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On September 15, the overnight shibor was 1.4080%, up 4.10 basis points; the 7-day shibor was 1.4700%, up 1.00 basis points; the 14-day shibor was 1.5040%, down 2.00 basis points; the January shibor was 1.5330%, up 0.10 basis points; and the March shibor was 1.5530%, the same as the previous trading day.According to futures data on September 15, overnight shibor was 1.4080%, up 4.10 basis points; 7-day shibor was 1.4700%, up 1.00 basis points; 14-day shibor was 1.5040%, down 2.00 basis points; January shibor was 1.5330%, up 0.10 basis points; March shibor was 1.5530%, the same as the previous trading day.On September 15th, Pop Mart (09992.HK) plunged nearly 9% on Monday, its biggest drop since April, hitting its lowest level in over a month, after JPMorgan Chase downgraded its rating to neutral, citing a "lack of catalysts and unattractive valuation." This followed social media posts pointing to weak demand for its new "SKULLPANDA" product, and JPMorgans downgrade heightened market concerns about waning popularity. JPMorgan analysts Kevin Yin and others stated in a report: "Current valuations already reflect perfect expectations. Any minor fundamental disappointment or negative media coverage (such as falling pre-owned prices or third-party licensing issues) could trigger a share price decline." Although the stock has still risen over 180% this year, its 12-month forward price-to-earnings ratio is now close to 23 times.On September 15th, the market generally expected the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points this week, but uncertainty remained about the direction of the policy once it was implemented. Marc Giannoni, Barclays chief US economist, stated that with inflation remaining subdued, the FOMC will judge that downside risks to achieving its employment goals are increasing. He added that the Feds economic projections remained largely unchanged, but the dot plot indicated three rate cuts (each 25 basis points) this year, one each in 2026 and 2027, while the median long-term interest rate forecast remained unchanged at 3.0%.Yunfeng Financial (00376.HK) rose more than 18% and was recently approved to provide virtual asset trading services.

The RoboMarkets Weekly Review and Outlook – DAX With New High for the Year

Florala Chen

Feb 06, 2023 16:02

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Even on the stock market, there are instances when you just hear what you want to hear. At least, this is the sense one gets from seeing how the stock market responded to the US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank raising interest rates. The interest rate-sensitive US technology companies in particular are thought to have gotten a boost from Jerome Powell's remarks that were a little less "hawkish" following the 25 basis point rate rise.


The next day, ECB president Lagarde also makes it clear that her 50 basis point rate rise was not the last, and most likely not the final either. Only the markets don't think she's real. Despite all the protestations, they believe that interest rates will be reduced in the second part of the year as long as inflation rates continue to decline. Investors were not significantly alarmed by the more than 500,000 new jobs added to the US labor market in January.

Bears continue to flee as a result of bulls

As a result, the bears, who have been in pain since October, must relinquish control of the DAX after a brief battle to achieve the previous year's high of 15,270 points. It is sufficient if a US central bank does not alter its path, but investors start to want to hear slightly softer tones from the Fed head and start buying shares if the skepticism about the present stock market advance is still so strong. The brief crush that follows pushes the others in front of them, and the image we've been seeing all week begins to take shape. Euphoric bulls continue to outperform the bears, as if Powell and Lagarde had announced interest rate reductions.