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On August 26, Deutsche Bank analysts said in a research note that UK retail stocks will face a more difficult second half of the year as fundamental drivers of retail spending, such as wage growth and consumer spending, are weakening. The analysts said that while late 2024 and early 2025 represent a period of strong wage growth, this growth is expected to slow. Meanwhile, concerns about unemployment and job security are growing. The analysts added that consumer confidence surveys remain low and the situation is likely to worsen.On August 26, the minutes of the Swedish Central Banks latest monetary policy meeting, released on Tuesday, indicated that if factors driving inflation above target subside as expected, there is still a possibility of an interest rate cut this year. At the meeting, the Swedish Central Bank kept the key interest rate unchanged at 2.00%, with the next policy decision to be made on September 22. Governor Teden noted that "although some signs suggest that economic activity will soon pick up, considerable uncertainty remains. However, given that the inflation outlook remains favorable, there is reason to keep the door open to further rate cuts."German Chancellor Merz and Canadian Prime Minister Carney announced an agreement on critical mineral supply chains.On August 26th, analysts at Deutsche Bank Research stated that US companies may be more vulnerable to tariffs than their European counterparts. The latest US producer price index rose to 0.9% in July, indicating that US tariffs are impacting businesses. Credit investors appear to be underestimating the impact of tariffs on inflation and the Federal Reserves interest rate decisions, increasing the risk of a credit market downturn. Deutsche Bank analysts stated, "We expect margin pressure on US cyclical companies to persist, while high US dollar interest rates remain a challenge for highly leveraged US issuers."Credit Agricole: The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates twice this year, once in September and once in December.

Bear market definition

Eden

Oct 25, 2021 13:27

Bears are traders who believe that a market, asset or financial instrument is heading in a downward trajectory. In that regard, they hold an opposite view to bulls, who believe that a market is going upwards.

Bearish traders believe that a market will soon drop in value, and will attempt to profit from its drop. They will usually do this by short selling the market. This puts them in contention with bulls, who will buy or go long on a market in the belief that doing so will return a profit.

For this reason, a market that is experiencing a sustained drop in price will be referred to as a bear market, whereas one that is increasing in price is a bull market.

Spotting when a bear market is taking hold or coming to an end is key to both profiting and limiting loss when trading. 

It's a source of debate among analysts and investors about how sustained and dramatic a market fall has to be to be considered a bear market.

Bear markets are not the only conditions in which markets can fall in price. Corrections are shorter drops that tend to last less than two months, and market crashes are sudden drops in markets that can have devastating results. 


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