Larissa Barlow
Apr 19, 2022 16:31
The diamond chart pattern is a highly sophisticated chart structure that frequently emerges in financial markets. It is one that technical traders and investors are less familiar with. As a result, many traders are unfamiliar with the structure or trading application of the platform. We will delve into identifying and trading the diamond pattern in this post.
The diamond chart pattern is a subset of the classical chart pattern family. However, compared to the more prevalent flag, pennant, head and shoulders, and rectangle chart patterns, the diamond chart pattern appears less frequently on the price chart.
As a result, the diamond chart pattern does not offer as many trading possibilities as some of the others described. Nonetheless, technical traders should familiarize themselves with this pattern because it presents a substantial trading opportunity when detected early enough.
Contrary to popular belief, the diamond chart pattern is frequently confused with the head and shoulders pattern. While both of these structures share certain similarities, they also have some significant distinctions.
We will go into greater detail about the diamond pattern structure shortly. However, for now, it is critical to recognize that the diamond pattern is a more complex chart pattern with reversal characteristics.
The diamond pattern is most frequently seen following a prolonged trend period. When it happens during a bull market, the pattern is referred to as a diamond top or a bearish diamond pattern due to its bearish meaning. When it emerges in a bearish market, but on the other side, For its bullish connotation, the pattern is sometimes known as a diamond bottom or bullish diamond pattern.
The illustration above depicts the diamond top configuration. Take note of the solid upward trend that precedes the diamond structure. The market surges to a new high before retracing lower. The market then establishes a new high. After that, prices fall below the previous swing low, establishing a new low point.
Prices then resume their upward movement, forming the structure's top. Following that, the price movement declines but does not reach the swing low. Prices resume their upward trend and settle below the prior top. The price declines once more but remains above the previous swing low point.
The swing highs and lows at the top and bottom of the structure can be connected by four trendlines of approximately equal width once the price action is complete. This results in a diamond-shaped pattern, which gives the pattern its name.
Occasionally, we may not notice every up and down price leg mentioned previously within the diamond structure's precise definition. This does not necessarily negate the structure's designation as a diamond pattern. What is critical is that we can plot four trendlines of somewhat comparable length around the structure.
We discussed the bearish diamond pattern variation in the preceding section, also known as a diamond top. Again, the pattern might be seen as a sequence of up-and-down price fluctuations resembling the head and shoulders structure.
The left shoulder and head will form a trendline, while the head and right shoulder will make another trendline. This completes the trendlines for the bearish diamond formation's upper portion. Then, we would link the swing lows to the troughs for the lower section, forming a V shape.
Concerning the figure above, we can notice the bearish diamond pattern again. Additionally, this diagram depicts the breakout entry signal for trading the structure and the pattern's target level. The short entry signal would be triggered at a break and close below the sloping bottom right-hand line.
Specific traders prefer to wait for a breakout below this line alone without requiring a closing below it. This is also a good entry position but bears in mind that it will generate more false signals than waiting for the breakout and closing situation.
The structure's price goal is determined utilizing the measured move technique. We want to determine the distance between the structure's peaks and valleys and then project that distance down from the structure's breakout point. This will establish a point where the breakout's follow-through will begin to wane or reverse. As such, it is a good take profit and trade exit level.
Let us now examine the bullish diamond pattern, which is the inverse of the bearish diamond pattern. Bullish diamond patterns, also known as diamond bottoms, occur during a decline. Typically, we will see a significant downward price movement followed by a consolidation phase that defines the diamond bottom's upswing points.
In this situation, the formation will resemble an inverted head and shoulders. As previously explained, we will connect the structure's peaks and troughs. After drawing four trendlines around the formation and verifying that the four lines are equal in size, we may certify the structure as a bullish diamond pattern.
As illustrated above, a downward price move follows the diamond bottom formation. We can see the up-down sequence defined by the two upper trendlines heading downward and the two lower trendlines pointing upward within the diamond structure.
The long entry signal is triggered when the price breaks and closes above the sloping upper right-hand line. Again, it is preferable to wait for a confirmed breakout and close above this trendline rather than a simple breakout above it in order to avoid misleading signals and possibly whipsawing price activity in this area.
The upper price objective would be determined by comparing the high and low points within the contained structure. After calculating and plotting that distance on the chart, we would extend that same distance upward from the breakout point projected to the selected target level. As soon as the price achieves this level, we should consider abandoning the entire position or a significant chunk of it, with the option of leaving a smaller portion open.
We will now look at an illustration of a bullish diamond bottom pattern. For instance, we will examine the daily chart of the US Dollar versus the Japanese Yen currency pair.
The lower portion of this price chart shows the forex diamond pattern, which is defined by four trendlines. Take note of how the center of the diamond bottom formation has the formation's most extended length. We can see two high swing points which connect to each of the diamond bottom formation's two upper portions. Similarly, we can discern the two swing low points that connect the diamond bottom formation's two bottom portions. This overall structure resembles a diamond, and each of the pattern's four trendlines is generally comparable in length.
After correctly classifying this as a diamond formation, let us analyze the remaining components of this potential trade opportunity. According to our strategy principles, we know that a clear downturn should precede the diamond bottom formation. Again, referring to the price chart, we can observe that this requirement was satisfied. Prior to the creation of the diamond bottom, prices were declining in a stairstep fashion.
