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On September 19th, the Shaanxi Provincial Bureau of Statistics released its report on the provinces economic performance in the first eight months of the year: industrial production steadily rebounded, consumer demand continued to be released, and the economy showed a steady and positive development trend. According to relevant personnel from the Provincial Bureau of Statistics, in the first eight months, the added value of industries above designated size increased by 4.6% year-on-year, an acceleration of 0.5 percentage points compared to the first seven months. Industrial production steadily rebounded, and product output grew steadily. Looking at the three major sectors, the added value of mining increased by 7.7% year-on-year, manufacturing by 1.5%, and the added value of electricity, heat, gas and water production and supply by 2.5%. Key industries performed well, with the added value of coal mining and washing increasing by 9.0% year-on-year and the added value of oil and gas extraction increasing by 9.7%. Product output grew steadily, with raw coal output increasing by 3.8% year-on-year and natural gas output increasing by 7.3%.September 19th - According to Shenzhen Railway authorities, the railway transportation period for this years Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day holidays will run from September 23rd to October 8th, lasting 16 days. Shenzhen Railway expects to transport 5.7312 million passengers, averaging 358,200 passengers per day, an increase of 21,500 passengers per day compared to last year, representing a 6.39% increase and setting a new record for the same period. Among them, Shenzhen North Station is expected to transport 3.856 million passengers, averaging 241,000 passengers per day, an increase of 10,400 passengers per day compared to last year, representing a 4.3% increase.On September 19th, French President Emmanuel Macron stated on September 18th that France will push the EU to take action to address energy issues. He also believes that the US and Iran are unlikely to reach an agreement on the Strait of Hormuz in the short term. Macron stated that the sharp rise in fuel prices in recent weeks has created difficult circumstances for French citizens and families. Fuel prices at French gas stations have reached historic highs, causing considerable hardship and exacerbating purchasing power issues. Natural gas prices and the overall energy situation are also worrying, and these circumstances are entirely due to the war and the international situation. Macron said that France hopes to take action at the EU level and will communicate with the President of the European Commission on this matter.September 19 - Local time early on the 19th, Riyadh, the capital of Saudi Arabia, was attacked by airstrikes, and the sound of missile interception could be heard in the sky.Saudi civil defense officials said the danger in the Khairji area has been averted.

Forecast for the price of gold: XAU/USD eases below the $1,804 barrier as Fed hawks back off due to weaker US inflation

Alina Haynes

Aug 11, 2022 11:58

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US inflation-driven gains in the price of gold (XAU/USD) are fading as the metal declines to $1,790 on Thursday during the opening Tokyo session. The recent decline in the price of precious metals may be related to conflicting worries about the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) upcoming actions as well as Sino-American friction.

 

On Wednesday, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell to 8.5% YoY in July, below the 8.7% consensus and the 9.1% reading from June. According to Reuters, US President Joe Biden stated on Wednesday that there are some indications that inflation may be decreasing after the US released its inflation data. In the coming months, there may be more challenges for us to overcome, Biden continued. US President Biden continues, "We still have work to do, but we're on track."

 

Following the CPI report on Wednesday, traders of futures linked to the Fed's benchmark interest rate reduced their bets on a third consecutive 75-basis-point raise at its policy meeting on September 20-21 and now see a half-point increase as the most likely scenario, according to Reuters.

 

Neel Kashkari, president of the Minneapolis Fed, recently stated that the Fed is "far, far away from declaring success" on inflation. Additionally, the decision-maker stated that he hasn't "seen anything that changes" the need for the Fed to raise its policy rate to 3.9% by year's end and to 4.4% by the end of 2023. Charles Evans, president of the Chicago Fed, said in another place that a recession would likely require unfavorable circumstances to occur. Also labeling inflation "unacceptably" high, Fed's Evans

 

Additionally, according to sources cited by Reuters, US President Biden is reconsidering his China tariff policy in light of Taiwan's response, which put the XAU/USD bulls on the defensive.

 

S&P 500 Futures print modest gains near 4,220 by press time against this backdrop after Wall Street rose and US Treasury yields were largely unchanged the day prior.

 

Moving on, the monthly Producer Price Index (PPI) for July and the weekly US Jobless Claims numbers may amuse gold traders. However, in light of recent risk-negative headlines, special focus should be placed on the qualitative variables.