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Shanghai Auntie (02589.HK) continues to rise, currently up over 10%.The Hang Seng Tech Index fell further to 2%, while the Hang Seng Index is currently down 1.12%.Futures Commentary by Everbright Futures: Overnight, COMEX gold weakened amid fluctuations. After opening today, overseas gold prices rebounded somewhat, with a gain of approximately 0.45% as of this writing. Market sentiment remains volatile. 1. On the policy front, the remarks made by Federal Reserve Chair nominee Warsh at his Senate confirmation hearing last night exerted some downward pressure on gold prices. Warsh stated that he is "committed to ensuring that the implementation of monetary policy remains strictly independent," emphasizing that interest rate decisions "must be strictly independent of political considerations," and pointing out that Trump never asked him to commit to rate cuts. The market interpreted this statement as a hawkish signal, coupled with his call for a "new inflation framework and communication method" from the Fed, further strengthening market expectations that monetary policy is unlikely to shift to easing in the short term, thus putting pressure on gold. 2. On the geopolitical front, a dramatic reversal occurred. Earlier today, Trump publicly stated that he did not intend to extend the ceasefire agreement between the US and Iran, which expires on the evening of the 22nd, and threatened to resume bombings against Iran after the ceasefire expires, triggering a rise in market risk aversion. However, hours later, Trump announced on social media that, at Pakistans request, he agreed to extend the ceasefire, pending Irans submission of a negotiating proposal. He also instructed the US military to continue its naval blockade of Iran and maintain a state of readiness. This fluctuating stance caused market sentiment to waver. 3. In summary, the obstruction of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz pushed up oil prices and inflation expectations, coupled with persistent expectations of Fed tightening, becoming the core factor suppressing gold prices. The US-Iran negotiations have been repeatedly uncertain, increasing short-term market divergence. Before the negotiations become clearer, traders are advised to control their positions and wait for confirmation of direction. However, given the current US stance of still favoring a negotiated solution, traders may consider buying on dips during periods of volatility.Market news: Japans finance minister will meet with the banking sector to discuss the threat posed by Anthropics Mythos model.On April 22, the highest 7-day annualized yield of Tencent Wealth Managements "Current Account +" was 1.3380%, and the lowest was 0.8440%. The highest 7-day annualized yield of WeChat Pays "Lingqian Tong" was 1.0670%, and the lowest was 1.0030%. The highest 7-day annualized yield of Alipays "Yuebao" was 1.1550%, and the lowest was 1.0000%.

Diversified Energy Exposure: Top Trade Opportunities

Cory Russell

Apr 20, 2022 10:36

A major oil ETF, XOP (SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF), has gained 25% since mid-February and 135 percent since 2021. (shown below). Similarly, the biggest energy ETF by market value, XLE (Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF), which has majority sector exposure from Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels, has gained by 14% since mid-February and 107 percent since 2021.


This year's energy bull market has been extraordinary, with energy assets outperforming the entire market by a wide margin. The long-term performance of these instruments, on the other hand, has been rather flat. Since 2017, XLE and XOP, for example, have grown by 3% and -18%, respectively.


For investors, especially volatility traders, the current, turbulent situation of the energy industry gives an intriguing opportunity. Traditional energy instruments' negative long-term performance, combined with their significant concentration on two politicized commodities, calls for a more diversified strategy to energy exposure. 


With the expanding popularity of electric cars, rising global computing needs, and major countries renovating their energy infrastructure, there may be longer-term concern about the health of the energy market. Clean energy stocks and ETFs are one method to obtain exposure to energy while also diversifying against the oil-and-gas-specific issues that have a large influence on the wider energy market.


While many renewable energy assets are still too volatile for active retail traders, a few have seen significant development in recent years. Plug Power (PLUG), a hydrogen fuel cell firm, and ICLN (iShares Global Clean Energy ETF), which invests in global clean energy shares, are two instances of very liquid companies. 


Brookfield Renewable Partners (BEP), which owns and runs renewable generating assets, and TAN (Invesco Solar ETF), which invests in global solar energy firms, are two less liquid (but still tradable) examples. Since 2017, the clean energy ETFs, ICLN and TAN, have outperformed the oil and gas ETFs by 164 percent and 344 percent, respectively, compared to the oil and gas ETFs.


Clean energy ETF assets have been generally uncorrelated with the big energy ETFs in recent months, providing exposure to energy as well as diversification versus conventional energy assets.


As of March 25, indicated volatilities for XLE, 48 percent for XOP, 43 percent for ICLN, and 49 percent for TAN were 36 percent, 48 percent, 43 percent, and 49 percent, respectively, for several energy assets (compared to 22 percent for SPY). Throughout Q2 of 2022, keep an eye on energy assets, and combining conventional energy assets with clean energy assets is a good strategy to have a more diversified energy exposure.