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The Bank of France expects growth in the first quarter to be between 0.2% and 0.3%, following a 0.2% increase in the fourth quarter of last year.US President Trump: Apart from my firm insistence that negotiations with Iran continue to see if an agreement can be reached, no decisions were made in the meeting with Netanyahu.On February 12, the Bank of Canada stated that recent U.S. actions regarding trade, foreign policy, and central bank independence are making the world "more volatile" and exacerbating uncertainty. In January 2026, the bank maintained its interest rate at 2.25% for the second consecutive time, with officials citing increased uncertainty as making it difficult for policymakers to determine whether to raise or lower rates next. The meeting minutes reiterated that "it is difficult to predict the timing and direction of the next policy rate change." The Governing Council explicitly identified Canadas southern neighbor as the most serious source of instability, although the minutes did not directly name Trump. The minutes cited examples of the Trump administrations international and trade policies as sources of instability, and for the first time included Trumps attacks on the Federal Reserve in internal central bank discussions. The minutes stated that "recent geopolitical events—including in Venezuela, Iran, and Greenland, and threats to the independence of the Federal Reserve—have made the world more volatile," and that "U.S. trade policy is increasingly being used for geopolitical purposes rather than economic purposes, and therefore becoming more unpredictable."February 12th - Sources indicate that the Federal Reserve has signaled to the banking industry its intention to drop some of the corrective action warnings previously issued to certain institutions. This move comes as Vice Chairman Bowman continues to ease regulations on U.S. financial institutions. Earlier this month, Fed officials informed banks that reviewers would begin assessing pending warnings. These warnings, essentially private corrective orders, require banks to fix operational deficiencies. Sources say that warnings will be withdrawn if they do not align with recent Fed directives (that reviewers should focus more on immediate risks to a banks financial health than on process and procedure issues). The Feds action targets so-called "issues of concern" and "issues of immediate concern," the latter typically requiring swift action. These directives can arise from various aspects of a banks operations, including financial health, cybersecurity preparedness, or executive succession planning. Sources say the Fed will still issue directives during routine inspections, but the trigger thresholds will be raised.According to Futures News on February 12, as of the close of trading at 2:30 PM, the main Shanghai Gold futures contract rose 0.44%, the main Shanghai Silver futures contract rose 2.27%, and the main SC crude oil futures contract rose 0.82%.

BTC Fear & Greed Index Falls to 31 as Investor Focus Shifts to the Fed

Skylar Shaw

Oct 31, 2022 15:42

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Bitcoin (BTC) decreased by 0.89% on Sunday. BTC concluded the week up 5.42% to $20,647, partially undoing a Saturday gain of 1.08%. Notably, BTC avoided trading below $20,000 for the fifth day in a row and ended the day above $20,000 for the sixth straight session.


After a choppy morning, BTC increased to a high of $20,950 in the middle of the trading day. A late low of $20,532 was reached by BTC as it failed to reach the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $21,091. Before partially regaining its footing to reach $20,647, BTC momentarily breached the First Major Support Level (S1) at $20,576.


In anticipation of a busy week for the global financial markets, investors had a calm day to lock in gains. The Fed announces its decision on interest rates this coming Wednesday. The Fed's intentions for December remain unclear, despite the markets' bets for a 75-basis point rate increase.


The bullish week was fueled by anticipation of a Fed turnaround in December. The markets, however, could see investor concern prior to the Wednesday decision. The sensitivity of the cryptocurrency market to US economic data and the Fed maintains the BTC link with the NASDAQ 100.


The NASDAQ 100 Mini was down 56.75 points this morning, pushing BTC into negative territory.

Investor caution increases ahead of the Fed, causing the Fear & Greed Index to decline.


The Fear & Greed Index dropped from 34/100 to 31/100 this morning. Investor apprehension ahead of the FOMC interest rate decision and press conference on Wednesday is reflected in the decline. A return of the Index to the Neutral area would be supported by confirmation of the Fed's shift in December.


As investors wait for the Fed to announce its policy, US economic statistics will continue to be the major focus in the near term. Prior to Wednesday's decision, important statistics include JOLTs job postings, ADP nonfarm employment, and ISM Manufacturing PMI data.


To support a reversal of the negative trend in BTC, the Index will need to hit 40/100 and the neutral zone. A decline to below 20/100 would indicate a BTC decline to below $18,000.