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August 25th - According to the Financial Times, citing sources familiar with the matter, Trump administration officials last week requested Kyiv not to use long-range missiles and drones to attack Moscow, St. Petersburg, and northern Russia during Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday, while a U.S. plane carrying senior officials was en route to the Russian capital. The sources said Ukraine agreed to this request. Today, a U.S. Air Force C-17 transport plane landed in Moscow. Russia previously stated it was unaware of the specific circumstances of the planes arrival; the Kremlin also stated that no meetings with U.S. government representatives were scheduled for this week.U.S. new home sales fell to their lowest level in six months in July, indicating that even with builders lowering prices and offering incentives, high mortgage rates are still suppressing homebuying demand. According to data released by the government on Tuesday, pending sales of new single-family homes in the U.S. fell 10.5% in July to an annualized rate of 607,000 units. Economists median forecast was 620,000 units. The median price of new homes fell 0.9% year-over-year to $393,800. New home sales have declined in three of the past four months, further indicating that the housing market is under pressure from both high financing costs and high home prices. While builders have achieved some success in boosting demand through free upgrades, subsidized mortgage rates, and price reductions, the entry-level housing market remains constrained by insufficient affordability.US President Trump: (Regarding Iran) We are closely monitoring every inch of the Strait of Hormuz and the land of the Golan Heights.US President Trump: (Regarding Iran) The US Navy has been notified that all mines in international waters of the Strait of Hormuz have been removed and/or detonated. Iran has been notified that any vessels or small boats that lay new mines will be destroyed immediately and systematically.U.S. consumer confidence fell in August to its lowest level since the beginning of the year, as consumer views on the business environment and labor market outlook deteriorated. Data released Tuesday by the Conference Board showed that the consumer confidence index dropped 0.8 points to 89.4, with the previous months figure revised downward. The median forecast from economists was 90.2. The report indicated that high gasoline prices, rising overall cost of living, and slowing hiring continued to weigh on American households this month. The survey was conducted from August 3 to 16. During this period, as the renewed escalation of the U.S.-Iran conflict pushed up gasoline prices, the average price of gasoline at U.S. gas stations hovered above $4 per gallon. The Conference Board survey showed that consumer views on the current job market improved somewhat in August. The proportion of consumers who thought there were "ample" job opportunities rose, while the proportion who thought "jobs are hard to find" fell. The difference between the two was the largest this year. However, respondents were more pessimistic about the employment and income prospects over the next six months.

EUR/USD Recovers Near 1.0820 Following a New Yearly Low of 1.0760

Larissa Barlow

Apr 15, 2022 10:21

The EUR/USD pair has had a brief pullback following Thursday's new yearly low of 1.0757. The shared currency suffered a sharp sell-off following the European Central Bank's (ECB) announcement of an unchanged interest rate policy, which was broadly in line with market expectations.

 

Technically, the ECB President Christine Lagarde's maintenance of the status quo was already an expectation, and hence the commentary's dovish tone compelled market players to drop the euro. Lagarde clarified the ECB's interest rate guidance, noting that a rate hike will occur only after the 'Asset Purchase Program' (APP) concludes in the third quarter.

 

The dovish position on future policy announcements is justified by Europe's precarious condition, which includes a higher inflation rate of 7.5% and a poor growth rate amid the Ukraine conflict. The ECB's predicament is about to deteriorate further as oil prices are poised for another upward swing and energy expenses continue to torment European families.

 

Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) has regained momentum as US Treasury yields have firmed. The DXY is balancing above 100.00 and is likely to extend gains given the volatility in global markets during the long weekend. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note has snapped a two-session losing trend and reclaimed a three-year high of 2.83 percent. US Treasury yields rise on the Federal Reserve's (Fed) aggressive tightening intentions, as Fed President and FOMC member John Williams stated on Thursday that the Fed should consider a 50 basis point (bps) interest rate hike in May's monetary policy.

EUR/USD

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