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August 16 - This morning (August 16), Ecuadorian President Daniel Roy-Hilchrist Noboa Asin arrived in Beijing to begin an eight-day visit to China. This is President Noboas first state visit to China.August 16th - It was learned on August 15th local time that authorities in Indiana, USA, stated that the powerful storms and floods that swept across the state this week have resulted in at least five deaths. Over the past week, torrential rains have caused record-high water levels in several rivers, forcing residents to evacuate to higher ground. More than a dozen counties have declared a state of emergency, with the latest damage concentrated along river channels stretching from Hamilton County to the northern suburbs of Indianapolis.The head of Irans Energy Optimization Organization stated that in the first option, gasoline prices would remain unchanged, but the total allocation would be capped at 121 million liters, and refueling stations would be closed once the quota was exhausted. In the second option, the 121 million liters of gasoline produced daily would be allocated to individual vehicles, and anyone wishing to exceed their quota would have to purchase gasoline at free market prices. In the third option, gasoline quotas would be allocated to the public at 30 liters per person per month, and the transfer, purchase, and sale of quotas would be permitted.The head of Irans Energy Optimization Organization stated that, as part of three ongoing proposals to manage Irans gasoline supply, Iran is considering a proposal to allocate 30 liters of gasoline per person per month, with the quota being transferable and tradable.August 16th - Next week, UK consumer prices will be the focus of media attention, while the shortage of AI-powered memory chips and rising energy costs are keeping the Bank of England on high alert. Data to be released on Wednesday is expected to show inflation accelerating for the first time in four months, with a survey of economists showing a median forecast of a 2.9% jump in July. This marks the beginning of an upward trend expected to continue into the second half of the year, ending a period of positive news regarding price pressures. As the impact of the Iran war on prices becomes increasingly apparent – especially given the still strong economic performance – this data could further unsettle Bank of England policymakers. While the inflation outlook is largely dependent on developments in the Middle East, artificial intelligence is emerging as a potential "dark horse." The Bank of England has warned that the rapid expansion of AI computing power is driving up the cost of memory chips used in mobile phones, laptops, and game consoles. Data from the British Retail Consortium in July indicates that rising chip costs are being passed on to the prices of electronic products.

Before the PBoC's monetary policy announcement, AUD/JPY recovers strongly from 92.00

Alina Haynes

Feb 20, 2023 11:14

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Despite a difficult start to the Tokyo session at 92.10, the AUD/JPY pair has gained momentum. The risk barometer has recovered to approximately 92.30 and is expected to continue its upward trend in the near future. Ambassador Linda Thomas-Greenfield, the US representative to the United Nations, declared on Sunday that China would cross a "red line" if it sent lethal military help to Russia in response to its invasion of Ukraine.

 

According to Reuters, recent news from public broadcaster NHK that Japan's Coast Guard said North Korea fired three projectiles that may have been ballistic missiles has compounded the already negative market sentiment.

 

When the United States conducted bilateral air exercises with South Korea and Japan in response to the North's ICBM launch on Sunday, Kim Yo Jong, the sister of North Korean leader Kim, warned against the escalating deployment of U.S. strategic weapons on the Korean peninsula.

 

Investors await the People's Bank of China's interest rate announcement for additional guidance (PBoC). Eight out of 10 economists, according to a Reuters poll published on February 17, believe that the PBoC would retain the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) at 3.65%. After the abolition of currency restrictions, China is required to maintain an expansionary monetary policy to stimulate economic growth.

 

Bloomberg stated that Goldman Sachs predicts the MSCI China Index could reach 85 by the end of 2023, a nearly 24% increase from current levels, as the nation's economic opening generates windfall advantages for corporations.

 

Notably, Australia is a major trading partner of China, and the increased economic activity in China will benefit the Australian Dollar.

 

On Tuesday, preliminary Jibun Bank PMI (Feb) data will be released, which will have a substantial impact on the Japanese Yen. The Manufacturing PMI is expected to remain constant at 48.9, whilst the Services PMI is expected to increase from 51.1 to 51.5.

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