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On September 18th, according to foreign media reports, several officials, including those from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), attended a parliamentary hearing. Governor Bullock stated that inflation risks are tilted to the upside; Deputy Governor Hauser stated that the committee is fully committed to achieving its inflation target. Both statements signaled a potential rate hike, while UBS believes that a September rate hike will not be the last. UBS expects the RBA to raise rates twice more, ultimately pushing the cash rate to 4.85%. This rate path is significantly more hawkish than the markets current pricing in a single rate hike in September. Market pricing indicates a 70% to 75% probability of a 25 basis point rate hike by the RBA in September. If UBSs assessment gains market acceptance, the Australian dollar and short-term yields may rise further in the coming months.Following the Bank of Japans decision, the price of Japanese 30-year government bonds erased its previous gains.September 18th - Nikkei futures extended gains as the yen weakened after the Bank of Japan raised its policy rate by 25 basis points to 1.25%, a move widely expected. The Bank of Japan stated that underlying inflation is approaching its 2% target and that it will closely monitor Middle East conflicts, the yens exchange rate, and demand for artificial intelligence. Investors are now focused on Governor Kazuo Uedas press conference later on Friday for clues about the pace of future rate hikes.Following the Bank of Japans interest rate hike, gains in benchmark 10-year Japanese government bond futures narrowed, with the latest increase being 0.22 yen.SK Hynix shares rose 5%.

Gold Falls to a 5-Week Low Ahead of Nonfarm Payrolls as the Dollar Rises

Charlie Brooks

Sep 01, 2022 10:58

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Gold prices declined further on Thursday as the U.S. dollar strengthened ahead of this week's critical employment report, while copper prices tumbled owing to mounting fears of a global economic slowdown.


At 20:45 Eastern Time (00:45 GMT), spot gold fell 0.3% to $1,706.26 per ounce, its lowest level since late July. Gold futures decreased 0.5% to $1,716.75 per ounce. In the previous five months, the dollar and Treasury yields have decreased dramatically due to rising U.S. interest rates.


This week, the price of gold fell, as the dollar stayed at 20-year highs ahead of Friday's critical U.S. nonfarm payrolls report. The dollar index rose by 0.3% on Thursday.


While it is predicted that August payrolls will be lower than in July, a stronger-than-anticipated total could offer the Federal Reserve more leeway to raise interest rates more rapidly this year.


Private payrolls in the United States grew substantially less than expected in August, indicating that the labor market may be cooling.


Due to Fed Chair Jerome Powell's forceful words last week, gold and the majority of other commodities have lost a substantial amount during the past three sessions. Over seventy percent of investors predict that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 75 basis points later in September.


Other precious metals also saw a fall in value. The price of platinum declined 0.9%, while silver futures dropped 1.5%.


Copper futures fell 0.7% to $3.4880 per pound, extending losses to a sixth consecutive trading day as fears of a global recession grew.


Wednesday's release of data indicating Chinese manufacturing activity dropped for the second consecutive month in August precipitated a sharp decline in the price of the red metal.


Weak economic indications from Germany and Japan, as well as skyrocketing inflation in the eurozone, heightened fears of an economic slowdown, thereby reducing the copper market.