EUR/USD
1.17007
0.118%
Gold
4357.39
0.727%
Oil
56.876
-0.065%
USD/JPY
150.156
-0.181%
GBP/USD
1.34461
0.086%
GBP/JPY
201.907
-0.089%
Real-time News
On October 17, analysts at JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs estimated that the number of initial unemployment claims in the United States may have fallen last week, but many people are still unemployed due to weak hiring. According to their estimates, the number of initial unemployment claims in states fell to 217,000 in the week ending October 11 from 235,000 in the previous week after seasonal adjustment.On October 17, Euro Stoxx 50 index futures fell 0.6%, German DAX index futures fell 1%, and British FTSE index futures fell 0.8%.On October 17th, as news of bank loan defaults hit Wall Street, CNBC commentator Jim Cramer said the latest developments would pave the way for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, a move widely anticipated by investors. He said, "Todays market is indeed terrible, but at least we finally have a reason for the Fed to rush to cut rates sooner rather than later: bank loan defaults. Nothing prompts the Fed to act faster than credit losses, as they are a clear signal that the economy is heading for a downturn." On Thursday, US stock indices generally fell as investor concerns grew about the health of regional banks loan books. Cramer pointed out that non-performing loans are an early warning sign that it is time for the central bank to ease monetary policy. The banking system has "sufficiently accrued enough problem loans" within a week, which is enough for the Fed to cut interest rates quickly without worrying too much about inflation. He emphasized that lower borrowing rates not only stimulate the economy generally but also make it easier for borrowers to avoid default.The Bank of Japan index fell 1.88%, leading the decline in Japanese stocks.On October 17th, CICC Research stated that, looking ahead, we maintain our view that domestic demand in the Eurozone economy will recover slowly, primarily due to the lagged impact of monetary policy easing and the gradual implementation of fiscal policies (including defense). We believe two key areas warrant observation: first, whether the EU can adopt more forceful reform measures. After all, fiscal policy is a necessary, but not sufficient, condition for breaking the EUs current economic predicament. The EUs fiscal space is fundamentally constrained by its demographics and growth prospects. Structural reforms (such as further EU integration, improved regulation, and the promotion of capital markets) are key to maximizing the effectiveness of EU fiscal spending. While discussions on reform are growing within the EU, measures currently in place remain relatively limited. Second, the extent of the consumption recovery remains uncertain. Despite a significant decline in interest rates, both the savings rate and the propensity to save in the Eurozone remain high. Whether the rise in the savings rate is temporary or structural in the new macroeconomic environment remains to be seen.
