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1. All three major U.S. stock indexes closed higher. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.48% to 46,565.74 points, the S&P 500 rose 0.72% to 6,575.32 points, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 1.16% to 21,840.95 points. Boeing rose more than 4%, and Caterpillar rose more than 3%, leading the Dow Jones gains. The Wind U.S. Tech Big Seven Index rose 1.13%, with Google rising more than 3% and Tesla rising more than 2%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose 0.31%, with Zai Lab rising more than 8% and Hesai Technology rising more than 7%. 2. All three major European stock indexes closed higher. The German DAX rose 2.73% to 23,298.89 points, the French CAC40 rose 2.1% to 7,981.27 points, and the UK FTSE 100 rose 1.85% to 10,364.79 points. The rapid easing of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East boosted European stock markets and led to a decline in oil prices, alleviating inflationary pressures and energy cost concerns. This provided room for the European Central Bank to adjust its monetary policy and enhanced the attractiveness of risk assets. 3. Most US Treasury yields rose: the 2-year yield rose 1.01 basis points to 3.803%, the 3-year yield rose 1.73 basis points to 3.830%, the 5-year yield rose 1.22 basis points to 3.953%, the 10-year yield rose 0.20 basis points to 4.319%, and the 30-year yield fell 1.33 basis points to 4.899%. 4. The WTI crude oil futures contract closed down 2.44% at $98.91 per barrel; the Brent crude oil futures contract fell 3.59% to $100.24 per barrel. First, market expectations for a US-Iran ceasefire and the withdrawal of US troops from Iran have increased, significantly easing concerns about supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, which had previously supported oil price increases. Second, US crude oil inventories rose far more than expected last week, reaching near-record highs, further pressuring oil prices due to expectations of ample supply. Third, the US plan to release strategic petroleum reserves also put downward pressure on oil prices. 5. International precious metals futures generally closed higher, with COMEX gold futures rising 2.27% to $4784.60 per ounce and COMEX silver futures rising 0.38% to $75.20 per ounce. Crude oil prices retreated from their highs, easing inflationary pressures. Meanwhile, the US dollar index fell for the second consecutive day to around 99.4, making dollar-denominated precious metals more attractive to holders of non-US currencies. 6. London base metals rose across the board. LME lead rose 1.89% to $1,939.0/ton, LME zinc rose 1.77% to $3,283.5/ton, LME aluminum rose 1.75% to $3,527.5/ton, LME tin rose 1.50% to $47,450.0/ton, LME copper rose 1.11% to $12,472.5/ton, and LME nickel rose 1.02% to $17,285.0/ton.Japan Meteorological Agency: Following the earthquake near Indonesia, there may be slight sea level changes along the Japanese coast, but no tsunami is expected.The U.S. tsunami warning system warned that following the earthquake, some coastal areas of Indonesia may experience tsunami waves 0.3 to 1 meter above the tide level.The China Earthquake Networks Center officially reported that a 7.4-magnitude earthquake occurred in the Maluku Strait of Indonesia at 06:48 on April 2, with a focal depth of 30 kilometers.The U.S. tsunami warning system warns that tsunami waves triggered by the earthquake may occur along the coasts of Indonesia, the Philippines, and Malaysia within 1,000 kilometers of the epicenter.

Forecast for Gold Price: XAU/USD bulls want confirmation from $1,905

Daniel Rogers

Feb 06, 2023 15:36

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Gold price (XAU/USD) recovers from monthly low, grinding higher at intraday highs near $1,878 as the European session begins on Monday. In doing so, the yellow metal reverses a two-day slump in the face of a sluggish US Dollar, negative sentiment, and aggressive Fed sentiment.

 

The positive US jobs report and ISM Services PMI on Friday rekindled speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) had leeway to raise interest rates. However, the US shooting of a Chinese balloon and the cancellation of US Secretary of State Antony Blinken's visit to Beijing weigh on the market's risk profile. In the same vein, China warned not to exacerbate the delicate situation and described the incident as a "obvious overreaction."

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) stays passive despite a comeback in US Treasury bond yields and slight losses in stock futures. The cause may be the DXY bull's hesitation ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech on Tuesday.