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South Korean stocks rose on Wednesday, marking their third consecutive day of gains, primarily driven by optimism surrounding AI, with chip stocks surging. The KOSPI index jumped over 4% to 6635 points, its highest level since August 5th. Kiwoom Securities analyst Han Ji-young stated, "With the strong demand for AI infrastructure demonstrated by CoreWeave and Supermicro being validated, capital inflows into the semiconductor sector and domestic AI-related stocks in South Korea are expected to improve." Among heavyweight stocks, Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix rose over 7%, while LG Energy Solution gained approximately 3%. Hyundai Motor and Kia Motors rose approximately 2% and 1.5%, respectively.Hong Kong-listed tech stocks weakened amid volatility, with Tencent Holdings (00700.HK) falling more than 3%, Kuaishou (01024.HK) and Baidu (09888.HK) falling more than 2%, and Alibaba (09988.HK) and JD.com (09618.HK) following suit.On August 12th, Fan Gang, Vice President of the China Society for Economic System Reform and Director of the National Economic Research Institute, delivered an economic speech at the 2026 Boao Real Estate Forum. Fan Gang stated that the Chinese economy is undergoing a structural adjustment more in line with market economy principles, and the real estate market has seen relatively rapid price clearing, with the bottoming process potentially faster than Japans in the past. From the demand side, Chinas long-standing structural problem of "emphasizing supply over demand" is being addressed. Fan Gang pointed out that the current "15th Five-Year Plan" has regarded market demand as the scarcest resource, and macroeconomics is essentially demand-driven. Consumption concepts are also undergoing positive changes, with the younger generation of tech elites beginning to focus on housing quality, and luxury homes in major cities becoming the main sales driver, marking the beginning of a new economic growth logic. "The Chinese economy is in a new stage of development that is more market-oriented and more in line with market principles," Fan Gang noted.August 12 - According to the website of the China Maritime Safety Administration, the Shanwei Maritime Safety Administration issued a navigation warning that live-fire exercises will be conducted in parts of the South China Sea from 5:00 to 18:00 on August 12, and entry is prohibited.Futures Commentary by Everbright Futures: 1. Overnight gold market: London spot gold -0.50%, SHFE gold -0.28%. Gold prices declined slightly as the market focused on tonights US CPI data. Combined with the decline in gasoline prices in July and cooling housing inflation, July inflation data is likely to show a month-on-month decrease. The current market expectation is a 3.5% year-on-year increase in July CPI and a 2.5% year-on-year increase in core CPI. If the inflation data is lower than expected, concerns about interest rate hikes may cool again, potentially increasing gold price volatility. The data itself is full of uncertainty and speculative trading, and gold prices are treated cautiously before the data release. Investors are paying attention to the performance of gold prices in the upper range. 2. Geopolitical news: According to Wall Street News, an advisor to Irans Supreme Leader stated that the Strait of Hormuz will not be opened until Irans conditions are met; US officials stated that the US military fired on a ship attempting to break through the US blockade of Iranian ports; although Pakistan released optimistic signals on Tuesday that the US and Iran were close to reaching some kind of agreement, the actual reopening of the Strait of Hormuz still faces significant obstacles.

Forecast for the price of gold: XAU/USD eases below the $1,804 barrier as Fed hawks back off due to weaker US inflation

Alina Haynes

Aug 11, 2022 11:58

 截屏2022-08-10 上午11.45.08_1024x576.png

 

US inflation-driven gains in the price of gold (XAU/USD) are fading as the metal declines to $1,790 on Thursday during the opening Tokyo session. The recent decline in the price of precious metals may be related to conflicting worries about the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) upcoming actions as well as Sino-American friction.

 

On Wednesday, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell to 8.5% YoY in July, below the 8.7% consensus and the 9.1% reading from June. According to Reuters, US President Joe Biden stated on Wednesday that there are some indications that inflation may be decreasing after the US released its inflation data. In the coming months, there may be more challenges for us to overcome, Biden continued. US President Biden continues, "We still have work to do, but we're on track."

 

Following the CPI report on Wednesday, traders of futures linked to the Fed's benchmark interest rate reduced their bets on a third consecutive 75-basis-point raise at its policy meeting on September 20-21 and now see a half-point increase as the most likely scenario, according to Reuters.

 

Neel Kashkari, president of the Minneapolis Fed, recently stated that the Fed is "far, far away from declaring success" on inflation. Additionally, the decision-maker stated that he hasn't "seen anything that changes" the need for the Fed to raise its policy rate to 3.9% by year's end and to 4.4% by the end of 2023. Charles Evans, president of the Chicago Fed, said in another place that a recession would likely require unfavorable circumstances to occur. Also labeling inflation "unacceptably" high, Fed's Evans

 

Additionally, according to sources cited by Reuters, US President Biden is reconsidering his China tariff policy in light of Taiwan's response, which put the XAU/USD bulls on the defensive.

 

S&P 500 Futures print modest gains near 4,220 by press time against this backdrop after Wall Street rose and US Treasury yields were largely unchanged the day prior.

 

Moving on, the monthly Producer Price Index (PPI) for July and the weekly US Jobless Claims numbers may amuse gold traders. However, in light of recent risk-negative headlines, special focus should be placed on the qualitative variables.

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