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April 10th - From April 8th to 10th, the US-China Business Council led its highest-level and largest business delegation to Guangzhou and Shenzhen for trade and economic cooperation activities. Representatives from dozens of US companies, including Procter & Gamble, Pfizer, General Electric, Carrier, Cargill, and Cisco, representing sectors such as biopharmaceuticals, information technology, finance, and consumer goods, fully demonstrating the US business communitys high regard for Guangdong and its strong desire to deepen cooperation. The US-China Business Council, headquartered in Washington, D.C., has long been committed to promoting US-China relations and bilateral trade and economic cooperation. US-China Business Council President Tan Sen said he hopes to use this years APEC Leaders Informal Meeting as an opportunity to introduce the preferential policies and business environment of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area to more US companies, further deepening trade and economic cooperation. 1. Federal Reserves Daly: If the Iran conflict is resolved quickly and oil prices fall, a rate cut is "not impossible." He believes the possibility of a rate hike is lower than a rate cut or maintaining the current rate. The real question is whether the ceasefire can last; if it does, then the CPI data is irrelevant. 2. Data from the U.S. Labor Department on Friday showed that the March CPI rose 3.3% year-on-year, significantly higher than Februarys 2.4%. Core inflation, excluding food and energy, rose 2.6%, slightly below the market expectation of 2.7%. Energy prices rose 12.5% year-on-year in March, a significant acceleration from Februarys 0.5%. Gasoline prices rose 18.9%, and fuel oil rose 44.2%. The report reflects the impact of the Iran war on U.S. inflation for the first time. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz disrupted shipping and pushed up crude oil and gasoline prices last month. 3. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics: Seasonally adjusted energy inflation in the U.S. rose 10.9% month-on-month in March, the largest increase since September 2005; unadjusted energy inflation rose 12.5% year-on-year. Seasonally adjusted gasoline inflation rose 21.2% month-over-month in March, the largest increase since records began in 1967, while unadjusted gasoline inflation rose 18.9% year-over-year. Seasonally adjusted fuel oil inflation rose 30.7% month-over-month in March, the largest increase since February 2000; unadjusted fuel oil inflation rose 44.2% year-over-year. 4. Saudi Arabia’s oil exports through the Red Sea remain stable as the impact of the drone attack on its east-west pipeline has not yet materialized. Wednesday’s attack damaged one of 11 pumping stations along the pipeline. The Saudi Press Agency reported on Thursday, citing energy ministry officials, that this reduced pipeline capacity by 700,000 barrels per day. 5. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) released data showing that private exporters reported sales of 125,640 tons of corn to unknown destinations for delivery in the 2025/2026 marketing year. The U.S. corn marketing year begins on September 1. 6. U.S. Vice President Vance has departed for Islamabad, Pakistan, aboard Air Force Two to participate in U.S.-Iran talks. The entourage also included US Middle East envoy Witkov and Trumps son-in-law Kushner. Before boarding, Vance stated that he looked forward to the upcoming negotiations with Iran and believed the talks in Islamabad would be positive. 7. After data showed that gasoline prices rose due to the Iran war and US inflation accelerated in March, bond traders slightly reduced their bets on a single Federal Reserve rate cut this year. Fridays interest rate swap market pricing showed that the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed this year was about one-third, little changed from before the data release. 8. A spokesperson for the Khatham Anbia Central Headquarters of the Iranian Armed Forces issued a statement on the 10th, saying that due to the repeated breaches of trust by the US and Israel in the past, the Iranian Armed Forces remain fully alert and ready to open fire at any time. 9. Data released by the LME showed that due to supply disruptions caused by the Iran war, Indian aluminum was temporarily unable to be delivered, and the proportion of Russian aluminum available in London Metal Exchange (LME) warehouses jumped from 60% in February to 92% in March.The Kuwaiti Army stated that the Iranian attack targeted National Guard facilities, resulting in multiple injuries.Palantir (PLTR.N) narrowed its losses to less than 2%, after falling 6% earlier.Market news: Asian countries are urging the United States to extend sanctions waivers on Russian oil.

COVID Concerns Send Copper Lower And Gold to A Three-month High

Skylar Williams

Nov 15, 2022 17:43

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On Tuesday, gold prices stayed at three-month highs as Fed officials sent mixed signals on the course of U.S. interest rates. Copper prices dipped as mounting COVID-19 cases in China, a major importer, signaled additional possible demand disruption.


Fed members Lael Brainard and Christopher Waller forecast a slower rate hike this week. They also suggested the Fed's cycle of rate hikes wasn't over and that high inflation required more tightening.


Slower interest rate increases may help gold and other commodity prices in the short term, but they will weaken gold's long-term appeal.


Spot gold fell 0.1% to $1,768.72 per ounce, while gold futures fell 0.3% to $1,779.90 as of 19:26 EDT (00:26 GMT). Bullion prices rose more than 5% last week, while the dollar sank after October inflation data was lower than expected.


The markets expect the Fed to hike rates by 50 basis points in December. This will be the highest interest rate since the 2008 financial crisis.


Rising Treasury yields boosted the potential cost of holding non-yielding assets, which hurt metal markets this year.


Gold is close to breaking even while being considerably below its yearly highs. Recent gains reduced the metal's year-to-date losses to 3%.


Copper prices were 0.3% lower after plunging nearly 3% on Monday.


Copper futures fell 0.3% to $3.8290/lb. Increasing COVID-19 cases in China hampered efforts to alter the country's zero-COVID policy.


The world's largest copper importer relaxed travel and quarantine restrictions last week. Increased local illnesses signal officials won't remove restrictions fully.


Shanghai and Wuhan are facing renewed lockdown restrictions, which is expected to hurt commodity demand in China.


This year, COVID lockdowns in China stopped economic activity and reduced China's thirst for imports.