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On January 27th, European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Kocher stated that given the unstable global situation, particularly regarding trade, the ECB needs to retain all feasible options regarding interest rates. While officials believe they are currently in a "good position," they still face "very high" uncertainty. He emphasized the importance of having sufficient options in both directions. Monetary policy must be able to respond quickly and decisively to any emerging risks. Kocher expressed a desire to be able to react swiftly to any unforeseen circumstances. "We saw this last week when there was an additional threat of tariffs. So we must be cautious. This could have some consequences and could also impact European economic development."SMIC: The company will disclose its fourth quarter 2025 results after the trading session on February 10, 2026.January 27th - Nick Timiraos, the "Federal Reserve mouthpiece," reports that Federal Reserve officials are expected to keep interest rates unchanged this week for the first time since three consecutive rate cuts in September. The question is, what would prompt the Fed to cut rates again? The answer depends on which risk materializes first: a collapse in the labor market, or a significant drop in inflation towards the 2% target. Neither has occurred since the last meeting in December. As a result, the committee remains on the sidelines despite significant political pressure from the White House. Most officials still believe a rate cut is possible later this year, but there is disagreement on when data will support it.January 27th - With only six months remaining until July 1st, 2026, the implementation of Article 75 of the National Medical Products Administrations "Special Provisions on the Registration Management of Traditional Chinese Medicines" is entering its final window. This provision, known in the industry as the "life-or-death clause" for traditional Chinese medicines, clearly states that after three years from July 1st, 2023, any traditional Chinese medicine whose instructions still indicate "not yet clear" will not be approved for re-registration. This means that over 70% of the approximately 57,000 valid approval numbers for traditional Chinese medicines currently in use in China, due to safety information labeling issues, will face elimination. A regulatory-driven, in-depth cleanup of the traditional Chinese medicine industry has officially entered its crucial stage. The core of this new regulatory policy is to completely end the long-standing era of "not yet clear" instructions for traditional Chinese medicines, forcing drug holders to address the shortcomings in post-market safety data.The UK Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) will develop a series of recommendations based on feedback from the AI review, which will be submitted to the FCA committee in the summer of 2026.

European Open: The DAX is on track for its first bearish week in five

Steven Zhao

Aug 22, 2022 15:13

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The weakest major currencies overnight were the JPY and CHF, while the US dollar continued to gain ground overnight, albeit more slowly than during the US session. The BOJ is unlikely to take action considering that the inflation rate in Japan reached its highest point in 7.5% of the year and is predicted to peak in Q4. This served as the perfect impetus for additional USD/JPY support overnight.

 

DAX 4-hour chart: As we approach the final trading day of the week, the DAX is on track to form a 2-bar bearish reversal pattern on the weekly chart at present levels. As it would be forming close below trend resistance, projected from its record high, the pattern could possibly have some significance. It remains to be seen if it represents a meaningful swing high, but at the very least, we favor a deeper pullback from current levels.

 

Although prices are stabilizing in the bottom part of this week's range following a sharp decline from the highs, the 4-hour chart is still above trend support, and the bias is for a negative break. When the 13,605 support is broken, it is assumed that the bearish trend will continue and the 14,440 - 13,500 support zone comes into focus. If that zone is also broken, a run for the 13,330 support zone is then made possible.