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On August 25th, former Bank of Japan official Seiji Adachi stated that the Bank of Japan is very likely to raise interest rates next month, confirming widespread market predictions. In an interview, Adachi said, "The Bank of Japan is essentially in a dilemma. The market has largely priced in a rate hike. If the central bank doesnt raise rates, the yen could weaken significantly again." This comes after US Treasury Secretary Bessant indicated that policy action was needed after foreign exchange intervention and expressed hope that Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda would raise interest rates. "Bessant has repeatedly hinted that the Bank of Japan will be the next institution to take action," Adachi said. "Given this, the government cannot tell the Bank of Japan dont do it." Adachi pointed out that Japans inflation momentum is strong, and after the expected rate hike in September, the Bank of Japan is likely to continue raising rates. He stated, "I think the Bank of Japan will act again in January next year, and the rate hike cycle is very likely to continue for some time, even exceeding the previously considered end point of the cycle at 1.25% or 1.5%."Sources say JPMorgan Chase (JPM.N) and Santander are leading a financing round of up to $15 billion for Argentina’s liquefied natural gas project.On August 25th, Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Baghae held a press conference on August 24th, addressing regional issues and Iran-US relations. Baghae emphasized that Iran has the right to strike at all sources of aggression, and that the US threat to impose a new round of sanctions on Iran is a serious violation of international law. Regarding the US threat to impose so-called "toughest sanctions" on Iran, Baghae stated that the Iranian government understands the current economic pressures and business difficulties it faces domestically, which are part of the pressure the US has exerted on the Iranian people over the past decades. The Iranian government had previously assessed the situation and is taking all necessary measures to counter the economic sanctions. He condemned the US for calling its sanctions against Iran "economic warfare," stating that this demonstrates the USs disregard for the free trade system between nations and national sovereignty.According to the Korean labor union: Hyundai Motor and the Korean labor union have reached a preliminary wage agreement.Sources say air raid sirens have been sounded in Kyiv, Ukraine.

Forecast for the price of gold: XAU/USD eases below the $1,804 barrier as Fed hawks back off due to weaker US inflation

Alina Haynes

Aug 11, 2022 11:58

 截屏2022-08-10 上午11.45.08_1024x576.png

 

US inflation-driven gains in the price of gold (XAU/USD) are fading as the metal declines to $1,790 on Thursday during the opening Tokyo session. The recent decline in the price of precious metals may be related to conflicting worries about the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) upcoming actions as well as Sino-American friction.

 

On Wednesday, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell to 8.5% YoY in July, below the 8.7% consensus and the 9.1% reading from June. According to Reuters, US President Joe Biden stated on Wednesday that there are some indications that inflation may be decreasing after the US released its inflation data. In the coming months, there may be more challenges for us to overcome, Biden continued. US President Biden continues, "We still have work to do, but we're on track."

 

Following the CPI report on Wednesday, traders of futures linked to the Fed's benchmark interest rate reduced their bets on a third consecutive 75-basis-point raise at its policy meeting on September 20-21 and now see a half-point increase as the most likely scenario, according to Reuters.

 

Neel Kashkari, president of the Minneapolis Fed, recently stated that the Fed is "far, far away from declaring success" on inflation. Additionally, the decision-maker stated that he hasn't "seen anything that changes" the need for the Fed to raise its policy rate to 3.9% by year's end and to 4.4% by the end of 2023. Charles Evans, president of the Chicago Fed, said in another place that a recession would likely require unfavorable circumstances to occur. Also labeling inflation "unacceptably" high, Fed's Evans

 

Additionally, according to sources cited by Reuters, US President Biden is reconsidering his China tariff policy in light of Taiwan's response, which put the XAU/USD bulls on the defensive.

 

S&P 500 Futures print modest gains near 4,220 by press time against this backdrop after Wall Street rose and US Treasury yields were largely unchanged the day prior.

 

Moving on, the monthly Producer Price Index (PPI) for July and the weekly US Jobless Claims numbers may amuse gold traders. However, in light of recent risk-negative headlines, special focus should be placed on the qualitative variables.

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