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RSM Chief Economist Joseph Brusueras: Warsh delivered the right hawkish signals at the press conference and attempted to reinforce the Fed’s credibility in restoring price stability, while also enhancing his own credibility.U.S. stocks continued to decline after the Walsh press conference, with the S&P 500 falling 1%, its biggest drop since July 29, the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 1.65%, and the Nasdaq Composite down 0.6%.On September 17th, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh declined to answer questions at a press conference regarding his interactions with US President Trump. Trump has been calling for lower interest rates in recent months. Warsh stated, "I have no comment on my discussions with the president." White House Council of Economic Advisers Chairman Christopher Phelan said on Tuesday that raising interest rates would be a "mistake."On September 17th, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated that he would not disclose details of future interest rate decisions by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). He said, "I am not responsible for providing forward guidance. Our decision today (to raise interest rates) is a carefully considered, serious, and responsible one. We have been preparing for and thinking about this decision for the past 110 or 120 days." Warsh also stated that this decision was not market-driven. He said, "Our decision today is based on our assessment of the current situation, our judgment of the employment trend, and our assessment of the strength of the economy. Sometimes, the market tries to anticipate our decisions. I watch market prices to see what information the market is sending. But todays decision is our own."On September 17th, Warsh stated that while the Federal Reserve cannot prevent price shocks in commodities such as oil on its own, the central bank can use policy tools to prevent further spread of inflationary pressures. Warsh said, "We cannot influence the price of any single commodity, such as oil or groceries." However, he pointed out, "We can and will ensure that any changes in relative prices do not spread further, and do not have second- or third-order effects on the economy. Thats our responsibility, and thats what were doing." Warsh made these remarks as U.S. diesel prices hit a record high due to the Iran war.

During the Fed's "Silence," gold maintains a delicate dance

Aria Thomas

Jul 19, 2022 10:28

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A few dollars here, a few dollars there: gold maintained its delicate dance on Monday, climbing little despite the Federal Reserve's utter silence following two weeks of relative hubbub over the possibility of a major rate increase in July.


Gold bulls and bears were left to choose their next moves on their own, as the central bank adhered to its regular 'blackout' period for comments before its rate announcement on July 27.


A week of relatively sparse U.S. economic data offered traders greater control over market flows.


Despite the insignificance of the climb itself, the Dollar Index's steepest one-day loss since mid-June helped establish the direction in favor of longs.


The most commonly traded gold futures contract on the New York Comex, August, finished at $1,710.20 per ounce, up $6.60, or 0.5 percent.


Thursday's price of $1,695 for the August gold contract was the lowest level in 27 months.


The U.S. gold standard has dropped for five straight weeks, shedding 9% in total. It has declined by 7 percent year-to-date.


Since the Consumer Price Index for the year to June hit a new four-decade high of 9.1 percent on Wednesday, rate betting has been unpredictable, with the pendulum swinging between an unusual hike of 100 basis points for July and the wider consensus of a 75 basis point increase.


Prior to Monday, the dollar had also repeatedly reached two-decade highs, dealing a severe blow to non-dollar consumer oil demand.


Ed Moya, an analyst at the online trading platform OANDA, said, "The dollar is falling to begin the trading week, but this may not be the high." "As a result, gold may have difficulty surpassing $1,750," he added.


According to Sunil Kumar Dixit, the chief technical strategist at skchart.com, if gold is able to break out over $1745 it might proceed to $1770-$1800 and $1815 from there.


"As a previous safe haven, gold is not yet out of the woods, and its doors remain open for another slide below $1,700, this time targeting $1683, $1,666, and $1,652," Dixit added.

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