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On January 13th, Jeff Schulze, Head of Economics and Market Strategy at ClearBridge Investments, stated that while investors may cheer the CPI report as further evidence of cooling inflation, the Federal Reserve will likely remain on the sidelines due to the short time lag between the data and the government shutdown, and the inherent uncertainty. This report is positive for risk assets and increases the likelihood of the Fed providing additional monetary policy support in 2026.January 13th - Nick Timiraos, the Feds mouthpiece, stated that the December Consumer Price Index (CPI) is unlikely to change the Feds current wait-and-see attitude, as officials are likely to want to see more evidence that inflation is stabilizing and gradually declining before cutting interest rates. The Fed has lowered its benchmark interest rate in the last three meetings, most recently in December, even though inflation stopped declining last year. Officials lowered rates due to concerns about a potentially larger-than-expected slowdown in the labor market. For Fed officials to resume rate cuts, they may need to see new evidence that labor market conditions are deteriorating or that price pressures are easing. The latter may require at least several more months of inflation data to become apparent.January 13th - Morgan Stanley Wealth Management Chief Economic Strategist Alan Zentner commented on US inflation: "Weve seen this before—inflation hasnt picked up again, but it remains above target. Cost pass-through from tariffs remains limited, but housing affordability hasnt improved. Todays inflation report is insufficient to provide the necessary justification for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates later this month."On January 13th, Valentin Malinoff, Head of G10 FX Research and Strategy at Crédit Agricole, believes that given the markets muted reaction to the CPI data, traders should buy the dollar when it falls from current levels. The muted market reaction further confirms that many negative factors related to the Federal Reserve have already been priced into the dollar, as expectations of two rate cuts in 2026 have already been priced in. It is also worth noting that even with the recent decline in the dollar due to heightened concerns about fiscal dominance, the market has not anticipated the timing of Fed rate cuts. Therefore, the dollars real interest rate advantage relative to the euro and pound is not fully reflected and is undervalued.January 13th - Art Hogan, Chief Market Strategist at B. Riley Wealth, commented on the US CPI report: Todays CPI report brought some positive news, with December inflation being more moderate than the market had previously expected. Overall CPI rose 2.7% year-on-year, in line with expectations; while core inflation was 2.6%, slightly lower than the markets original forecast of 2.7%. If this trend continues, it will provide the Federal Reserve with some policy flexibility to cut interest rates in the first quarter.

Detailed Explanation of Classic Falling K-line pattern

Eden

Oct 25, 2021 13:27

  Classic Falling K-line pattern will appear repeatedly. If you master the meaning of these combinations, your trading will be greatly improved. When a falling K line combination appears, it tells you that the price will fall soon, to stop buying and start selling;


The classic Falling K-line combination that appears in an uptrend

In an uptrend, the Falling K-line combination indicates a reversal pattern. The product price has peaked and will fall in the short term. Long orders should exit in time, and investors can enter the market with long orders.


「Evening Star」

It is composed of 3 K-line, the first one is the positive line, the second is the small line or the cross line, and the third is the negative line.

k线下跌形态-1.png

The evening star means that the rising market will end and usher in a falling market.


「Dark Cloud Cover」

It is a combination of two k line, the negative line is more than half of the positive line body;

k线下跌形态-2.png

The dark cloud cover shows that the uptrend has encountered tenacious resistance, and the downtrend have regained their strength.


「Engulf」

The engulfing pattern consists of two k line, first, there is a big or mid-positive line, and then a high-open big negative line appears. The closing price of the negative line is lower than the opening price of the previous positive line.

k线下跌形态-3.png

The engulfing pattern means that the rising market will end and usher in a falling market.



「Three Crows」

It is a combination of three negative lines, indicating that the short side is starting to counterattack.

k线下跌形态-4.png

When this signal appears at the high point of an uptrend, the price may peak and fall back.


「Flat Top」

It appears in an uptrend, consisting of 3 or more K lines, and the highest price is almost at the same price, which is a kind of peak signal.

k线下跌形态-5.png

Flat tops do not appear often, but the accuracy is high.


A classic Falling K-line combination that appears in a downtrend

In a downtrend, the falling k line combination indicates that the trend continues and the product price will continue to fall;


「Down Three」

It appears in an downtrend, three small positive lines appeared after the big negative  line, followed by another big negative line.

k线下跌形态-6.png

It shows that the short side has encountered resistance, but the rebound is not large for many consecutive days, and the market outlook will continue to decline.