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Conflict Status 1. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard claims to have struck a US aircraft carrier and destroyer. 2. Israeli attacks in southern Lebanon have resulted in multiple casualties. 3. Clashes between Yemeni government forces and Houthi rebels have left at least 117 people dead. Strait of Hormuz 1. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard released video footage of its actions against vessels violating regulations, claiming that the US escort was a complete lie. 2. Iran says it will declare the Strait of Hormuz a "no-go zone" in the coming days. 3. Secretary of Irans Supreme National Security Council: The navigational route map for the Strait of Hormuz agreed upon with Oman will be signed in the coming days. 4. Secretary of Irans Supreme National Security Council: Iran will only commit to keeping the Strait of Hormuz open if the US ceases its threats or attacks. 5. UK Maritime Trade Operations Office: 59 vessels passed through the Strait of Hormuz in the past 48 hours. Other Matters 1. Iranian military: Has demonstrated a new mode of resistance and will not surrender to the US. 2. Lebanese President: Israels attacks have exceeded the scope of the ceasefire agreement and the framework agreement for national institutions. 3. Iranian Parliament Speaker: Any future actions targeting Iranian interests and security will be met with a "faster, fiercer, and more painful" response. 4. The UAE, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and eight other countries issued a joint statement condemning Israels statements regarding the expulsion of Palestinians from the Gaza Strip. 5. Iranian Foreign Ministry: The US waged war but made the whole world pay the price. 6. Iran will raise gasoline prices for heavy users.September 7th - Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Baghae stated: "The Strait of Hormuz was completely unobstructed until February 28th, when the US and Israel invaded Iran. Washington launched an illegal and barbaric war, disrupting normal commercial shipping; oil tankers stopped sailing, trade was interrupted, and energy prices soared. The US started the war, yet expects the whole world to pay for it, while portraying Iran as the instigator of this chaos. This is utterly absurd."September 7th - According to the Financial Times, citing multiple Western defense and intelligence officials, Europe has failed to effectively deter Russias "hybrid warfare" against the continent and must quickly develop new methods to curb Moscows actions against NATO member states, or risk escalating conflict with the Kremlin. Western officials stated that last months thwarted drone strike on Leipzig/Halle airport, carrying military-grade explosives, highlighted Russias brazenness in its aggressive practices against NATO and the ineffectiveness of existing deterrents. They added that a collective action from European countries is needed to address the issue. A senior Western defense official stated, "It is clear that we are doing far too little to deter provocations that do not violate NATOs Article 5." They added, "The deterrent force we provide is sufficient to prevent Russia from escalating conventional and nuclear warfare. But we really need to rethink our strategy for dealing with hybrid warfare."Ukrainian President Zelensky: We may prefer certain forms of negotiation, but worse is that there are no forms of negotiation at all. I want to thank U.S. Special Envoy for the Middle East, Witkov, and Trumps son-in-law, Kushner, for their roles in restarting the negotiation process today. It is very important that the U.S. team met with the Russian leaders and then with me today to discuss all possibilities. We held trilateral talks with European representatives, as well as a meeting of national security advisors, and I believe we will do everything we can to resume negotiations.Alternative for Germany (AfD) leader Johann Sebastian Weidel: We need to maintain good relations with Russia, and especially with the United States. We are now seeing the US sending representatives to Moscow to mediate between Moscow and Kyiv. This was a role that Germany could have played.

Forecast for Silver Price: XAG/USD is rising quickly and is approaching the $20.00 mark

Alina Haynes

Sep 15, 2022 11:43

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Silver price recovers around the 50-day exponential moving average and advances towards a daily high of $19.69 on Wednesday after the US Labor Department reported that August PPI was in line with predictions of diminishing inflationary pressures on the producer side. Therefore, the XAG/USD is trading at $19.61, 1.86% higher than its initial price.

 

Before Wall Street opened, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) of the United States reported that the Producer Price Index (PPI) for August decreased by 0.1%, in line with expectations, while the year-over-year figure fell to 8.7%, less than the 9.8% reported in July. Meanwhile, the so-called core PPI, which excludes volatile goods, increased by 0.4% month-over-month and 7.3% year.

 

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index, a measure of the dollar's value against a basket of six currencies, ended Wednesday's session down 0.15 percent, at 109.648, weighed down by US Treasury yields, particularly the 10-year benchmark note rate, which remained unchanged throughout the day at approximately 3.404%.

 

The US Dollar Index reflects the aforementioned by declining by 0.09% and falling below the 110.000 barrier. Similarly, the US 10-year benchmark note rate exhibits signs of weariness, remaining flat at approximately 3.414%.

 

The fact that US 10-year TIPS yields, a proxy for actual yields, rose by only one basis point to 0.939% was a further factor supporting the white metal price.

 

On Thursday, the US economic calendar will contain jobless claims, retail sales, and the New York and Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Indices, which will serve as a precursor to the ISM report in October.

 

The daily XAG/USD chart depicts the white metal as neutral to bearishly biased. Nonetheless, if silver buyers recapture the $20,000 threshold, this might pave the way for a test of a four-month-old downslope trendline near $20.20 prior to reaching the 100-day EMA at $20.39. A breach of the latter will reveal the cycle high from August 15 at $20.87, ahead of the psychological milestone of $21.00.


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