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March 28 – According to the Wall Street Journal, Israel has begun limiting the use of its most advanced missile interceptors due to depleted stockpiles caused by ongoing Iranian attacks, forcing the IDF to increasingly rely on upgraded but less capable interceptor systems. Recently, two Iranian missiles struck the southern cities of Dimona and Arad after a failed interception attempt using a modified, lower-level system. Israels air defense system has long been considered one of the most advanced in the world, but has so far relied heavily on the Arrow system to counter long-range ballistic missile threats. However, officials are now limiting the use of these high-end interceptors, turning instead to upgraded versions of the Davids Sling (Israels medium- and long-range air defense system) and even the Iron Dome system, which were not originally designed to deal with such threats.On March 28, Iraqi Electricity Ministry spokesman Ahmed Abadi stated that Iran had halted natural gas supplies to southern Iraq since the evening of March 27, after a previous daily supply of 10 million cubic meters. Abadi added that Iran is also currently limiting its natural gas supplies to central Iraq to 10 million cubic meters per day. He noted that the ongoing instability in the region is impacting oil extraction, production, and exports within Iraq. The Iraqi Electricity Ministry is closely monitoring the situation to ensure that Irans restrictions do not affect the fuel supply needed by power plants in Iraq.On March 28, the Yemeni government issued a statement condemning Iran for dragging Yemen into the regional conflict through its supported armed forces. The statement pointed out that Iran, with the help of the Houthi rebels and other forces, is interfering in regional affairs, undermining national sovereignty, and threatening regional security. The Yemeni government believes that the Houthi actions serve Irans regional strategy. The statement warned that such actions will exacerbate Yemens humanitarian crisis and impact food and energy supplies. The government emphasized that the right to decide on war and peace belongs to the state, and any illegal military action must bear the consequences. The Yemeni government called on the people to refuse mobilization for war and urged the international community to increase pressure on the Houthi rebels and support the restoration of national power, stability, and development. Iran has not yet responded to this statement.On March 28, the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) issued a statement saying that, as part of Operation Honest Commitment 4, the IRGC Navy and Space Force conducted strikes against multiple heavy industrial targets in the United States and Israel using missiles and drones in the 85th wave of attacks. The statement indicated that this operation was in retaliation for previous attacks by US and Israeli forces against Iranian civilian industrial facilities. During the operation, Iranian armed forces launched saturation attacks on heavy industrial centers in Israel and other regions, destroying some targets. The IRGC emphasized that if the US and Israel continue to attack Iranian industrial systems, the scale of Irans subsequent retaliation will "exceed their expectations." In addition, during the interception and counterattack operations, Iranian air defense systems shot down a US-made MQ-9 drone over Shiraz. A US F-16 fighter jet was hit in southern Fars province and subsequently crashed while en route to an emergency landing at a base in Saudi Arabia.March 28 (Wall Street Journal) – Energy analysts warn that the oil market could face even greater turmoil if the Houthi rebels in Yemen resume attacks on Red Sea shipping. A renewed attack could cut significant amounts of oil from global supply and drive up prices. Saudi Arabia has been diverting as much crude oil as possible from the Persian Gulf to its Red Sea port of Yanbu, from where cargoes are primarily destined for Asia. While this hasnt fully offset the amount of oil unable to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, it has helped limit the rise in global oil prices. Analysts say that if Houthi attacks make it too dangerous for tankers to approach Yanbu, millions of barrels of crude oil could be stranded daily in the Middle East. In that case, Saudi Arabia might be forced to cut production along with Kuwait and Iraq.

Forecast for the price of gold: XAU/USD eases below the $1,804 barrier as Fed hawks back off due to weaker US inflation

Alina Haynes

Aug 11, 2022 11:58

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US inflation-driven gains in the price of gold (XAU/USD) are fading as the metal declines to $1,790 on Thursday during the opening Tokyo session. The recent decline in the price of precious metals may be related to conflicting worries about the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) upcoming actions as well as Sino-American friction.

 

On Wednesday, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell to 8.5% YoY in July, below the 8.7% consensus and the 9.1% reading from June. According to Reuters, US President Joe Biden stated on Wednesday that there are some indications that inflation may be decreasing after the US released its inflation data. In the coming months, there may be more challenges for us to overcome, Biden continued. US President Biden continues, "We still have work to do, but we're on track."

 

Following the CPI report on Wednesday, traders of futures linked to the Fed's benchmark interest rate reduced their bets on a third consecutive 75-basis-point raise at its policy meeting on September 20-21 and now see a half-point increase as the most likely scenario, according to Reuters.

 

Neel Kashkari, president of the Minneapolis Fed, recently stated that the Fed is "far, far away from declaring success" on inflation. Additionally, the decision-maker stated that he hasn't "seen anything that changes" the need for the Fed to raise its policy rate to 3.9% by year's end and to 4.4% by the end of 2023. Charles Evans, president of the Chicago Fed, said in another place that a recession would likely require unfavorable circumstances to occur. Also labeling inflation "unacceptably" high, Fed's Evans

 

Additionally, according to sources cited by Reuters, US President Biden is reconsidering his China tariff policy in light of Taiwan's response, which put the XAU/USD bulls on the defensive.

 

S&P 500 Futures print modest gains near 4,220 by press time against this backdrop after Wall Street rose and US Treasury yields were largely unchanged the day prior.

 

Moving on, the monthly Producer Price Index (PPI) for July and the weekly US Jobless Claims numbers may amuse gold traders. However, in light of recent risk-negative headlines, special focus should be placed on the qualitative variables.