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Counterpoint: Apples iPhone sales in China fell 6% from July to August.According to the Wall Street Journal: Ford Motor (FN) further cuts 1,000 jobs in Germany due to continued weak demand for electric vehicles.The European Parliaments head of metals will visit Kyiv, MEPs said.September 17th news: On September 17th local time, Krasnodar Airport in southern Russia received the first flight since its suspension of operations. This is also the first time the airport has resumed formal operations since its closure since the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in February 2022.The number of rate cuts this year is expected to increase. 1. JPMorgan Chase: The updated dot plot indicates room for three rate cuts this year, one more than the June dot plot. 2. Deutsche Bank: The updated dot plot median may indicate a total of 75 basis points of rate cuts in 2025, 25 basis points more than the June forecast. 3. Barclays: The dot plot indicates three rate cuts this year, one each in 2026 and 2027, while the median long-term rate forecast remains unchanged at 3.0%. 4. Bank of Montreal: The median rate forecast for the end of 2025 is expected to be lowered to reflect the possibility of 25 basis point cuts at both the October and December meetings. The dot plot remains unchanged from June. 1. Pepperstone: The Federal Reserve is likely to disappoint market expectations. The dot plot median is likely to remain unchanged, still indicating only a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points this year. 2. UBS: The dot plot will show two rate cuts this year, while the market expects closer to three. Participants economic outlook forecasts will also be in focus. 3. Bank of America: With macroeconomic forecasts largely unchanged, the median Fed rate forecast for 2025 will continue to indicate a 50 basis point cut, despite a downward shift in the overall dot plot. 4. Goldman Sachs: We expect the updated dot plot to show two rate cuts this year, to 3.875%. While the Fed may currently be planning three consecutive rate cuts this year, it may decide that forcing this into the dot plot is unnecessary. 5. Morgan Stanley: We expect the median dot plot to still show two rate cuts this year, but actual economic data may push the Fed to continue cutting rates throughout the rest of the year, extending this round of cuts into January. Other Views: 1. Citigroup: The updated dot plot is likely to indicate two to three rate cuts this year, and the median rate forecast for 2026 may also be revised downward.

Brent Crude Rose 15% in A week Due to Australian Export Restrictions on Aluminum

Haiden Holmes

Apr 02, 2022 09:57

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The daily chart indicates that the price has recovered from the 50 MA and is now aiming for the 20 MA after three straight rising sessions. Since December, the long-term bull momentum has remained intact, as evidenced by the rising trend line connecting the lows.


The four-hour chart also demonstrates the price's strength, as the candlestick has now violated all significant moving averages and is stuck to an upward trajectory.


The next level of resistance is $3638, which will assist the metal in recouping all of its losses over the last two weeks. The price will be supported by the months-long trend line at roughly $3268 per ton.

Brent Crude Oil

Brent crude oil prices have been rising for six consecutive days and have jumped more than 6% to begin the new week. Brent Crude, the worldwide benchmark, is trading as high as $114.80 a barrel on Tuesday, having gained more than 15% in the previous week. The price increases as EU foreign ministers convene in Brussels to consider more measures against Russia.


Two weeks ago, the price of the most critical energy plummeted from a decades-high level and is now seeking to reclaim its peak. The daily chart indicates that the price has risen above the short-term indication and is now trading above the 20-day moving average, with the 50-day and 100-day moving averages still some distance away.


In the short term, the level of $117.4 will act as a critical stumbling block before the market re-enters the $120 plus zone. From the daily trend line, a support level between $108 and $109 may be seen.


Sentimentally, the RSI on the hourly chart has entered oversold territory, which might halt the bull-bias purchasing in the short term. However, the RSI level on the daily chart remains below the average for the last two months, indicating that the price may nudge higher.