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According to Iranian reports, more than 200 enemy aircraft have been shot down in the recent conflict.On August 17th, Alexander Stepanov, a military expert at the Institute of Law and National Security of the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), stated that Irans resistance to the US military presence in the Middle East has seriously challenged the feasibility of deploying its carrier strike groups. Stepanov stated that aircraft carriers are among the most expensive tools for projecting US military power, but their effectiveness has been severely diminished due to their inherent weaknesses and the lack of adequate means to protect such large, high-value assets. He further pointed out that the more than 260-day deployment at sea and the inherent vulnerabilities of the ships themselves have placed a heavy burden on the crews. This is the longest mission to date, yet it has yielded almost no substantial military results.On August 17th, according to reports from the Ukrainian Air Force and local officials on social media, Russian forces launched attacks on 16 locations in Sumy, Odessa, and Kharkiv regions from the evening of the 16th to the early morning of the 17th. As of the morning of the 17th, the attacks had resulted in at least two deaths and 11 injuries. The Ukrainian Air Force stated on the morning of the 17th that Russian forces launched 128 drones into Ukrainian territory from the evening of the 16th to the early morning of the 17th. As of 8:30 AM on the 17th, Ukrainian air defense and electronic warfare units had intercepted 106 drones. The Ukrainian State Emergency Service stated on the morning of the 17th that Russian forces launched attacks on Sumy region in the early hours of the day, targeting residential buildings and structures, resulting in two deaths and one injury.On August 17, according to a statement from the Iraqi Kurdistan Regional Governments (KRG) Anti-Terrorism Directorate, at 00:28 local time, two Hadid-110 drones loaded with explosives took off from the Iranian border, targeting the KRG Prime Ministers office and the residence of the KRG Security Director in the Pilm district of Erbil province. No casualties were reported. The statement strongly condemned the attack and act of aggression, reiterating that these actions were "completely unacceptable" and that all perpetrators would be held accountable.On August 17, local time, Yadora Javani, deputy political commander of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, said: "The Strait of Hormuz will be reopened once the United States fulfills its commitments under the Islamabad memorandum."

Gold Falls Below $1,900; The dollar Soars As The Fed Prepares to Double Its Rate Hikes

Charlie Brooks

Apr 26, 2022 09:57

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On Monday's session on the New York Comex, an ounce of the yellow gold returned to the $1,800 level.


This came as the dollar strengthened on expectations that the Federal Reserve would hike rates by 50 basis points, or half a percentage point, at its May policy meeting next week — more than double the 25 basis points, or quarter point, approved in March, the first increase in the post-pandemic era in the United States.


On Monday, Comex front-month gold futures for June finished down $38.30, or 2%, at $1,896 an ounce. On April 18, June gold reached a six-week high of $2,003 on concerns that the US could enter recession as a result of strong Fed attempts to rein down inflation. Gold is frequently used as a hedge against economic and political uncertainty.


Over the last week, a series of Fed speakers assuaged market concerns that the economy would turn negative as a result of the central bank's efforts to contain price pressures developing at their highest rate in 40 years.


While fears of a hard landing have not completely vanished, optimism, particularly regarding the sterling job market, has won over some pessimists. This has resulted in the dollar surging – the primary beneficiary of a rate hike — at the expense of gold and other safe-haven assets.


The Dollar Index, which compares the US currency to six main rivals, touched a 25-month high of 101.745 on Monday.


US bond yields, which frequently move in lockstep with the dollar, have recently decoupled from the greenback. The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note fell for the third consecutive day, dropping about 4% on the day.


While risk aversion across the board drew investors to safe-haven assets, gold's near-term charts showed the possibility of a rebound to the $1,900 lows, at the very least, following the week's loss of more than $100. 


"Gold has begun to exhibit oversold conditions on a daily basis, which may result in a short-term relief rally, albeit not necessarily a reversal," Dixit explained. "The $1,925 to $1,935 level remains a hurdle, but a rebound is probable." If history is any guide, gold will almost certainly find buyers at lower prices."


On the other hand, he noted, a Comex settlement below $1,888 will exacerbate gold's troubles.

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