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On March 21, following the conditional easing of US sanctions on Iranian oil, an Axios reporter stated that this move would allow Iran to earn approximately $14 billion in oil revenue. This would be the first time the US has purchased Iranian oil since 1996, all during the war with Iran. However, the New York Times points out that it remains unclear whether the limited lifting of sanctions on Iranian oil will affect global oil prices. Energy analysts believe that most of the crude oil shipped by sea has already been purchased and accounted for, meaning that lifting sanctions on this oil will not significantly increase the supply of oil in the market. Former US Treasury official Daniel Tannebaum stated, "I dont think Iranian crude oil will be imported into the United States." He added, "First, the supply of crude oil is a problem because most of it has already been booked; second, which global bank is funding the Iranian oil trade, regardless of whether such trade is legal?"On March 21, Sun Meijun, Director-General of the General Administration of Customs, met with Lee Myung-koo, Director-General of the Korean Customs Service, who was in China to attend the 20th China-Korea Customs Cooperation Conference. The meeting focused on implementing the important consensus reached by the leaders of China and South Korea, deepening customs cooperation between the two countries, and jointly promoting trade security and facilitation in China, South Korea, and the Asia-Pacific region. Three customs cooperation documents were signed. Following the meeting, Zhang Baofeng and Lee Myung-koo co-chaired the 20th China-Korea Customs Cooperation Conference. Both sides exchanged in-depth views on strengthening the partnership in "smart customs," deepening electronic networking of rules of origin, risk management, customs statistics, intellectual property protection, mutual recognition of Authorized Economic Operators (AEO), inter-customs cooperation, and anti-smuggling enforcement cooperation, reaching broad consensus on cooperation.On March 21, according to the US-based "War Zone" website, the Pentagon confirmed that a US F-35A fighter jet operating over Iran made an emergency return and landed at an undisclosed US military airfield in the Middle East. Video released by the Iranian Revolutionary Guard shows the stealth fighter jet being attacked. Foreign media reports suggest this may be the first time an F-35 has been hit in combat since its introduction, setting a new world record for air combat.On March 21, German Chancellor Merz stated at an event in Bad Duckheim, Rhineland-Palatinate, Germany, on March 20 that he had intended to invite US President Trump to the local wine festival in 2026, but he was unsure if Trump would be willing to attend because Trump is currently "not very happy" with him. Furthermore, Merz said that Germany currently holds "completely different views" from the US on some issues. He also stated that the "Make America Great Again" movement is unrelated to other countries, and that Germany holds different views on American culture, media products, and some democratic ideals.On March 21, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) issued a statement saying that Iran recently launched a ballistic missile carrying a cluster bomb warhead into central Israel. IDF rescue forces stated that Iran launched a ballistic missile carrying a cluster bomb warhead into central Israel, causing damage to three locations in Rishon LeZion.

Copper pricing remains firmer on anticipation for stimulus and weaker DXY

Daniel Rogers

Sep 06, 2022 15:16

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Reuters reported that the copper contract for three months on the London Metal Exchange (LME) increased 0.3% to $7,678 per tonne by 02:59 GMT, while the most-traded copper contract for October on the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SFE) rose 1.3% to 60,850 yuan ($8,773.45) per tonne.

 

In doing so, the red metal applauds the market's improved sentiment and hopes for additional support, particularly from China. The lower performance of the US Dollar Index (DXY) after it reached a 20-year high the day before is also encouraging for metal purchasers.

 

US 10-year Treasury yields jump 2.5 basis points (bps) to 3.21%, reflecting the sentiment, while S&P 500 Futures extend the week-start recovery to 3,943, up 0.50% intraday as of press time. In addition, market consolidation permitted the DXY to fall from the 20-year high to 109.37, prior to its current rebound to 109.62.

 

During a period of full markets, optimists appeared to have been supported by rumors of more aid packages to spur economic recovery. Nonetheless, the incoming British prime minister, Liz Truss, has a £130 billion energy plan in the works, while the People's Bank of China (PBOC) reduces the Reserve Requirement Ratio (RRR). In addition, policymakers from Germany and the Eurozone are making a concerted effort to shield energy businesses and winter stocks from the effects of the recession.

 

China's tightening supply and Peru's falling output of the metal further support the price. "The premium of LME cash copper over the three-month contract surged to $77.50 per tonne on Monday, the biggest level since December 2021," reported Reuters, indicating a diminishing supply of immediately available material in LME warehouses. Copper production in Peru, the world's second-biggest copper producer, decreased 6.6% year-over-year to 195,234 tonnes in July, as two of the nation's top mines underperformed.