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On April 26, UBS said that the current market thinking is consistent with the banks basic forecast, that is, tariffs will be reduced from the current announced level for the rest of the year, and the Federal Reserve will further cut interest rates this year. However, as uncertainty in trade, economy and Federal Reserve policy remains high, expected volatility also remains high. However, UBS believes that the US stock market is attractive, and the S&P 500 index target continues to be 5,800 points by the end of the year. UBSs current basic forecast is that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 75 to 100 basis points this year, but in the short term, the Feds policy flexibility seems more limited because it must balance concerns about economic growth with the risk of inflation recovery.According to AFP: Senior officials said that Ukrainian President Zelensky and US President Trump may meet in Rome.Spokesman for Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has arrived in Rome to attend the Popes funeral.According to the Ukrainian National News Agency: Russian troops launched 414 attacks in the Zaporizhia region at night.Market news: Ukrainian President Zelensky and his wife arrived in Rome.

Despite a Large Gain in US Crude Inventories, Oil Prices Finished up 4%

Haiden Holmes

Apr 14, 2022 09:34

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The improvements come only one day after both benchmarks gained more than 6%. The oil market has fluctuated dramatically as end consumers and dealers attempted to assess the interruption in Russia's daily shipments after its invasion of Ukraine. The majority of estimates vary between one million and three million barrels per day.


"At the end of the day, the market is being driven by some of the stories coming out of Russia, which is getting more dangerous, and which continues to be a concern," said Phil Flynn, an analyst at Price Futures Group. "There is still dispute about the extent to which this will have an effect."


President Joe Biden of the United States accused Russia of genocide on Tuesday, and the United States, France, and Germany all committed to provide more weaponry. Biden included artillery systems, armored personnel carriers, and helicopters in his list.


Major global trading houses intend to cut crude and gasoline imports from Russia's state-controlled oil businesses as early as May 15, sources said, in order to avoid violating European Union sanctions on Russia, the world's second biggest crude exporter.


Russian President Vladimir Putin said that Moscow can simply divert energy exports away from the West. Certain nations, particularly India, have continued to purchase Russian oil at substantial discounts. 


The International Energy Agency (IEA) cut its forecast for global demand on Tuesday, claiming that increased global production may offset Russian oil supply reductions. The IEA forecasts that Russian production would fall 1.5 million barrels per day in April before increasing to close to 3 million barrels per day in May.


The White House will release 180 million barrels from US reserves over the next six months, as part of a 240 million barrels release from International Energy Agency members.


The United States' output is predicted to continue growing, from 11.8 million barrels per day today to over 12 million in 2022. Exports of refined goods hit an all-time high, as strong international demand reduced US stocks.


The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has said that it would be difficult to compensate for anticipated supply losses from Russia and will thus refrain from pumping more petroleum.

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