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On February 21, Paul Ashworth, chief economist for North America at Capital Economics, stated that the Trump administration has several other ways to implement trade barriers, potentially resorting to Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974 or invoking Section 338 of the original Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930. Regarding refunds, Ashworth estimated the amount would reach approximately $120 billion, representing 0.5% of GDP. Justice Brett Kavanaugh, who wrote the main dissenting opinion on the ruling, noted that "this process is likely to be a chaotic affair, as acknowledged in the oral arguments."February 21st - Ian Lingen, Head of U.S. Interest Rate Strategy at BMO Capital Markets, stated that market participants largely anticipated the Supreme Courts ruling, so the limited reaction in the U.S. interest rate market was not surprising. James Assy, Portfolio Manager at Marshall Investment Management, said the reaction has been quite mild so far. The market is unsure what to do. The real big question would have been any talk of refunds. I think this news is slightly bearish for U.S. Treasuries. This is a short-term negative for the budget, so it should be bad for Treasuries. But its really hard to see how this will actually work – its very complex.The German DAX 30 index closed up 231.37 points, or 0.92%, at 25249.35 on Friday, February 20th; the UK FTSE 100 index closed up 63.16 points, or 0.59%, at 10690.20 on Friday, February 20th; and the French CAC 40 index closed up 116.71 points, or 1.39%, at 8515.49 on Friday, February 20th; the Euro... The Stoxx 50 index closed up 70.58 points, or 1.16%, at 6130.20 on Friday, February 20; the Spanish IBEX 35 index closed up 162.72 points, or 0.90%, at 18180.22 on Friday, February 20; and the Italian FTSE MIB index closed up 675.28 points, or 1.47%, at 46469.50 on Friday, February 20.The Federation of German Industries (BDI) stated (regarding the US Supreme Courts tariff ruling) that, with Berlins support, the EU should promptly engage with the US to clarify the impact of the current ruling on the EU-US trade agreement.The World Trade Organization declined to comment on the U.S. Tariff Courts ruling.

Crypto Market Daily Highlights: Fed Fear and Regulatory Jitters Weigh

Cory Russell

Feb 28, 2023 15:13

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On Monday, the top ten cryptocurrency index had a split session. While XRP defied the negative pattern, MATIC topped the top ten in losses. For the third session in a row, Bitcoin fell shy of $24,000 due to the negative session.


Short-term early afternoon support came from US economic data and the NASDAQ Composite Index. US orders for core durable products rose by 0.7% in January, correcting a 0.4% drop in December. A 0.1% increase is predicted by economists. The favored Goods Purchases Non-Defense Ex Aviation index of the Federal Reserve rose by 0.8%, correcting a 0.3% decline from December.


The most recent figures from the US, however, are yet more encouraging economic signs, backing a more active interest rate track from the Fed to bring inflation back to goal.


The introduction of a worldwide crypto regulatory structure has added regulatory ambiguity, which has continued to dampen investor interest. Investors were given a preview of what to anticipate by G20 news and G20 post-meeting remarks.


A Forbes story on Binance moving $1.8 billion in user assets to hedge funds on Monday put the market's perception to the test amid intensified regulatory and parliamentary examination. As of the time of writing, CZ, the Leader of Binance, had not commented on the story.


The Day Ahead Buyers should keep an eye on the crypto news channels for any regulation developments and any congressional chitchat. Along with news from the current SEC v. Ripple lawsuit, developments on Binance and FTX are important to take into account.


The midday session will be influenced by US economic data and the NASDAQ Composite Index. There will be a lot of curiosity in the February US consumer sentiment numbers. The Fed would feel more confident making more bold steps to fight inflation if consumer confidence rose.


As a result of decline purchasers providing much-needed assistance, the NASDAQ Composite Index increased by 0.63% on Monday. Today's morning saw a 9-point gain for the NASDAQ mini.

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