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On July 20th, the Ministry of Commerce held a national teleconference on July 17th to advance the mid-year work of the consumer goods trade-in program. The meeting summarized the progress and achievements of the policy implementation in the first half of the year and deployed key tasks for the next stage. The meeting emphasized that all regions and relevant departments should further enhance their political awareness, establish and practice a correct view of performance, and implement the consumer goods trade-in policy meticulously and effectively with a persistent and dedicated approach. They should further intensify their efforts, strengthen inter-departmental coordination, widely publicize the policy, and expand its coverage. They should also continuously enrich offline consumption scenarios, optimize the subsidy review and disbursement process, facilitate public participation in and enjoyment of the policy, and enhance the publics sense of gain.Citigroup lowered its price target for IBM (IBM.N) from $375 to $255.Citigroup raised its price target for JPMorgan Chase (JPM.N) from $325 to $360.Preliminary plans indicate that Angola will load 34 tankers of crude oil in September, compared to 35 tankers planned for August.On July 20th, Citigroup strategists stated that the widely discussed "Big Seven" tech concept is "no longer applicable" in assessing investment opportunities in the US AI sector. The strategy team, led by Scott Chronert, suggested that investors should turn their attention to a broader range of stocks that have consistently been major drivers of earnings growth and share price increases for the S&P 500. They recommended focusing on the so-called "growth cluster," a group that includes not only large-cap tech stocks but also most companies benefiting from AI infrastructure development. Chronert stated that this group accounts for more than half of the S&P 500s total market capitalization and contributes nearly 48% of earnings. After driving the S&P 500 to record highs in recent years, the "Big Seven" tech index is projected to underperform the market by 2026 as investors favor sectors expected to benefit from massive AI capital expenditures.

Forecast for the price of gold: XAU/USD eases below the $1,804 barrier as Fed hawks back off due to weaker US inflation

Alina Haynes

Aug 11, 2022 11:58

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US inflation-driven gains in the price of gold (XAU/USD) are fading as the metal declines to $1,790 on Thursday during the opening Tokyo session. The recent decline in the price of precious metals may be related to conflicting worries about the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) upcoming actions as well as Sino-American friction.

 

On Wednesday, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell to 8.5% YoY in July, below the 8.7% consensus and the 9.1% reading from June. According to Reuters, US President Joe Biden stated on Wednesday that there are some indications that inflation may be decreasing after the US released its inflation data. In the coming months, there may be more challenges for us to overcome, Biden continued. US President Biden continues, "We still have work to do, but we're on track."

 

Following the CPI report on Wednesday, traders of futures linked to the Fed's benchmark interest rate reduced their bets on a third consecutive 75-basis-point raise at its policy meeting on September 20-21 and now see a half-point increase as the most likely scenario, according to Reuters.

 

Neel Kashkari, president of the Minneapolis Fed, recently stated that the Fed is "far, far away from declaring success" on inflation. Additionally, the decision-maker stated that he hasn't "seen anything that changes" the need for the Fed to raise its policy rate to 3.9% by year's end and to 4.4% by the end of 2023. Charles Evans, president of the Chicago Fed, said in another place that a recession would likely require unfavorable circumstances to occur. Also labeling inflation "unacceptably" high, Fed's Evans

 

Additionally, according to sources cited by Reuters, US President Biden is reconsidering his China tariff policy in light of Taiwan's response, which put the XAU/USD bulls on the defensive.

 

S&P 500 Futures print modest gains near 4,220 by press time against this backdrop after Wall Street rose and US Treasury yields were largely unchanged the day prior.

 

Moving on, the monthly Producer Price Index (PPI) for July and the weekly US Jobless Claims numbers may amuse gold traders. However, in light of recent risk-negative headlines, special focus should be placed on the qualitative variables.