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Futures News, December 11th: Crude oil prices corrected, and positive news for the fuel oil market offered limited guidance. Downstream traders remained cautious and acted on demand, while refineries maintained a slow pace of sales. It is expected that fuel oil trading will mostly stabilize today.December 11th - Calvin Tse, Head of US Strategy and Economics at BNP Paribas: Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has served a long time and enjoys high prestige within the FOMC. Even under his leadership, three members still oppose interest rate decisions, and its hard to imagine any new Fed Chairman easily gaining unanimous approval from the FOMC members.On December 11th, in a social media interaction, Musk hinted that SpaceX might go public, following reports that the rocket maker plans an IPO in 2026. Musk responded to a post by Berger, saying, "As always, Eric is accurate." Erics post read, "This is why I think SpaceX is about to go public," and included Erics related article. Reuters reported on Tuesday that SpaceX hopes to raise more than $25 billion through an IPO in 2026, a move that could boost SpaceXs valuation to over $1 trillion.According to Huahai Qingke, on December 10, the cumulative output of the 12-inch thinning and polishing integrated machine Versatile-GP300, independently developed by Huahai Qingke, exceeded 20 units.On December 11th, a macro research report from Guolian Minsheng stated that, contrary to market expectations, neither Federal Reserve Chairman Powell nor the dot plot showed a more pronounced hawkish bias. Powell announced the resumption of short-term bond purchases and continued his previous stance on interest rate cuts, emphasizing that the Fed will make decisions based on economic data at each meeting, and that monetary policy has no fixed path. The dot plot also showed a more dovish distribution compared to September. Following the meeting, US stocks and precious metals surged, while the dollar and US Treasury yields weakened. However, regardless of the outcome, given the current interest rate level, the threshold for Fed rate cuts has clearly increased. The Fed will likely enter a period of observation in the first half of next year, with a significantly slower pace of change, and the political drama surrounding the Feds independence will officially begin.

GBP/JPY Falls Below 158.00 as UK Recession Concerns Grow

Daniel Rogers

May 19, 2022 10:06

Following Wednesday's release of UK inflation data, the GBP/JPY pair is likely to experience a sharp decline. After the UK's Office for National Statistics reported the annual UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) at a staggering 9 percent, the pound bulls shown widespread weakness. The asset has declined almost 2.5 percent since Tuesday, when it reached a recent high of 161.85.

 

Despite the fact that the UK Statistics Office has announced a slight decline in the annual rate from the consensus of 9.1 percent, a figure of 9 percent is sufficient to cause mayhem in the FX realm. It appears that the Bank of England (BOE) has been left with little choice but to implement a massive rate hike, since rising price pressures would aggravate the real income position for people.

 

The monthly rate of inflation in the United Kingdom increased to 2.5% from 1.1% previously. While the core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, has increased to 6.2%, it has remained in line with expectations.

 

On the Japanese yen front, weaker than expected Gross Domestic Product (GDP) numbers have encouraged yen bulls. The annualized GDP number for Japan remained higher than the average estimate of -1.8 percent, at -1 percent. While the quarterly figure of -0.2 percent was still negative, it exceeded the predictions of -0.4 percent. Investors will depend on Japan's Friday-due inflation data for further guidance.

 

The early estimate for the annual CPI in Japan is 1.5 percent, but the core CPI could fall to -0.9 percent from -0.7 percent previously.

GBP/JPY

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