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August 13th - As of 2:30 PM closing, the main Shanghai gold futures contract rose 0.36% to 959 yuan/gram, the main Shanghai silver futures contract rose 0.63% to 16,024 yuan/kilogram, and the main SC crude oil futures contract rose 0.63% to 556 yuan/barrel.August 13th - According to the Globe and Mail, the Canadian government is considering a proposed auto tariff package, hoping to accept some U.S. auto tariffs in exchange for lower U.S. tariffs on vehicles compliant with the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA). The package includes maintaining the exemption policy, meaning the value of U.S.-made parts in Canadian-exported cars will not be included in the tariff calculation. Sources indicate that U.S. and Canadian negotiators have discussed the proposal. Preliminary details suggest that the auto tariffs imposed by Trump under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962 could be further reduced from the current 25% tariff on all USMCA-compliant Canadian auto exports. Furthermore, the value of U.S. parts in Canadian-made cars will remain excluded from the tariff calculation. Approximately 50% of the parts in a Canadian-made car come from the U.S., and businesses believe that a 10% to 15% tariff level would be acceptable if U.S. components were excluded. The goal is to reach an agreement by August 19th. Canadian officials believe that a deferral of the next round of tariffs is more likely by August 19th than a comprehensive resolution to the Section 232 tariff issue.On August 13th, the U.S. Treasury Department reported on Wednesday that the U.S. budget deficit has surged to its highest monthly level in more than five years, driven by soaring Medicare costs and continued pressure from federal debt interest payments. In addition to the significant single-month increase, the cumulative deficit for the first 10 months of fiscal year 2026 has approached $1.8 trillion, exceeding the figure for the same period in fiscal year 2025. The total deficit in July reached $432.3 billion, an increase of approximately 48% compared to the same period last year, marking the largest single-month deficit since March 2021 and setting a new July record. Medicare spending reached $174 billion that month, up from $103 billion in June, bringing the total for the year to $955 billion. This was the largest single expenditure in July, far exceeding Social Security spending of $141 billion and net interest payments on national debt of $104 billion. Furthermore, tariff rebates also impacted the budget by $33 billion. Additionally, U.S. fiscal revenue was negatively affected by a calendar factor of $99 billion, as the first day of the month was a non-working day. For years, Trump has urged the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates to ease debt costs. Since his nominee, Warsh, took over as chairman in May, he has ceased criticizing the Fed.On August 13th, Reuters, citing sources, reported that Alphabet, the parent company of Google (GOOG.O), is undergoing a major leadership reshuffle at Google DeepMind, with some teams moving from DeepMind to the Google corporate system, further weakening DeepMinds autonomy. Sources said that Google co-founder Sergey Brin has been urging core AI employees in recent months to "fully commit" to the Gemini model and push for AI research in areas such as "recursive self-improvement." Following this reshuffle, DeepMind head Demis Hassabis will become chairman, with his deputy Kolai Kavukuoğlu taking over leadership responsibilities. Google stated that Kavukuoğlu will have final say on major decisions at DeepMind. Sources said that Google has postponed the release of the new flagship Gemini model by two months because internal testing showed it still lags behind competitors in areas such as programming. Analysts believe that Alphabets restructuring aims to accelerate AI commercialization and regain a competitive edge in model development, but some employees worry that DeepMinds long-term research autonomy may further decline.On August 13, according to a statement from the Iraqi Prime Ministers Media Office, Iraqi Prime Minister Mullah Zaidi met with visiting U.S. Central Command Commander General Robert Cooper on August 12. During the meeting, Zaidi reiterated Iraqs commitment to the established timetable, namely, September 30th is the final date for the international coalition forces to end their military mission in Iraq and complete their withdrawal. Zaidi stated that October 1st will be a new day in Iraqi history, when Iraq will completely rid itself of all foreign military presence, realize its territorial sovereignty, continuously enhance its national security and military capabilities, and safeguard its own security and stability.

Fed hawkishness supports the dollar while gold and copper lose steam

Skylar Williams

Sep 22, 2022 11:41

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After a Fed rate hike and hawkish posture bolstered the dollar and harmed metal markets, gold prices reversed recent gains and copper prices extended losses on Thursday.


As traders thought the metal to be oversold, bullion prices initially rose after the Fed's pronouncement. Since then, it has lost the majority of its gains and is trading between flat and low.


Gold spot prices dipped 0.3% to $1,669.56 and gold futures declined to $1,674.45 around 20:01 E.T. (00:01 GMT). Both increased by 0.5% on Wednesday.


As anticipated, after the Fed increased interest rates by 75 basis points, metal markets were volatile. The central bank sounded more hawkish than anticipated for future interest rates, reaffirming predictions that U.S. interest rates will end the year over 4%.


Chairman of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell stated that the bank must adopt more aggressive tactics to combat inflation and was willing to exert pressure on the economy and labor market.


The dollar increased by 1% as a result of Powell's remarks, reducing metal prices. Platinum prices decreased 0.4% and silver futures decreased 0.1%.


During the Russia-Ukraine crisis, rising U.S. interest rates strengthened the ruble and diverted capital away from gold. It lost its role as a safe haven as fears of a recession increased.


Copper futures fell 0.3% to $3.4260 a pound, following a 2% decline on Wednesday. The Fed's aggressive stance may hinder global economic growth, hence decreasing gold demand.


The CEO of Rio Tinto warned that growing inflation and supply chain disruptions will have an immediate negative impact on copper pricing. China, the largest copper importer in the world, is also slowing.


A strike at the world's largest copper mine, Escondida, in Chile increased copper prices. The action could diminish copper supplies.