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June 21 (Observer) – British Prime Minister Keir Starmer is expected to resign and announce his departure timetable next Monday, but a government source says Starmer remains focused on his duties. Pressure on Starmers position has been mounting for months and intensified significantly on Friday after his political rival, Andy Burnham, won a seat in Parliament, enabling him to launch a formal leadership challenge. The Observer reports that Starmer is discussing the matter with his wife at his country residence, Chequers, and has not yet made a final decision, but several senior Labour Party members expect him to make a clear statement on his future as early as Monday. However, government sources emphasize that Starmer remains focused on fulfilling his duties as Prime Minister, citing his previous statements as evidence. More than 100 Labour MPs have publicly stated their desire for Starmer to resign or set a clear departure timetable, representing about a quarter of Labour MPs in the House of Commons.According to Reuters, British government sources say that Prime Minister Starmer is focused on fulfilling his duties.June 21st - According to the British newspaper *The Observer*, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer is preparing a timetable for his departure. This comes after Andy Burnham, who suffered a major defeat to the Reform Party in the Greater Manchester by-election and is scheduled to be sworn in as a Member of Parliament next Monday. His supporters claim that if Starmer does not resign, Burnham has secured the support of over 201 Labour MPs to challenge him for leadership. This number exceeds half of the Labour Party in Parliament, meaning Starmer can no longer demonstrate his confidence in the House of Commons to the King. It is reported that after several rounds of discussions with cabinet ministers, Downing Street advisors, union leaders, and party donors, Starmer has concluded that his position in power is no longer secure. Senior Labour figures believe that Starmer may issue a "clear statement" as early as Monday. A Labour MP close to Starmer said: “He has come to terms with reality. As he said, preventing ‘chaos’ is no longer possible by staying in office, so there is only one option left. I think he has seen it as a responsible choice for the country and the party.” Another senior Labour figure said that Starmer now appears to have “accepted” the reality of his resignation.June 21 – It was learned from Iran on the 21st that the Iranian negotiating delegation has arrived in Zurich, Switzerland. The Swiss Foreign Ministry also confirmed the arrival of the Iranian delegation. The Swiss Foreign Ministry stated on social media that it welcomed the Iranian delegations arrival in Switzerland, and that the delegation is en route to Bürgenberg as part of implementing the memorandum of understanding signed between the United States and Iran.On June 21, a symposium on the 9th China International Import Expo (CIIE) was held in Oslo, Norway, with representatives from approximately 40 Norwegian companies and institutions in attendance. Norwegian participants stated that all sectors in Norway highly value economic and trade cooperation with China. The CIIE, as a high-level platform for opening up to the outside world, provides Norwegian companies with a practical and efficient path to promote high-quality products, cutting-edge technologies, and professional services, and to cultivate the Chinese market. Norway will continue to pool resources and actively mobilize various Norwegian companies to participate in the CIIE, further strengthening the mutually beneficial ties between China and Norway and improving the quality and efficiency of bilateral trade cooperation.

Forecast for the price of gold: XAU/USD eases below the $1,804 barrier as Fed hawks back off due to weaker US inflation

Alina Haynes

Aug 11, 2022 11:58

 截屏2022-08-10 上午11.45.08_1024x576.png

 

US inflation-driven gains in the price of gold (XAU/USD) are fading as the metal declines to $1,790 on Thursday during the opening Tokyo session. The recent decline in the price of precious metals may be related to conflicting worries about the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) upcoming actions as well as Sino-American friction.

 

On Wednesday, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell to 8.5% YoY in July, below the 8.7% consensus and the 9.1% reading from June. According to Reuters, US President Joe Biden stated on Wednesday that there are some indications that inflation may be decreasing after the US released its inflation data. In the coming months, there may be more challenges for us to overcome, Biden continued. US President Biden continues, "We still have work to do, but we're on track."

 

Following the CPI report on Wednesday, traders of futures linked to the Fed's benchmark interest rate reduced their bets on a third consecutive 75-basis-point raise at its policy meeting on September 20-21 and now see a half-point increase as the most likely scenario, according to Reuters.

 

Neel Kashkari, president of the Minneapolis Fed, recently stated that the Fed is "far, far away from declaring success" on inflation. Additionally, the decision-maker stated that he hasn't "seen anything that changes" the need for the Fed to raise its policy rate to 3.9% by year's end and to 4.4% by the end of 2023. Charles Evans, president of the Chicago Fed, said in another place that a recession would likely require unfavorable circumstances to occur. Also labeling inflation "unacceptably" high, Fed's Evans

 

Additionally, according to sources cited by Reuters, US President Biden is reconsidering his China tariff policy in light of Taiwan's response, which put the XAU/USD bulls on the defensive.

 

S&P 500 Futures print modest gains near 4,220 by press time against this backdrop after Wall Street rose and US Treasury yields were largely unchanged the day prior.

 

Moving on, the monthly Producer Price Index (PPI) for July and the weekly US Jobless Claims numbers may amuse gold traders. However, in light of recent risk-negative headlines, special focus should be placed on the qualitative variables.

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