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On October 25th, local time, the second round of ceasefire talks between Pakistan and Afghanistan began in Istanbul, Turkey. The talks were hosted by Turkey and held at an Istanbul hotel. The Pakistani delegation included the militarys director of operations and security and intelligence officials. The Afghan delegation was led by Deputy Interior Minister Rahmatullah Najeeb.On October 25th, Belgorod Oblast Governor Ilya Gladkov announced that Ukrainian armed forces had damaged the Belgorod Reservoir Dam. He stated that Ukrainian forces might attempt to attack and destroy the dam again. If this were to happen, several streets in riverbanks and settlements near Kharkiv Oblast would be flooded, impacting the lives of approximately 1,000 residents. Gladkov stated that local authorities have advised residents at risk of flooding to move to temporary relocation sites. The Ukrainian side has not yet responded to this request.On October 25th, Bank of France Governor François Villeroy de Villeroy warned lawmakers debating the 2026 budget that the deficit must not exceed 4.8% of economic output to ensure France can cope with its growing debt burden. The French National Assembly is currently debating a draft budget that targets 4.7% GDP growth, but Prime Minister Jean-Claude Le Cornu has said the ultimate target should be within 5%, and he is seeking a compromise with opposition lawmakers. "It is absolutely necessary to keep the deficit below 3% between now and 2029, which would imply a maximum deficit of 4.8% next year," Villeroy de Villeroy said in an interview with La Croix. He also stated that France faces the risk of "progressive suffocation" from debt and that additional deficit spending will fail to stimulate economic growth. According to calculations by the Bank of France, if debt uncertainty is reduced, a 1% reduction in the household savings rate would boost economic growth by 0.4%. However, Villeroy de Villeroy stated that the French economy has strong momentum this year and growth will be "at least" as strong as the Banks forecast of 0.7%.On October 25th, the U.S. federal government shutdown entered its 24th day. More and more federal employees forced to take unpaid leave are facing the dilemma of not being able to pay their bills or mortgages, and many are forced to queue up at food banks for assistance. Jacobs, president of the local CDC union, stated that both parties are using the livelihoods of federal employees as bargaining chips in political negotiations, and that the current chaotic situation is unprecedented.On October 25, Lizhong Group responded to investors on an interactive platform, saying that the second phase of the companys project to produce 3.6 million ultra-lightweight aluminum alloy wheels annually in Mexico, with an output of 1.8 million wheels, has now been put into initial production. The company is actively promoting the running-in of the production line and the release of production capacity, striving to achieve the goal of full production and sales as soon as possible.

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Breaking Crucial Resistance at 1.2260

Alina Haynes

May 16, 2022 11:00

In the early Tokyo session, the GBP/USD pair is oscillating in a tight range between 1.2236 and 1.2266. After hitting a low of 1.2173 on Friday, the asset has been gradually ascending as risk-perceived currencies attracted strong interest.

 

A break to the upside of the cable from its prior range of 1.2173 to 1.2248 has strengthened the pound versus the dollar. The pair is hanging near the important horizontal resistance established by the high reached on May 9 at 1.2262. The trendline drawn from the March 5 high of 1.2663 and the previous week's high of 1.2400 will operate as a formidable barrier in the near future.

 

A sustained move above the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.2233 is bullish for the currency pair. However, the asset remains below the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 1.2340, indicating that a downward tendency persists.

 

The momentum oscillator, Relative Strength Index (RSI), (14) oscillates between 40.00 and 60.00, indicating a lack of direction heading ahead.

 

If the asset surpasses the previously mentioned trendline at 1.2300, investors should consider a positive move. This will lead the asset in the direction of the previous week's peak at 1.2400, followed by the May 9 peak at 1.2662.

 

Alternatively, dollar bulls could reclaim control if the asset falls below Friday's low of 1.2173, sending it towards the 18 May 2020 low of 1.2075. A violation of the latter will drag the cable to the high of 1.1973 on March 25, 2020.

GBP/USD Chart Hourly

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