring Festival inventory buildup, is expected to offset the impact of some provinces raising the threshold for replacement subsidies. However, after the concentrated sales volume in the fourth quarter of 2025, the first quarter of 2026 may return to the seasonal off-season. It is recommended to seize opportunities in structural market conditions while remaining cautious and paying attention to short-term fluctuations. Huaxin Securities believes that on the supply side, battery and OEM manufacturers are continuously launching new products, demand is responding positively, and policies are continuously being strengthened. In terms of price, the industry chain has experienced a significant price decline, capital expenditure has been continuously contracted, and the supply and demand pattern is constantly being optimized. Industry associations and companies in the industry chain are actively optimizing capacity and supply to strive for price protection and corporate profitability. Overall, the price of the new energy vehicle industry chain is at a bottom, with prices more likely to rise than fall. Demand is resilient, and the adjustment presents a good opportunity for investment. The valuation of core companies in the industry chain is at a historically low level, and high-quality companies in the industry chain are favored.China Software International (00354.HK): The company indirectly holds 403,000 shares of MiniMax through JointForce. Based on the closing price of MiniMax on its first day of listing, which was RMB 345 per share, this investment brought an unaudited value change gain of approximately RMB 89.92 million.On January 12th, Allianz Chief Economic Advisor Mohamed El-Erian commented on the investigation into Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, stating that the current situation may expose deeper problems and further erode the Feds already fragile public credibility. He added that he had suggested months ago that the chairman should resign to maintain the Feds independence, expressing concern about this very situation. He emphasized the urgent need for a successor who is committed to implementing necessary reforms to restore the effective operation of the worlds most influential central bank.U.S. 10-year Treasury futures rose 3 points, and 30-year Treasury futures rose 4 points.New York silver futures surged 5.00% on the day, currently trading at $83.31 per ounce.

Gold Gains Weekly for the First Time in Six Weeks; Prices Remain Below $1,700

Haiden Holmes

Jul 25, 2022 11:43

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As the yellow metal's five-week losing streak came to an end, gold bulls achieved their first weekly victory since early June.


As markets prepare for the Federal Reserve's rate hike in July, analysts say the price of an ounce of gold, which is now hovering in the low $1,700s, may be susceptible to another slide below the $1,600 zone next week.


Analysts predict that if bullion maintains the tendencies of the last two days, it might rebound quickly from any dip into the sub-$1,700 range, propelling it to $1,800.


Ed Moya, head of U.S. research at the online trading platform OANDA, observed, "Gold is beginning to act as a safe haven as slowing economic growth compels many central banks to abandon aggressive tightening plans." "Gold may find resistance at $1,750, but if it does not, it will encounter few impediments until $1,800."


Gold futures for August delivery on the New York Comex gained $14, or 0.8 percent, to $1,727.40 per ounce on Friday, after trading around a 16-month low of $1,680.96 per ounce on Thursday.


After a five-week fall that cost bulls $172, or 9 percent, gold prices increased by 1.4 percent during the week of August.


On Friday, the Dollar Index, which compares the dollar to six major currencies, reached a two-week low of 105.98, causing the weekly rise. Unlike gold, the dollar reached its highest level since December 2002 last week, reaching 109.14.


Since the beginning of this week, the greenback has dropped, and its decline accelerated as the European Central Bank joined numerous other central banks on Thursday in raising interest rates to combat runaway inflation rather than prevent an economic recession.


The dollar declined on Friday as weaker-than-anticipated statistics from the U.S. services sector impacted on the currency's sentiment. S&P Global said that its most recent services sector index declined to 47 from a previous reading of 52.7 and a forecast of 52.6.


Contrary to initial forecasts, poor service statistics have increased the chance that the Fed would not raise interest rates by 100 basis points in July.