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Futures commentary by Everbright Futures: Precious metals are experiencing significant volatility. With two trading days remaining overseas during the New Years holiday, short-term speculation warrants caution. The Federal Reserve meeting minutes show that most participants believed further interest rate cuts might be appropriate if inflation gradually declines as expected; most supported a December rate cut, with those supporting it generally citing increased downside risks to employment in recent months; most believed rate cuts would help prevent a deterioration in the labor market, while some officials pointed to the risk of rising inflation. A Federal Reserve survey indicates that respondents expect net purchases of approximately $220 billion in the first 12 months after the start of the purchase program. Geopolitically, the Russia-Ukraine conflict shows signs of further deterioration, with Saudi Arabias airstrike on Mukalla port and the situation in Yemen escalating further; safe-haven demand may influence gold prices.On December 31, the National Committee of the Chinese Peoples Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC) held a New Years tea party at the CPPCC Auditorium. Xi Jinping, General Secretary of the CPC Central Committee, President of the Peoples Republic of China, and Chairman of the Central Military Commission, delivered an important speech. In his speech, he pointed out that 2025 will be an extraordinary year. We have overcome difficulties and worked hard to successfully achieve the main goals of economic and social development. my countrys economy has forged ahead under pressure, developing in a new and superior direction, demonstrating strong resilience and vitality. The growth rate is expected to reach around 5%, continuing to rank among the worlds leading major economies, with the total economic output expected to reach around 140 trillion yuan. Significant achievements have been made in scientific and technological innovation, the construction of a modern industrial system has continued to advance, and new-quality productive forces have developed steadily. New steps have been taken in reform and opening up, peoples livelihoods have been better guaranteed, and the overall social situation has remained stable.December 31st, Futures.com analysts latest view: Brent crude oil futures prices tended to consolidate in the recent intraday trading session. Although the Relative Strength Index (RSI) showed a negative signal, and the oversold condition appeared excessive compared to price action, suggesting that bearish momentum is rapidly weakening. Meanwhile, positive support remains in place as prices continue to trade above the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA50). The trendline-following pattern remains unchanged, dominated by a short-term bullish corrective wave.December 31st, Futures.com analysts latest view: WTI crude oil futures fell in recent intraday trading after the Relative Strength Index (RSI) showed a negative signal after reaching overbought territory. This pullback aims to accumulate momentum and digest previous gains. This decline occurred against the backdrop of continued dynamic support, specifically as prices remain above the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA50), which reinforces the stability and dominance of the short-term bullish corrective trend. In particular, the current price action continues along the support trendline, meaning the possibility of a price recovery in the near future remains.December 31st, Futures.com analysts latest view: International spot gold rose in recent intraday trading, gaining bullish momentum by stabilizing at the key support level of $4350, thus achieving the current cautious gains. However, as the price is still trading below the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA50), the resulting negative pressure limits the possibility of a strong rebound in the short term, and the market is currently still dominated by a bearish corrective wave. Accompanying this cautious rise, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has shown a negative signal after escaping oversold territory, indicating that the bearish trend may return. This means that any current rise may only be a temporary correction, after which gold may face selling pressure again.

BTC Fear & Greed Index Holds as the NASDAQ Composite Index Falls Again

Skylar Shaw

Nov 04, 2022 16:35

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Bitcoin (BTC) increased by 0.29% on Thursday. BTC finished the day at $20,223, somewhat correcting a loss of 1.63% on Wednesday. Notably, BTC avoided sub-$20,000 for the eighth day in a row while snapping a four-day losing run.


BTC increased to a morning high of $20,404 thanks to a positive start to the day. BTC dropped to a midday low of $20,052 after failing to surpass the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $20,629 throughout the day. However, BTC returned to $20,356 before easing down, avoiding the First Major Support Level (S1) at $19,900.


US economic statistics supported the price of bitcoin.


The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI decreased from 56.7 to 54.4 in October. Analysts predict a drop to 55.5.


The Index's sub-components were diverse. The non-manufacturing employment index for ISM dropped from 50.0 to 49.1. The Prices Index, however, increased from 68.7 to 70.7.


The unit labor cost data and other statistics, which were crypto-positive, contained unemployed claims. Initial unemployment claims saw a slight dip from 218k to 217k, while unit labor expenses increased by 3.5% in Q3, down from 8.9% in Q2.


Although the statistics supported cryptocurrency, Fed Chair Powell's statement continued to challenge the willingness of buyers. The markets continued to react to Fed Chair Powell's speech on Wednesday, which contributed to the NASDAQ Composite Index's decline of 1.73% on Thursday.


The US employment data released today will significantly affect the NASDAQ Composite Index and the cryptocurrency market.


The association between BTC and the NASDAQ Composite Index remains due to the cryptocurrency's sensitivity to US economic data and the FED. The NASDAQ 100 Mini was up 0.5 points this morning.