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On April 6th, local time, the Public Relations Department of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps issued a statement on April 5th, saying that Iran launched the 97th wave of Operation True Commitment-4, carrying out a large-scale joint missile and drone strike, destroying several important targets and related assets of the United States and Israel in countries around the Persian Gulf. The statement said that in this round of operations, Iran struck a hidden gathering place of US military officers near the Mohammed Ahmed Naval Base in Kuwait, causing significant casualties. In addition, an Iranian cruise missile struck a vessel linked to Israel near the port of Jebel Ali in the United Arab Emirates. The statement also claimed that in an attack on a US military personnel gathering point in the UAE on April 4th, 25 US personnel were killed or wounded. The statement also warned crew members of oil tankers and merchant ships sailing in the Persian Gulf and the Sea of Oman not to believe false information to avoid endangering their safety.On April 6th, according to multiple US media reports, Trump told Fox News that he believed a deal with Iran was possible by Monday. Two hours later, Trump told Axios that an Iran deal was "possibly possible by Tuesday," otherwise "it will destroy everything." Later, ABC News reported that Trump stated the conflict with Iran should end within days, not weeks. According to the latest report from the Wall Street Journal, Trump stated that if Iran does not open the Strait of Hormuz by Tuesday evening, the US will strike Iranian power plants. Trump did not provide a timetable for ending the war with Iran.According to the Wall Street Journal, US President Trump stated that if Iran does not open the Strait of Hormuz by Tuesday evening, the US will strike Iranian power plants. Trump did not provide a timetable for ending the conflict with Iran.According to ABC News, US President Trump stated that he believes there is currently no need to deploy US troops on the ground. He believes its unnecessary, but hasnt ruled out any possibilities.According to ABC News, US President Trump said he would blow up the entire country of Iran with "virtually no" room for negotiation if no deal is reached.

Despite contradictory inflation indicators from China, USD/CNH recovers to approximately 6.7700

Daniel Rogers

Jan 12, 2023 14:43

USD:CNH.png 

 

After dipping to roughly 6.7550 during the Asian session, the USD/CNH pair has risen. Despite China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) releasing contradictory Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for December, the asset has recognized demand and extended its recovery to near 6.7700.

 

The annual CPI has remained unchanged at 1.8%, which is in line with forecasts and higher than the prior statement of 1.6%. In contrast, the price index at the factory gate has decreased dramatically, indicating that producers have less negotiating power. In contrast to forecasts, the Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 0.7% rather than 0.1%.

 

The swiftness with which the Chinese government reopened the economy after a lengthy suspension to combat the Covid-19 epidemic has instilled optimism among market participants. The market anticipates a sharp improvement in economic prospects and foreign trade.

 

Morgan Stanley analysts have increased their forecast for China's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) this year to above 5%. "If policy can reduce obstacles to the housing/property sectors and COVID zero recovery, China's economic recovery should strengthen beginning in the second quarter of this year," they added.

 

In the interim, risk-sensitive assets are performing well due to investors' enhanced risk appetite, as indicated by the S&P 500 futures' string of weekly increases. The 10-year US Treasury rates have decreased to 3.55 percent due to optimistic market attitude. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has encountered resistance above 102.80 and has swung to the south in advance of U.S. inflation data.

 

Analysts at Wells Fargo believe that a further decline in energy costs will weigh on the headline and balance price rises in food and core services. However, the price decrease will also be assisted by a further decline in core products, led by used autos once more.