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On June 18th, Suren Thiru of the Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales stated that the Bank of Englands next move is more likely to be a rate cut than a rate hike. After the Bank of England kept interest rates unchanged at 3.75% on Thursday, Thiru indicated that the central bank may enter a longer policy wait-and-see period to assess geopolitical uncertainties and domestic political instability. "British monetary policy is currently at a crossroads," Thiru said. The US-Iran peace agreement has boosted market expectations for easing inflation, but if hostilities resume, "the situation could quickly shift back towards raising interest rates." However, he stated that given the still high level of global volatility, the Bank of England is unlikely to initiate a rate cut before next year.Pfizer shares fell 1.4% in pre-market trading after Chief Financial Officer Dave Denton announced his resignation.Futures Market Summary | Thursday, June 18th, CCTV News Highlights: 1. Xi Jinping replies to Xinhua News Agency veteran Zhang Liansheng, emphasizing the importance of inheriting the red gene and writing an excellent chapter on the new journey. 2. Striving to write a new chapter in Chinese-style modernization under the guidance of Xi Jinpings thought on Party building. 3. The Central Leading Group for Party Building issued a "Notice on Studying and Implementing Xi Jinpings Thought on Party Building." 4. Peoples Daily commentator article: Making a major original contribution to the development of Marxist party building theory—On studying and implementing Xi Jinpings thought on Party building. 5. Han Zheng meets with guests from Canada and Denmark. 6. Accelerating the allocation of funds for "two new" projects to continuously release policy effectiveness. 7. The first report meeting of the series of reports on "Guaranteeing and Improving Peoples Livelihood in High-Quality Development" was held in Beijing. 8. Lin Dan: Serving the residents well for life. 9. The State Council Information Office held a meeting with Chinese and foreign journalists on "Striving for the New Journey." 10. The China Theatre Association, the China Folk Literature and Art Association, and the China Calligraphers Association elected a new leadership. 11. National railway transportation for the Dragon Boat Festival holiday begins today. 12. Market supply is abundant as the Dragon Boat Festival approaches. 13. Two departments urgently allocate 100 million yuan in central natural disaster relief funds. 14. The policy dividends of the six-month island-wide customs closure in the Hainan Free Trade Port continue to be released. 15. The import and export volume of the Western Land-Sea New Corridor reached a record high in the first five months. 16. my countrys first carbon footprint database for key industrial products goes online. 17. The Datengxia Hydropower Project in Guangxi passes completion acceptance. 18. The "National Recruitment Action - Beijing Trip" special event for college graduate employment services is launched. 19. Box office revenue for films in 2026 exceeds 16.5 billion yuan. 20. The 2026 China Brand Forum is held in Xiongan. 21. The official text of the memorandum of understanding signed remotely by the US President and the Iranian President is released. The Pakistani Prime Minister announces that the US-Iran memorandum of understanding takes immediate effect. 22. Russia claims that the Russian military has made significant progress in Donetsk. 23. Palestine strongly condemns Israels settlement expansion. 24. The G7 summit concluded without a joint communiqué. 25. The Federal Reserve announced for the fourth consecutive time this year that it would maintain interest rates unchanged.On June 18th, Emma Mogford of the Premier Miton Monthly Income Fund stated that the Bank of England may not need to raise interest rates this year, following the banks decision to keep rates unchanged at 3.75% on Thursday. "Price increases later this year triggered by the Iran war are likely to be offset by weaker demand. Furthermore, wage growth is expected to be only moderate given the relatively weak labor market." The Bank of England approved the decision with a 7-2 vote, with the two policymakers favoring a 25 basis point rate hike.Mayor of Moscow, Russia: The fire at the oil refinery is basically under control.

Copper pricing remains firmer on anticipation for stimulus and weaker DXY

Daniel Rogers

Sep 06, 2022 15:16

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Reuters reported that the copper contract for three months on the London Metal Exchange (LME) increased 0.3% to $7,678 per tonne by 02:59 GMT, while the most-traded copper contract for October on the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SFE) rose 1.3% to 60,850 yuan ($8,773.45) per tonne.

 

In doing so, the red metal applauds the market's improved sentiment and hopes for additional support, particularly from China. The lower performance of the US Dollar Index (DXY) after it reached a 20-year high the day before is also encouraging for metal purchasers.

 

US 10-year Treasury yields jump 2.5 basis points (bps) to 3.21%, reflecting the sentiment, while S&P 500 Futures extend the week-start recovery to 3,943, up 0.50% intraday as of press time. In addition, market consolidation permitted the DXY to fall from the 20-year high to 109.37, prior to its current rebound to 109.62.

 

During a period of full markets, optimists appeared to have been supported by rumors of more aid packages to spur economic recovery. Nonetheless, the incoming British prime minister, Liz Truss, has a £130 billion energy plan in the works, while the People's Bank of China (PBOC) reduces the Reserve Requirement Ratio (RRR). In addition, policymakers from Germany and the Eurozone are making a concerted effort to shield energy businesses and winter stocks from the effects of the recession.

 

China's tightening supply and Peru's falling output of the metal further support the price. "The premium of LME cash copper over the three-month contract surged to $77.50 per tonne on Monday, the biggest level since December 2021," reported Reuters, indicating a diminishing supply of immediately available material in LME warehouses. Copper production in Peru, the world's second-biggest copper producer, decreased 6.6% year-over-year to 195,234 tonnes in July, as two of the nation's top mines underperformed.