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Hang Seng Index futures closed down 0.2% at 23,253 points in overnight trading, a discount of 97 points.July 4th - As of 2:30 PM closing, the Shanghai Gold futures contract rose 0.81%, the Shanghai Silver futures contract rose 1.61%, and the SC crude oil futures contract fell 0.16%.July 4th - As of 2:30 PM closing, the Shanghai Gold futures contract rose 0.81% to 913 yuan/gram, the Shanghai Silver futures contract rose 1.61% to 15,294 yuan/kilogram, and the SC Crude Oil futures contract fell 0.16% to 438 yuan/barrel.On July 4th, it was reported that European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde will personally attend next weeks EU finance ministers meeting in Brussels, instead of being represented by a vice president. According to the ECBs weekly schedule, Lagarde will not only attend the Eurogroup meeting on July 9th but also the meeting of the Council for Economic and Financial Affairs (Ecofin) the following day. This arrangement is unusual, as such meetings are typically represented by the ECB vice president. Since assuming the position of ECB vice president in early June, Vujicic has already attended one Ecofin meeting. The ECB schedule also indicates that he will travel to Athens next Friday for a meeting. Lagardes decision to personally attend these two meetings comes amidst speculation that she may step down early to pursue a political career in France.Brazilian government: Data shows that crude oil exports in June were 8.48 million tons, compared to 7.95 million tons in the same period last year.

Forecast for the price of gold: XAU/USD eases below the $1,804 barrier as Fed hawks back off due to weaker US inflation

Alina Haynes

Aug 11, 2022 11:58

 截屏2022-08-10 上午11.45.08_1024x576.png

 

US inflation-driven gains in the price of gold (XAU/USD) are fading as the metal declines to $1,790 on Thursday during the opening Tokyo session. The recent decline in the price of precious metals may be related to conflicting worries about the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) upcoming actions as well as Sino-American friction.

 

On Wednesday, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell to 8.5% YoY in July, below the 8.7% consensus and the 9.1% reading from June. According to Reuters, US President Joe Biden stated on Wednesday that there are some indications that inflation may be decreasing after the US released its inflation data. In the coming months, there may be more challenges for us to overcome, Biden continued. US President Biden continues, "We still have work to do, but we're on track."

 

Following the CPI report on Wednesday, traders of futures linked to the Fed's benchmark interest rate reduced their bets on a third consecutive 75-basis-point raise at its policy meeting on September 20-21 and now see a half-point increase as the most likely scenario, according to Reuters.

 

Neel Kashkari, president of the Minneapolis Fed, recently stated that the Fed is "far, far away from declaring success" on inflation. Additionally, the decision-maker stated that he hasn't "seen anything that changes" the need for the Fed to raise its policy rate to 3.9% by year's end and to 4.4% by the end of 2023. Charles Evans, president of the Chicago Fed, said in another place that a recession would likely require unfavorable circumstances to occur. Also labeling inflation "unacceptably" high, Fed's Evans

 

Additionally, according to sources cited by Reuters, US President Biden is reconsidering his China tariff policy in light of Taiwan's response, which put the XAU/USD bulls on the defensive.

 

S&P 500 Futures print modest gains near 4,220 by press time against this backdrop after Wall Street rose and US Treasury yields were largely unchanged the day prior.

 

Moving on, the monthly Producer Price Index (PPI) for July and the weekly US Jobless Claims numbers may amuse gold traders. However, in light of recent risk-negative headlines, special focus should be placed on the qualitative variables.

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