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Japans 30-year government bond yield rose to 2.63%, the highest level since April 2006.On March 17, Morgan Stanley published a report, indicating that according to the full-year performance of 2024, the earnings forecast of Haifeng International (01308.HK) was adjusted, and the earnings per share forecast for 2025 was raised by 2%, the earnings per share forecast for 2026 was raised by 6%, and the earnings per share forecast for 2027 was introduced to 19 US cents. The bank believes that further earnings revisions in the downward cycle of container shipping from 2025 to 2026 will put pressure on Haifeng Internationals valuation. Therefore, the bull market-benchmark-bear market target price-earnings ratios were adjusted from 14 times, 11 times and 7 times to 12 times, 9.5 times and 6.0 times, respectively. The baseline scenario valuation multiples are basically in line with the historical average since 2011, taking into account the potential special dividends from 2025 to 2026, while the bull market scenario valuation falls within a standard deviation range. Based on this, the bank lowered the weighted target price of Haifeng International from the previous HK$21.3 to HK$18.8, and the rating was "in line with the market".On March 17, US President Trump said he had no intention of exempting steel and aluminum tariffs, and said reciprocal tariffs and industry tariffs would be implemented on April 2. Trump told reporters on Air Force One that reciprocal tariffs on US trading partners would be implemented together with automobile tariffs.March 17th, Deutsche Bank Research is optimistic about European stocks, both from a relative and absolute perspective. The banks strategists have noted the progress of Germanys multi-billion dollar infrastructure and climate funds and increased defense spending, and expect the positive momentum in European stocks to continue. The German MDAX index, which has outperformed the U.S. stock market in the past few weeks, remains its favorite index. Strategists believe that U.S. import taxes are the main source of uncertainty in the coming weeks, and the increasing likelihood of a slowdown in the U.S. economy due to tariff increases is the main risk to the absolute upside of European stocks. While they believe that the Ukrainian ceasefire is the most unpredictable catalyst, they add that if a credible ceasefire is achieved, it will reduce the expected risks of European stocks and attract U.S. investors.On March 17, the median estimate of six economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal showed that Malaysias export growth may accelerate in February. Exports are expected to rise 6.9% year-on-year from 0.3% in January, while imports may increase 9.6%, with a trade surplus of 9.25 billion ringgit. Kenanga IB economist Muhammad Saifuddin Sapuan said the export growth may be due to a low base last year, increased demand from major trading partners, and early shipments before the deadline for reciprocal tariffs by US President Trump.

Fed Minutes Suggest Slower Rate Hikes, Which Boosts Gold Prices

Charlie Brooks

Jan 05, 2023 11:23

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The Federal Reserve's December meeting minutes showed that officials favored raising interest rates at a slower pace, easing metal markets hit by rising borrowing costs. Gold prices hit a seven-month high Thursday.


The possibility of fewer interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve weighed on the dollar, encouraging more bets that the currency peaked in 2022 and will continue to fall. After the minutes were disclosed, Treasury rates dropped.


The Fed minutes showed that officials are hyper-focused on controlling inflation and want to keep interest rates high for a long time. This may limit metal market gains.


Spot gold rose to $1,855.45 per ounce, while gold futures remained constant at $1,860.80 per ounce as of 19:26 ET (00:26 GMT). Both assets have gained over 2% in the last two days.


Bullion prices rose after the IMF warned that the world's leading countries could endure a recession in 2023.


Metal markets fell as the global economy slowed. After a poor start to the year, copper prices fell for a third day.


Copper futures declined 0.1% in early Asian trading to $3.7412 per pound, down about 2% since 2022.


Uncertainty about China's economic openness weighed on the red metal as the world's largest copper importer faced a COVID-19 outbreak.


Copper demand is expected to surge once the Chinese economy reopens, but prices will be volatile as the timeframe is uncertain.


Other big economies' slowing growth also pressured for industrial metals. The U.S. manufacturing sector dropped for the second consecutive month in December, according to data released Wednesday.


Nickel prices plummeted 6% after the U.S. reading, while platinum and silver prices also declined.

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