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June 30th - The National Bureau of Statistics stated that the high-tech manufacturing sector continued its positive trend in June. The PMI for high-tech manufacturing was 53.5%, up 0.6 percentage points from the previous month, significantly higher than the overall manufacturing sector, indicating continued positive development in high-end manufacturing and a further strengthening of its leading role. The PMIs for equipment manufacturing and consumer goods were 52.5% and 50.2% respectively, up 0.4 and 0.5 percentage points from the previous month, indicating improved industry activity. The PMI for high-energy-consuming industries was 47.1%, unchanged from the previous month.According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the composite PMI output index was 50.6% in June, up 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating that the overall expansion of production and business activities of Chinese enterprises has accelerated slightly.June 30th - According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics, the non-manufacturing business activity index was 50.2% in June, up 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a slight recovery in the non-manufacturing sectors business activity. By sector, the construction industrys business activity index was 49.0%, up 0.2 percentage points from the previous month; the service industrys business activity index was 50.4%, up 0.1 percentage points from the previous month. Within the service sector, the business activity indices for telecommunications, broadcasting, television and satellite transmission services, internet software and information technology services, monetary and financial services, and insurance were all above 55.0%, indicating a relatively high level of activity; while the business activity indices for air transport and real estate were below the critical point.Chinas composite PMI was 50.6 in June, compared with 50.5 in the previous month.As of 09:30 Beijing time, WTI crude oil futures fell 0.75%, and US natural gas futures fell 0.16%.

Forecast of Crude Oil Prices - Crude Oil Markets Continue to Collapse

Daniel Rogers

Jul 07, 2022 14:32

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The West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market originally attempted to rebound during Wednesday's session to demonstrate signs of life, as we reported over $100. At that moment, the market has gone back down, nearing the 200 Day Exponential Moving Average by the time the Americans enter. Ultimately, I believe that this market continues to have a great deal of negative, and if we break below the 200 Day EMA, it is probable that the market will fall below the $90 level. Since the global market is beginning to stall, this will continue to weigh on the possibility of oil prices increasing. Most likely, short-term rallies will be capped.

 

Brent markets have also attempted to rebound, but have failed at the prior trendline, which now possesses a certain amount of "market memory." The candlestick is rather long, and it appears that the downward trend will continue. Until we break above the trend line from the previous several months, I believe that signals of weariness will continue to diminish. In addition, the U.S. currency continues to grow significantly, so this market will also be rather unfavorable.

 

I feel that if the price falls below the 200-day exponential moving average, the $90 level will be a huge, round, psychologically significant number, as well as a previously significant location. Ultimately, it appears that the downward pressure is increasing, not decreasing.