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Counterpoint: Apples iPhone sales in China fell 6% from July to August.According to the Wall Street Journal: Ford Motor (FN) further cuts 1,000 jobs in Germany due to continued weak demand for electric vehicles.The European Parliaments head of metals will visit Kyiv, MEPs said.September 17th news: On September 17th local time, Krasnodar Airport in southern Russia received the first flight since its suspension of operations. This is also the first time the airport has resumed formal operations since its closure since the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in February 2022.The number of rate cuts this year is expected to increase. 1. JPMorgan Chase: The updated dot plot indicates room for three rate cuts this year, one more than the June dot plot. 2. Deutsche Bank: The updated dot plot median may indicate a total of 75 basis points of rate cuts in 2025, 25 basis points more than the June forecast. 3. Barclays: The dot plot indicates three rate cuts this year, one each in 2026 and 2027, while the median long-term rate forecast remains unchanged at 3.0%. 4. Bank of Montreal: The median rate forecast for the end of 2025 is expected to be lowered to reflect the possibility of 25 basis point cuts at both the October and December meetings. The dot plot remains unchanged from June. 1. Pepperstone: The Federal Reserve is likely to disappoint market expectations. The dot plot median is likely to remain unchanged, still indicating only a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points this year. 2. UBS: The dot plot will show two rate cuts this year, while the market expects closer to three. Participants economic outlook forecasts will also be in focus. 3. Bank of America: With macroeconomic forecasts largely unchanged, the median Fed rate forecast for 2025 will continue to indicate a 50 basis point cut, despite a downward shift in the overall dot plot. 4. Goldman Sachs: We expect the updated dot plot to show two rate cuts this year, to 3.875%. While the Fed may currently be planning three consecutive rate cuts this year, it may decide that forcing this into the dot plot is unnecessary. 5. Morgan Stanley: We expect the median dot plot to still show two rate cuts this year, but actual economic data may push the Fed to continue cutting rates throughout the rest of the year, extending this round of cuts into January. Other Views: 1. Citigroup: The updated dot plot is likely to indicate two to three rate cuts this year, and the median rate forecast for 2026 may also be revised downward.

Despite a Large Gain in US Crude Inventories, Oil Prices Finished up 4%

Haiden Holmes

Apr 14, 2022 09:34

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The improvements come only one day after both benchmarks gained more than 6%. The oil market has fluctuated dramatically as end consumers and dealers attempted to assess the interruption in Russia's daily shipments after its invasion of Ukraine. The majority of estimates vary between one million and three million barrels per day.


"At the end of the day, the market is being driven by some of the stories coming out of Russia, which is getting more dangerous, and which continues to be a concern," said Phil Flynn, an analyst at Price Futures Group. "There is still dispute about the extent to which this will have an effect."


President Joe Biden of the United States accused Russia of genocide on Tuesday, and the United States, France, and Germany all committed to provide more weaponry. Biden included artillery systems, armored personnel carriers, and helicopters in his list.


Major global trading houses intend to cut crude and gasoline imports from Russia's state-controlled oil businesses as early as May 15, sources said, in order to avoid violating European Union sanctions on Russia, the world's second biggest crude exporter.


Russian President Vladimir Putin said that Moscow can simply divert energy exports away from the West. Certain nations, particularly India, have continued to purchase Russian oil at substantial discounts. 


The International Energy Agency (IEA) cut its forecast for global demand on Tuesday, claiming that increased global production may offset Russian oil supply reductions. The IEA forecasts that Russian production would fall 1.5 million barrels per day in April before increasing to close to 3 million barrels per day in May.


The White House will release 180 million barrels from US reserves over the next six months, as part of a 240 million barrels release from International Energy Agency members.


The United States' output is predicted to continue growing, from 11.8 million barrels per day today to over 12 million in 2022. Exports of refined goods hit an all-time high, as strong international demand reduced US stocks.


The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has said that it would be difficult to compensate for anticipated supply losses from Russia and will thus refrain from pumping more petroleum.

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