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Futures market data from September 15th indicated that OPEC+ continued to increase production, but with complex policies and renewed geopolitical uncertainty, crude oil prices consolidated in the previous week, but the extent of the increase was limited. This week, the market will continue to monitor geopolitical developments. Supply concerns stemming from sanctions against Russia will continue to support the oil market, but seasonal shifts in US oil demand and the prospect of an oil glut will continue to exert pressure. Furthermore, with the Federal Reserve meeting approaching, the market is cautious, and crude oil prices are expected to remain consolidated and volatile.On September 15th, with the popularity of Googles NanoBanana image generation model, Google Geminis downloads in the US AppStore have surpassed ChatGPT, becoming the number one application on the free list.Berenberg: Raised Oracle (ORCL.N) target price to $306 from $202.September 15th news: In the early morning of September 15th local time, Yemeni Houthi armed spokesman Yahya Saraya issued a video statement on the social platform saying that the Houthi armed forces launched a total of 4 drones to attack 2 Israeli targets, of which 3 drones attacked Israel’s second largest airport-Ramon Airport, and another drone attacked Israeli military targets in the Negev region.On September 15th, if the Bank of England halts its active sales of gilts at a key decision this week, British Chancellor of the Exchequer Reeves will need to raise an additional £4 billion (US$5.4 billion) to keep his budget on track. In addition to Thursdays interest rate decision, the Bank of England will also announce the pace of reduction in its crisis-era quantitative easing bond portfolio over the next 12 months—a potentially daunting challenge for Reeves as he prepares to deliver the budget on November 26th. Since the Bank of Englands gilt holdings are currently losing money, a decision to slow the pace of reduction would increase the burden on British taxpayers. This would be a significant blow to Reeves, who already needs to raise £35 billion after rising borrowing costs, a weak growth outlook, and a series of sharp policy shifts that have depleted fiscal buffers. The Bank of England faces a dilemma: balancing the fiscal costs of slowing gilt sales with the risk of exacerbating financial market instability by continuing to ask investors for large-scale bond purchases. This month, the yield on 30-year gilts hit its highest level since 1998.

BTC Fear & Greed Index Falls to 31 as Investor Focus Shifts to the Fed

Skylar Shaw

Oct 31, 2022 15:42

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Bitcoin (BTC) decreased by 0.89% on Sunday. BTC concluded the week up 5.42% to $20,647, partially undoing a Saturday gain of 1.08%. Notably, BTC avoided trading below $20,000 for the fifth day in a row and ended the day above $20,000 for the sixth straight session.


After a choppy morning, BTC increased to a high of $20,950 in the middle of the trading day. A late low of $20,532 was reached by BTC as it failed to reach the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $21,091. Before partially regaining its footing to reach $20,647, BTC momentarily breached the First Major Support Level (S1) at $20,576.


In anticipation of a busy week for the global financial markets, investors had a calm day to lock in gains. The Fed announces its decision on interest rates this coming Wednesday. The Fed's intentions for December remain unclear, despite the markets' bets for a 75-basis point rate increase.


The bullish week was fueled by anticipation of a Fed turnaround in December. The markets, however, could see investor concern prior to the Wednesday decision. The sensitivity of the cryptocurrency market to US economic data and the Fed maintains the BTC link with the NASDAQ 100.


The NASDAQ 100 Mini was down 56.75 points this morning, pushing BTC into negative territory.

Investor caution increases ahead of the Fed, causing the Fear & Greed Index to decline.


The Fear & Greed Index dropped from 34/100 to 31/100 this morning. Investor apprehension ahead of the FOMC interest rate decision and press conference on Wednesday is reflected in the decline. A return of the Index to the Neutral area would be supported by confirmation of the Fed's shift in December.


As investors wait for the Fed to announce its policy, US economic statistics will continue to be the major focus in the near term. Prior to Wednesday's decision, important statistics include JOLTs job postings, ADP nonfarm employment, and ISM Manufacturing PMI data.


To support a reversal of the negative trend in BTC, the Index will need to hit 40/100 and the neutral zone. A decline to below 20/100 would indicate a BTC decline to below $18,000.

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