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The 1-year implied yield on the USD/INR exchange rate rose 18 basis points to 3.26%, the highest level since August 2022.December 23 – The Singapore dollar and most Asian currencies strengthened against the US dollar in early trading as lower US Treasury yields reduced the attractiveness of US fixed-income assets. Deepali Bhargava, Head of Asia Pacific Research at ING, noted that the Singapore dollar is one of the strongest performing Asian currencies this year. She stated that Singapore avoided the worst impact of US tariffs, securing the lowest retaliatory tariff rate of 10%. Bhargava added that looking ahead, a weakening US dollar is expected to provide support for Asian currencies.On December 23, the Reserve Bank of Australias (RBA) December meeting minutes revealed that the bank maintained a hawkish tone as policymakers closely monitor inflation trends. Sally Auld, Chief Economist at National Australia Bank Group, commented that the minutes "reflected anxiety about recent inflation trends." She added that the RBA believes there is some excess demand in the current economic climate but is uncertain whether existing financial conditions are sufficiently restrictive to balance aggregate demand with aggregate supply. The minutes showed that the RBA discussed the potential need for an interest rate hike next year. Notably, market expectations have shifted significantly: previously, the market anticipated a further 25 basis point cut in the official cash rate by the end of 2026, but now it expects a 25 basis point rate hike at that time.On December 23rd, Futures News reported that the recent escalation of tensions, stemming from the USs continued detention of South American oil tankers and Trumps increased restrictions on South America, has fueled market concerns about potential oil supply disruptions, pushing up oil prices. US crude oil has already rebounded by $2 per barrel from its lows. Zhuochuang Information predicts that while the escalating situation in South America provides upward momentum for oil prices, negotiations in a certain European country are exerting downward pressure. Frequent geopolitical disturbances are causing wide price fluctuations. In the short term, attention should be paid to the sustainability of the oil price rebound, which is expected to remain bullish.Sources say Japan is likely to assume long-term interest rates of around 3% in its fiscal year 2026 budget, the highest level in 29 years.

Gold Gains Some Solace As Dollar Falls From 20-Year Highs

Aria Thomas

Aug 31, 2022 10:53

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Gold prices gained slightly on Tuesday as the dollar retreated from a 20-year high, but hawkish Federal Reserve signals remained a market drag.


Around 21:07 E.T., spot gold rose 0.1% to $1,738.55 per ounce, while gold futures exceeded $1,750 per ounce with a rise of the same size (01:07 GMT).


Due to the dollar's minor weakness, bullion prices climbed on Monday. The dollar declined versus the euro as a result of forecasts that the European Central Bank will tighten monetary policy more aggressively than initially anticipated.


However, the possibility of rising U.S. interest rates severely dampens the outlook for gold.


The price of gold fell last week after the Federal Reserve indicated that it had no plans to ease monetary tightening. This action pushed the dollar to its highest level in twenty years and increased short-term Treasury yields.


Currently, the metal markets are anticipating this week's U.S. employment report. If the labor market continues to strengthen, the Federal Reserve will likely be able to hike interest rates more quickly.


After the Fed's remarks on Friday, the markets are pricing in a greater possibility of a 75-basis-point rate hike in September.


Despite volatility in the stock and currency markets, there have been little safe-haven purchases of gold. Nonetheless, things might change if economic conditions worsen.


Analysts at Oanda wrote in a note: "If equities remain in risk aversion mode as the speculative money that bought risky assets this month becomes nervous that economic growth is about to implode, gold could stabilize here."


Copper prices rose among industrial metals on Tuesday, aided by a falling dollar.


Copper futures rose 0.3 percent to $3.6108. Due to China's deterioration, copper prices are substantially below their levels from 2022. China is the top importer of copper.


The Chinese manufacturing activity data on Wednesday will provide further insight into copper demand.