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On February 19th, Nick Timiraos, often referred to as the "Federal Reserve mouthpiece," wrote an article on the Fed meeting minutes, stating that sometimes what the Fed doesnt mention is more interesting. In every meeting last year (up to December), staff projected that inflation would return to 2% by 2027. In December, this projection was pushed back to 2028. However, the January meeting minutes did not specify a concrete timeframe for when inflation would reach 2%. Instead, the minutes indicated that the projected figure was "slightly higher, but balanced" compared to the December projection, and that inflation was expected to return to its "previous downward trend" as the impact of tariffs was expected to end by mid-year. However, the key phrase from the December minutes ("and to reach 2% by 2028") was absent from the January minutes.February 19th - Today (February 19th) is the third day of the Lunar New Year, the fifth day of the Spring Festival holiday. The national railway system is expected to transport 13.4 million passengers today, with 747 additional passenger trains planned. Regarding ticket sales, tickets for March 5th (the seventeenth day of the first lunar month) went on sale today.The yield on Japans 20-year government bonds rose 1 basis point to 2.98%.1. All three major U.S. stock indexes closed higher. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.26% to 49,662.66 points, the S&P 500 rose 0.56% to 6,881.31 points, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.78% to 22,753.63 points. Goldman Sachs and Salesforce rose nearly 2%, leading the Dow Jones. The Wind U.S. Tech Big Seven Index rose 0.77%, Amazon rose nearly 2%, and Nvidia rose more than 1%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell 0.04%, Canadian Solar rose nearly 4%, and 21Vianet fell more than 9%. 2. All three major European stock indexes closed higher. The German DAX rose 1.12% to 25,278.21 points, the French CAC40 rose 0.81% to 8,429.03 points, and the UK FTSE 100 rose 1.23% to 10,686.18 points. 3. The WTI crude oil futures contract closed up 4.3% at $64.94 per barrel; the Brent crude oil futures contract rose 4.15% to $70.22 per barrel. 4. International precious metals futures generally closed higher, with COMEX gold futures rising 1.84% to $4996.10 per ounce and COMEX silver futures rising 4.88% to $77.13 per ounce.In January, the RMB accounted for 3.13% of global payments via SWIFT, up from 2.73% in the previous month.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Consolidation Continues in the S&P 500 E-mini Contract

Jimmy Khan

Feb 13, 2023 15:16

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S&P 500 Technical Analysis

The S&P 500 E-mini contract has barely gained during Thursday's trading session as we remain in the same trading range that we have been in for the last week or so. Earnings season, which is now underway and is marked by a lot of noise that will continue to cause people issues, is in full swing. A truly strong signal would be a break over the 4200 mark, but I don't see that happening anytime soon since that level looks to be quite resistive. As a result, we are in a situation where, if we break below this level, we can go all the way down to the downtrend line, where the 50-Day EMA is just about to cross the 200-Day EMA.


That area of the golden cross, which also happens to be the 4000 level, is currently seen to represent the short-term "floor in the market" for the S&P 500 E-mini contract. But in the end, I think you have to look at this through the prism of a really erratic and unstable market. Anything lower might trigger a massive selling avalanche. If that's the case, sledding will be difficult, so you should be cautious about the size of your stake. However, it's probably crucial to remember that recent highs have been progressively falling. Something is probably about to happen quickly and soon.