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August 30th - According to the Wall Street Journal, President Trump spent months touting his move to overthrow Venezuelas leader as bringing the countrys oil "under American control." However, when U.S. energy companies were unwilling to invest at the pace and scale he desired, his administration devised an extraordinary solution to realize his vision—the U.S. government becoming the investor itself. The oil deal with Venezuela announced Friday evening will transform the U.S. governments role from "middleman" in U.S.-funded oil investment in Venezuela to "investor" itself. The agreement will grant Washington a direct financial interest in a private company that will be granted a century-long right to exploit some of the worlds largest proven oil reserves. Led by the controversial Venezuelan businessman Alejandro Bertancott, the company will have the opportunity to develop 17 oil fields estimated to contain 65 billion barrels of crude oil, equivalent to one-fifth of the countrys reserves. According to sources involved in the negotiations, the U.S. plans to hold a 35% passive stake in Bertancotts North American Blue Energy Partnership and have the right of first refusal to purchase 20% of its production at cost.On August 30th, Venezuelan interim president Delcy Rodriguez announced further details of the oil agreement with the United States in a televised address to the nation. She stated that the agreement covers 17 prospective oil fields, aiming to achieve a daily production of 1.5 million barrels of crude oil through a 25-year concession. The Venezuelan government hopes to profit from the oil by setting a price of $69 per barrel, ensuring a government profit of $19 per barrel. This also includes a 16% mining royalties and a 34% income tax on the oil companies operating the fields. These revenues are expected to add to the $209 billion in profits announced earlier this week.On August 30th, SK Hynix CEO Guo Luzheng stated that the global memory chip shortage is expected to continue until the end of 2030, while the risk of oversupply is low because in the AI era, memory chips are no longer "simply standardized commodities." Despite market concerns about an AI investment bubble, he said he "sees no" signs of oversupply or a potential memory chip downturn, as demand from AI customers remains strong. He added, "If we pass the AI peak, or if another downturn occurs in the future, challenges may arise. But I think the next downturn will be different from the slumps weve experienced in the past few decades. Even if a downturn comes, I dont think it will be a sharp decline, but rather a slow decrease in demand, and it may even stabilize."NASA: NASA and SpaceX have adjusted the launch date of Crew-13 to address an oxidizer leak in the Dragon spacecrafts propulsion system.On August 30th, according to a report by Axios, citing sources familiar with the matter, CIA Director John Ratcliffe, during a secret visit to Moscow earlier this week, proposed a trilateral summit between US President Donald Trump, Russian President Vladimir Putin, and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to push for an end to the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Sources said that part of Ratcliffes visit was to assess whether the head of Russian intelligence could persuade Putin to return to the US-mediated peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. This marks Ratcliffes first involvement in diplomatic efforts to achieve a breakthrough in Russia-Ukraine relations. The report stated that US officials briefed Zelenskyy on Ratcliffes talks in Moscow on Friday (August 28th) and the proposal for a trilateral summit between the US, Russia, and Ukraine.

BTC Fear & Greed Index Falls to 31 as Investor Focus Shifts to the Fed

Skylar Shaw

Oct 31, 2022 15:42

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Bitcoin (BTC) decreased by 0.89% on Sunday. BTC concluded the week up 5.42% to $20,647, partially undoing a Saturday gain of 1.08%. Notably, BTC avoided trading below $20,000 for the fifth day in a row and ended the day above $20,000 for the sixth straight session.


After a choppy morning, BTC increased to a high of $20,950 in the middle of the trading day. A late low of $20,532 was reached by BTC as it failed to reach the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $21,091. Before partially regaining its footing to reach $20,647, BTC momentarily breached the First Major Support Level (S1) at $20,576.


In anticipation of a busy week for the global financial markets, investors had a calm day to lock in gains. The Fed announces its decision on interest rates this coming Wednesday. The Fed's intentions for December remain unclear, despite the markets' bets for a 75-basis point rate increase.


The bullish week was fueled by anticipation of a Fed turnaround in December. The markets, however, could see investor concern prior to the Wednesday decision. The sensitivity of the cryptocurrency market to US economic data and the Fed maintains the BTC link with the NASDAQ 100.


The NASDAQ 100 Mini was down 56.75 points this morning, pushing BTC into negative territory.

Investor caution increases ahead of the Fed, causing the Fear & Greed Index to decline.


The Fear & Greed Index dropped from 34/100 to 31/100 this morning. Investor apprehension ahead of the FOMC interest rate decision and press conference on Wednesday is reflected in the decline. A return of the Index to the Neutral area would be supported by confirmation of the Fed's shift in December.


As investors wait for the Fed to announce its policy, US economic statistics will continue to be the major focus in the near term. Prior to Wednesday's decision, important statistics include JOLTs job postings, ADP nonfarm employment, and ISM Manufacturing PMI data.


To support a reversal of the negative trend in BTC, the Index will need to hit 40/100 and the neutral zone. A decline to below 20/100 would indicate a BTC decline to below $18,000.