We might now begin preparing for a future long trading opportunity. If you closely examine the trendline that serves as our signal line, you will notice an initial false breakout to the upside. This resulted in a temporary violation of the lower right-hand trendline, but prices quickly recovered, and the second breakout opportunity gave us another buy entry. We would have immediately placed a stop-loss order at the most recent swing low preceding this breakout.
The measured move method would be used to determine the price goal. The summit to valley length within the diamond bottom formation would be determined and then extrapolated upward from the breakout point. The left vertical bracket depicts the diamond bottom formation's high low point, while the right vertical bracket depicts its projection from the breakout point. As can be seen, the target was readily reached and occurred prior to the 50 candle time stop exit. It would have captured the whole price movement between the entry and the goal level.
Each chart formation has a trigger line that indicates the point at which a trade should be entered. The neckline runs between the two shoulders in the head and shoulders pattern. This is the lower right side of the bearish diamond pattern and the upper right side of the bullish diamond pattern for the diamond chart pattern.
The chart above illustrates a bearish diamond formation. The red circle denotes the point at which the price action breaks through the diamond's lower right side. When this line is breached, you should open a trade with breakout depending on the type of diamond on the chart breakout.
We must sell the stock short in this instance, as the diamond pattern is bearish and the breakout is also bearish.
When trading the diamond pattern, traders should always employ a stop-loss order.
Your stop should be placed above the diamond's most recent peak for bearish setups and below the diamond's most recent bottom for bullish settings.
We have a bearish diamond formation in the example above. As a result, the stop-loss order should be placed above the pattern's previous top. The graphic above illustrates the proper placement of a diamond trade's stop-loss order. Another approach is to place your stop-loss order above the diamond's highest high, increasing the trade's risk.
As previously stated, the minimum price movement expected from the diamond chart pattern is equal to the formation's size.
For instance, if the distance between the diamond's top and lower edges equals $1.50 per share, you should seek a $1.50 per share move.
This is the same diamond as in the previous cases. However, this time we have included the pattern's minimal objective.
The first blue line indicates the diamond pattern's size. The second blue arrow is the same size as the first, but it is superimposed on the price action. The green horizontal line represents the entry point for trading this pattern. We have the option to abandon the transaction if the price breaks this level.
That is not all. Additionally, we stated that the diamond's lowest goal is not the conclusion of the price increase in many circumstances.
As a result, adding a volume-weighted moving average to your diamond's aim is an effective way to increase its size. Due to the importance of stock volumes in confirming the diamond pattern, they are also critical in predicting exit locations. When entering a diamond trade, you should hold it until the price breaks the VWMA in the other direction or your stop loss is reached.
It is tempting to seek statistics indicating how frequently a diamond pattern occurs – and this is true of any technical analysis-based trading technique. Regrettably, that is not achievable with this investment. Any strategy's success is contingent upon correctly identifying the relevant pattern, and identifying a diamond pattern is no easy undertaking.
Even when a diamond pattern is successfully detected, traders must execute the deal at the optimal time to benefit. There are numerous approaches for validating forecasts and projections, but none are foolproof. As with any deal, they were waiting for assurance diminishes the possibility of profiting, as profits are inversely proportional to risk.
All that can be said is that when traders detect diamond patterns early enough to execute good techniques, these trades can be highly profitable, and there is potential for significant profits.
The most common error a trader can make is trading diamonds too soon. Make sure to draw support and resistance lines and treat the diamond's second half as a symmetrical triangle. Whenever the price crosses one of these thresholds, it provides information about the direction of the impending price movement.
Another risk associated with diamond trading is the establishment of price targets and stop-loss levels. We contend that there is no technical method for determining how high or low a diamond's break can be. This is because many traders are occasionally overly conservative when benchmarking.
Although most traders frequently calculate the difference between the diamond's high and low points and then add it to the breakout. Therefore, the best action process is to evaluate the first dip that initiated the diamond and use market momentum to forecast the correction level following the break.
Diamond pattern trading is psychologically driven, and this pattern examines a highly unique method of informing traders about the stock's behavior.
Investors are ready to grab bullish winnings or short bearish positions following a significant move. This results in the initial phase of consolidation. Thus, there is a moment of insecurity during which specific quantities bolster investors. Another type of consolidation is the pullback, which destabilizes the price. Then, when investors capitalize on the current level, the final breakthrough happens.
The diamond pattern does not indicate either bullish or bearish sentiment, and the diamond pattern's placement indicates whether it is a bullish or bearish pattern.
The diamond pattern is relatively uncommon in trading, so it is rarely seen on higher timeframes. We recommend that you trade it intraday and on lesser timeframes for scalping. Additionally, adhere to the diamond pattern method outlined in this post.
It is suitable for both applications. Simply breaking out of a diamond pattern determines whether it is a continuation or reversal pattern, and a diamond pattern is most effective as a reversal chart pattern.
We have seen that the diamond pattern can be bullish or bearish. Bullish diamond patterns are frequently referred to as diamond bottoms; bearish diamond patterns are frequently referred to as diamond tops.
Diamond reversal patterns can be found in a variety of different financial markets, including the stock market, FX market, cryptocurrency market, and futures market. The diamond pattern is not as frequently encountered as other classic chart designs. However, you must comprehend the pattern and are able to spot it, as it might present a good trading opportunity when it occurs.
According to our backtesting, the diamond top pattern that occurs following a rise in market prices tends to provide a higher probability of trade setup than the diamond bottom pattern following a decrease in market prices. You should conduct your testing to determine whether this pattern corresponds to the markets you trade.
Apr 19, 2022 15:29
Apr 19, 2022 16:42