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UBS: Raises gold price target from $3,000/oz to $3,200/oz amid rising risks.On March 17, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi said that US President Trump is "better prepared" for his second term and has provided a clear roadmap. In a few weeks, Washington plans to impose reciprocal tariffs. India will be one of the trading partners facing tariffs starting in April, which may cause difficulties for Indian exporters in industries ranging from automobiles to agriculture. After Modi and Trump met last month, the two countries agreed to resolve the tariff dispute by the fall of 2025. "This time, he seems to be more prepared than before," Modi said. "He has a clear roadmap in his mind with clear steps, each designed to lead him to his goals." Modi also praised Trumps "kindness and humility", emphasizing the close ties between the leaders of the two countries. "His (Trumps) expression reflects his America First spirit, just as I believe in country first. I represent India first, and thats why we are so well connected," Modi said.Japans 40-year government bond yield rose to 3%, the highest level since it was issued in 2007.Japans 30-year government bond yield rose to 2.63%, the highest level since April 2006.On March 17, Morgan Stanley published a report, indicating that according to the full-year performance of 2024, the earnings forecast of Haifeng International (01308.HK) was adjusted, and the earnings per share forecast for 2025 was raised by 2%, the earnings per share forecast for 2026 was raised by 6%, and the earnings per share forecast for 2027 was introduced to 19 US cents. The bank believes that further earnings revisions in the downward cycle of container shipping from 2025 to 2026 will put pressure on Haifeng Internationals valuation. Therefore, the bull market-benchmark-bear market target price-earnings ratios were adjusted from 14 times, 11 times and 7 times to 12 times, 9.5 times and 6.0 times, respectively. The baseline scenario valuation multiples are basically in line with the historical average since 2011, taking into account the potential special dividends from 2025 to 2026, while the bull market scenario valuation falls within a standard deviation range. Based on this, the bank lowered the weighted target price of Haifeng International from the previous HK$21.3 to HK$18.8, and the rating was "in line with the market".

European Open: The DAX is on track for its first bearish week in five

Steven Zhao

Aug 22, 2022 15:13

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The weakest major currencies overnight were the JPY and CHF, while the US dollar continued to gain ground overnight, albeit more slowly than during the US session. The BOJ is unlikely to take action considering that the inflation rate in Japan reached its highest point in 7.5% of the year and is predicted to peak in Q4. This served as the perfect impetus for additional USD/JPY support overnight.

 

DAX 4-hour chart: As we approach the final trading day of the week, the DAX is on track to form a 2-bar bearish reversal pattern on the weekly chart at present levels. As it would be forming close below trend resistance, projected from its record high, the pattern could possibly have some significance. It remains to be seen if it represents a meaningful swing high, but at the very least, we favor a deeper pullback from current levels.

 

Although prices are stabilizing in the bottom part of this week's range following a sharp decline from the highs, the 4-hour chart is still above trend support, and the bias is for a negative break. When the 13,605 support is broken, it is assumed that the bearish trend will continue and the 14,440 - 13,500 support zone comes into focus. If that zone is also broken, a run for the 13,330 support zone is then made possible.

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